泰安市设施农用地的时空格局演变与影响因素

设施农用地是农副产品重要的空间载体。在土地利用转型视角下,区域耕地、非农建设用地规模对设施农用地规模的作用机制及其空间效应尚不明确。论文基于第二、三次全国土地利用调查数据(简称为“二调”和“三调”),运用空间自相关分析、土地利用转移矩阵等方法,系统分析泰安市设施农用地的空间演变特征及其关键影响因素。研究发现：(1)二调至三调期间,泰安市设施农用地规模总量相对稳定,但净变化剧烈,耕地、非农建设用地分别是设施农用地主要的转入来源、退出去向;(2)泰安市设施农用地呈现出从县城中心向外围推移的规律性,远城区集聚趋势不断加强;(3)二调时期,耕地规模促进设施农用地扩张,而三调时期,耕地规模抑制设施农用地增长,并且在远离县城的乡镇表现更为显著;(4)二调、三调时期非农建设用地均稳定促进设施农用地扩张,这一作用在空间上普遍存在。研究结论可为耕地“非粮化”“非农化”治理以及设施农用地的空间布局调整提供理论支撑。     

Evolution of a Coronal Loop System

The temporal variation of a loop system that appears to be changing rapidly is examined. The analyzed data were obtained on 15 May 1999, with the Transition Region and Coronal Explorer (TRACE) during an observing campaign and consist of observations in the Fe ix/Fe x 171?Å and Fe xii 195?Å passbands taken at a cadence of ～10 min. The special interest in this loop system is that it looks like one expanding loop; however, careful examination reveals that the loop consists of several strands and that new loop strands become visible successively at higher altitudes and lower loop strands fade out during the one hour of our observations. These strands have different widths, densities, and temperatures and are most probably consisting of, at least, a few unresolved thinner threads. Several geometric and physical parameters are derived for two of the strands and an effort is made to determine their 3D structure based on the extrapolation of the magnetic field lines. Electron density estimates allow us to derive radiative and conductive cooling times and to conclude that these loop strands are cooling by radiation.     

International wood trade and forest change: A global analysis

Throughout history, humans have transformed natural forests into agricultural land, settlement areas and managed forests. Studies on the dynamics of forest change are one of the mainstays in land change science. The forest transition theory offers a powerful tool to analyze changes in human interference with forests. At the national level, a range of factors have been found to influence a country's forest change. The role of international wood product trade has, however, rarely been studied based on empirical data. We offer a global assessment of how this trade helps shape observed forest change, by relating forest stock change to net trade of wood products for the period 1997-2007 and by localizing the origin of wood consumed in a given nation. For many nations, traded wood products have a relevant impact on the course of ongoing forest transitions. We develop a general typology of how wood product trade can influence forest change and place various nations within this framework. We find that many wealthy nations with returning forests seem to accelerate this return by importing wood products. These imports appear to be provided by two main types of wood exporters: (a) by wealthy countries with low population densities and stable forests and (b) by relatively poor countries with declining forests, employing increasing population and welfare levels. We discuss these findings in the light of general theories on land use transitions and forest change and conclude by highlighting implications for national forest policies and global environmental governance, aiming at reducing negative impacts of wood products and enhancing the positive role they can play in replacing more fossil fuel intensive products.     

The Campanian Ignimbrite (Y5) tephra at Crvena Stijena Rockshelter, Montenegro

Clearly defined distal tephras are rare in rockshelter sediment records. Crvena Stijena, a Palaeolithic site in Montenegro, contains one of the longest (> 20 m) rockshelter sediment records in Europe with deposits ranging in age from Middle Pleistocene to mid-Holocene. A distinctive tephra is clearly exposed within the well stratified record approximately 6.5 m below the present land surface. We present geochemical data to confirm that this tephra is a distal equivalent of the Campanian Ignimbrite deposits and a product of the largest Late Pleistocene eruption in Europe. Originating in the Campanian volcanic province of southwest Italy, this tephra has been independently dated to 39.3 ka. It is a highly significant chronostratigraphic marker for southern Europe. Macrostratigraphic and microstratigraphic observations, allied with detailed particle size data, show that the tephra layer is in a primary depositional context and was transported into the rockshelter by aeolian processes. This site is unique because the tephra forms an abrupt boundary between the Middle and Upper Palaeolithic records. Before they can be used as chronostratigraphic markers in rockshelter and cave-mouth environments, it is essential to establish the stratigraphic integrity of distal tephras and the mechanisms and pathways involved in their transport and deposition.     

A new approach for phase transitions in miscible multi-phase flow in porous media

The tightly coupled, strongly nonlinear nature of non-isothermal multi-phase flow in porous media poses a tough challenge for numerical simulation. This trait is even more pronounced, if miscibility is also considered. A primary reason why inclusion of miscibility tends to be problematic are the difficulties stemming from phase transitions: on the one hand, phase transitions need to be included since the presence or absence of fluid phases has a major impact on the flow behavior; on the other hand, convergence of the nonlinear solver may be severely affected if they are not handled robustly.In this work, we present a mathematically sound approach to include phase transitions in the nonlinear system of equations: first, the transition conditions are formulated as a set of local inequality constraints, which are then directly integrated into the nonlinear solver using a nonlinear complementarity function. Under this scheme, Newton-Raphson solvers exhibit considerably more robust convergence behaviour compared to some previous approaches, which is then illustrated by several numerical examples.     

陕西陈耳金矿床不同构造－岩相带微量元素地球化学特征及构造控矿机理

通过对陈耳金矿床两类不同构造-岩相带微量元素分布特征分析,发现元素特别是成矿元素Au的含量从片理化带→破碎蚀变带→石英脉逐渐增强。构造-岩相带内变形岩石的石英Rf/φ法有限应变测量表明,片理化带应变强度最大,破碎蚀变带应变强度小,应变集中在韧性剪切带边部的片理化带内。R型聚类分析表明Au与Ag、Cu、Pb及Zn的相关系数远大于Au与Ni、Co元素的相关系数,甚至接近于1。研究认为:破碎蚀变带内由于应变软化导致脆性裂隙大量发育,易于成矿流体的迁入与淀积而强富集;片理化带由于应变集中,造成成矿流体的迁出而弱富集。韧性剪切带脆-韧性变形转换不仅控制了矿体就位空间,同时也决定着元素迁移的方向。     

云南播卡金矿成因分析

播卡金矿位于扬子地台西缘康滇地轴中南段的东北侧,容矿地层为中元古界昆阳群的因民组和平顶山组岩石和部分中—基性脉岩,矿床受小江脆—韧性剪切带的直接控制,矿床形态为透镜状、脉状、囊状等;矿体规模小,数量多,矿石以构造角砾岩型及石英脉型为主,矿物组合较为简单;围岩蚀变发育,且与矿化关系密切;流体包裹体测试结果显示,矿床成矿温...     

Triggering the low-carbon transition in the aftermath of the global financial crisis

An assessment of the post-Kyoto climate change negotiations, and the altered role of climate finance post-financial crisis, is presented. First, the paradigm shift of the Cancun Agreements is examined from an historical perspective and it is shown that the impasse in the negotiations, caused by the underlying over-emphasis on burden sharing reductions in emissions, can be overcome. Second, using information from two modelling exercises, it is demonstrated how climate finance can encourage the decoupling of carbon emissions from economic growth and thereby help align the development pattern with global climate goals. Third, a framework to place carbon finance within current discussions is sketched regarding both the reformation of the world financial systems and the facilitation of a sustainable economic recovery that is beneficial for North and South while addressing the low-carbon transition. It is concluded that upgrading climate finance is the key to triggering the shift to a low-carbon society and a system is proposed in which an agreed social cost of carbon is used to support the establishment of carbon emissions certificates to reorient a significant portion of global savings towards low-carbon investments.

Policy relevance

Investments that align development and climate objectives are shown to substantially lower the social cost of carbon and deliver long-term carbon emissions reductions. These reductions are greater than those contributed by the sole carbon price signal generated by a world cap-and-trade system. Carbon finance, as a part of the broader reform of financial systems and overseas aid, can help overcome the dual adversity of climate and financial crisis contexts. The carbon certificate, with an upfront agreed social cost of carbon, can be used as its instrument. The portion of the banking system that intends to reorient a significant part of world savings towards low-carbon investments could thus issue such carbon certificates. By giving carbon assets the status of a reserve currency, the system could even respond to the need of emerging countries to diversify their foreign exchange reserves and trigger a wave of worldwide sustainable growth through infrastructure markets.     

Winnie(9711)台风变性加强过程中的降水变化研究

热带气旋变性过程是其结构、强度及其风雨分布发生显著变化的过程,常导致预报失败。基于T106格点分析资料、日本气象厅TBB资料以及MM5V3数值模式结果,对9711号台风Winnie变性加强过程中的降水变化特征及其机理进行研究。结果表明,Winnie台风变性加强过程中降水分布非对称性明显,强降水带首先出现在台风环流北部,之后向南弯曲,其强降水中心绕台风中心从北部顺时针转向东北和东南部。这种降水变化一方面与Winnie与西风带高空槽相互作用过程中环境风垂直切变明显增大,且其指向顺时针旋转有关。此间台风垂直结构发生明显倾斜,变性前期涡旋环流随高度增加先向北倾斜,发展到最强时又趋于垂直,之后又向东南倾斜。强降水区出现在垂直切变的下风方、台风气柱倾斜方向一侧。另一方面还与台风环流内冷、暖平流活动紧密相关,强降水落区与低层暖平流输送位置关系密切。对流涡度矢量垂直分量反映了Winnie台风环流内中尺度锋区与风垂直切变的相互作用,800 hPa上的大值区对其强降水落区有较好的指示意义。