Generalized force vectors for multi‐mode pushover analysis of torsionally coupled systems

A generalized multi‐mode pushover analysis procedure was developed for estimating the maximum inelastic seismic response of symmetrical plan structures under earthquake ground excitations. Pushover analyses are conducted with story‐specific generalized force vectors in this procedure, with contributions from all effective modes. Generalized pushover analysis procedure is extended to three‐dimensional torsionally coupled systems in the presented study. Generalized force distributions are expressed as the combination of modal forces to simulate the instantaneous force distribution acting on the system when the interstory drift at a story reaches its maximum value during seismic response. Modal contributions to the generalized force vectors are calculated by a modal scaling rule, which is based on the complete quadratic combination. Generalized forces are applied to the mass centers of each story incrementally for producing nonlinear static response. Maximum response quantities are obtained when the individual frames attain their own target interstory drift values in each story. The developed procedure is tested on an eight‐story frame under 15 ground motions, and assessed by comparing the results obtained from nonlinear time history analysis. The method is successful in predicting the torsionally coupled inelastic response of frames responding to large interstory drift demands. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On the accuracy of the orbit of asteroid (99942) APOPHIS at the time of its encounter with the Earth in 2029

We estimate the effect of trajectory measurement errors on the orbital parameters of asteroid Apophis determined from improvements. For this purpose, based on all of the optical and radar observations available to date, we have computed a nominal orbit of the asteroid. The scatter ellipsoid of the initial conditions of motion has been obtained by two methods. In the first, universally accepted method, the scatter ellipsoid is calculated by assuming a linear dependence of the errors in the parameters being determined on observational errors. In the second method, the scatter region of the orbital parameters around the nominal-orbit parameters is determined by the Monte Carlo method. We show that the region determined by the latter method at the initial epoch differs only slightly from the scatter ellipsoid for the linear approximation. We estimate the sizes of the projections of the corresponding regions onto the target plane at the time of the closest encounter of the asteroid with the Earth in 2029. The projections are approximated by ellipses. Our computations have shown that the ellipse has the following sizes: 389.6 km for the semimajor axis and 16.4 km for the semiminor axis in the linear case and 330.0 and 11.1 km, respectively, in the nonlinear case.     

利用稳健WTLS方法进行三维激光扫描标靶球定位

针对标靶球定位缺少有效的确定协因数阵方法的问题,顾及点到平面的距离反映了点与平面的相关性及入射角对点云数据点位精度的影响,将两者推广到三维激光扫描标靶球定位中。以距离、先验入射角确定各点协因数值,并给出观测向量协因数阵及系数矩阵协因数阵,利用稳健加权总体最小二乘方法进行标靶球定位。实例表明,以距离确定协因数阵的稳健加权总体最小二乘方法解算标靶球参数估计比其他方法更精确。     

1.5～4℃升温阈值下亚洲地区气候变化预估

基于18个CMIP5模式在RCP情景下的模拟结果,综合分析了全球升温1.5～4℃阈值下亚洲地区平均温度和降水以及极端温度和降水的变化,并着重对比了1.5℃与2℃升温阈值下的异同。结果表明：相比工业化前,在全球升温1.5℃、2℃、3℃和4℃阈值下,亚洲区域平均温度将分别升高2.3℃、3.0℃、4.6℃和6.0℃,高纬度地区的响应大于中低纬地区;降水分别增加4.4%、5.8%、10.2%和13.0%,存在明显的区域差异。极热天气将增加,极冷天气将减少;极端降水量的变率将会加大。与2℃升温阈值相比：1.5℃阈值下亚洲平均温度的上升幅度将降低0.5～1.0℃以上,大部分地区的降水增幅减少5%～20%,但西亚和南亚西部的降水则偏多10%～15%;极端高温的增温幅度在亚洲地区均匀下降,而极端低温的增温幅度在亚洲中高纬地区降低显著;亚洲大部分地区极端降水的增加幅度减弱,但在西亚会增强。全球升温1.5℃和2℃时,亚洲发生非常热天气的概率相比基准期（1861-1900年）均将增加1倍以上,发生极热天气的概率普遍增加10%;发生极端强降水的概率增加10%。     

1.5℃全球温控目标浅析

《巴黎协定》将努力控制全球温升到2100年不超过工业化前的1.5℃确定为全球温控目标之一。继2℃目标后,1.5℃也被作为应对气候变化的全球温控目标之一。目前科学界对于1.5℃目标的研究还十分有限。已有的科学研究表明,尽管区域差异很大,将全球温升控制在1.5℃范围内地球各系统要承受的气候风险可能要低于2℃。相比于2℃目标,1.5℃目标对全球减缓行动的要求更为严苛。尽管在《巴黎协定》中各缔约方承诺了各自到2030（2025）年的减排目标,但相对于实现1.5℃目标而言仍有很大的差距。多家研究机构的模拟结果表明,如完全执行当前国家自主决定贡献（NDC),到21世纪末全球温升范围为2.2～3.4℃。截至2025年,实现当前NDC的减排承诺后,2℃温升目标下全球仍有467 Gt CO₂（万亿t CO₂当量）的排放空间,1.5℃温升目标下全球仅剩17 Gt CO₂。到2030年,基于NDC的排放已经超过了1.5℃目标的排放量。按当前的路径来看,若想实现将全球温升控制在1.5℃的范围内,全球不仅需要立即行动并采取强有力的减排、脱碳和固碳措施,在2100年前,还必须实现负排放才有可能实现这一目标。尽管当前的科学研究仍存在很大的不确定性,但1.5℃目标已是全球努力应对气候变化的方向,也是开启未来世界低碳可持续发展的重要标志。     

瓮安震旦系磷块岩中的生物成矿作用

生物的聚磷作用是磷块岩形成不可忽视的因素,海相磷块岩的大规模形成与生物成矿作用之间的关系十分密切。黔中地区震旦系有较厚的含磷岩层,震旦纪生物群的复苏和繁盛可能对同期磷块岩的沉积有促进作用。文章以震旦系瓮安富磷地层中抽提的有机组分为主要研究载体,采用生物标志物等技术从分子水平对其进行测试。结果表明:正构烷烃等多种分子化石的存在,暗示其生物母质源于菌藻类;正构烷烃δ(~(13)C)值变化曲线反映了南沱冰期后海洋中低等水生生物的种类相对单一。     

震源车地震勘探技术在西安地裂缝勘探中的试验研究

为克服巨大的城市环境干扰,采集高质量的人工地震勘探数据,将大吨位震源车引入到西安地裂缝人工地震勘探中,并在真实城市道路环境下对已知地裂缝进行多项试验,包括抗干扰效果、勘探深度、震源工作参数、垂直叠加次数、不同主频检波器接收、勘探排列长度、最佳反射波接收窗口等,最后将人工地震勘探结果与钻探结果进行验证对比。结果表明,大吨位震源车在实际道路干扰环境下可以得到理想的地震反射剖面,剖面中地裂缝异常明显,推测解释的地裂缝在地面的位置可信。     

航空遥感载荷验证靶标设计与光学特性测量

从航空遥感载荷综合验证场的功能需求出发,于2008 年—2009 年设计并研制了一套用于光学遥感载荷几何性能评价、辐射定标、光谱定标的人工靶标,包括三线阵靶标、扇形靶标、辐射特性靶标、MTF靶标、光谱性能评价靶标5类.该套靶标采用可重复使用、可清洗、可拼接的材料,适用于航空遥感高分辨率、灵活机动的特点.为了检验靶标的光学特性能否满足定标要求,2010 年11 月对辐射特性靶标、MTF靶标和光谱特性评价靶标进行了飞行同步光谱测量和BRF测量.野外实验结果表明,该套靶标的光谱平坦性、朗伯性、对比度均符合定标场的要求,可以用于航空传感器定标实验与相关应用.     

单标三角高程法跨河水准测量设计与实验分析

针对现行规范中2 km以上距离的三角高程法跨河水准测量应采用双觇板的规定,进行了单标三角高程法跨河水准测量的观测设计,并通过实验与双标三角高程法及已知高差进行比较分析。结果表明:单标三角高程法可用于2 km以上距离的跨河水准测量,其半测回中的垂直角观测组数宜增至双标法的2倍。