Evidence of climatic warming in the southern Urals region derived from borehole temperatures and meteorological data

Thirty borehole temperature–depth profiles in the central and southern Urals, Russia were scrutinized for evidence of ground surface temperature histories. We explored two inversion schemes: a simple ramp inversion in which solutions are parameterized in terms of an onset time and magnitude of change and a more sophisticated functional space inverse algorithm in which the functional form of the solution is left unspecified. To enhance and potentially identify latitudinal differences in the ground surface temperature signal, we subdivided the data into three groups based on geographic proximity and simultaneously inverted the borehole temperature–depth logs. The simultaneous inversions highlighted 13 temperature–depth logs that could not both fit a common ground surface temperature history and a priori models within reasonable bounds. Our results confirm that this is an effective way to reduce site-specific noise from an ensemble of boreholes. Each inversion scheme gives comparable results indicating locally variable warming on the order of 1°C starting between 1800 and 1900 AD. Similarly surface air temperature records from 12 nearby meteorological stations exhibit locally variable warming also on the order of 1°C of warming during the 20th century. To explore the degree to which borehole temperatures and surface air temperature (SAT) time series are responding to the same signal, we average the SAT data into the same three groups and used these averages as a forcing function at the Earth's surface to generate synthetic transient temperature profiles. Root mean square (RMS) misfits between these synthetic temperature profiles and averaged temperature–depth profiles are low, suggesting that first-order curvature in borehole temperatures and variations in SAT records are correlated.     

基于复杂性理论的城市经济网络研究进展与展望

城市经济网络的研究借鉴了复杂性理论的分析方法,能更细致地刻画城市网络的空间格局。现有的大量研究仍沿袭城市体系空间结构的思路,注重城市的竞争和位序关系以及城市网络的中心性,未能充分体现城市经济网络和城市体系空间格局的差异。本文通过对基本文献的梳理,从复杂性理论的视角将城市经济网络研究的发展历程分为3个阶段:20世纪40年代前的基础理论构建阶段;50-90年代的发展创新突破阶段以及21世纪以来的多元繁荣发展阶段。目前,城市经济网络研究的热点领域包括城市经济的拓扑结构和空间拟合、全球城市联系的范围测算和质量评价;城市经济网络结构的动力学影响以及城市经济网络的安全管控和功能优化。未来要关注大数据时代的数据整合和挖掘,构建城市经济网络的整体研究框架。     

毛乌素沙区沙漠化土地防治区划

毛乌素沙区在自然条件、沙漠化程度和变化趋势及产业经济发展特征等方面具有明显的空间异质性,合理地进行区域沙漠化土地防治区划是因地制宜开展土地沙漠化防治工作的重要基础。选取自然条件、沙漠化发展过程及人类活动等方面12个指标,将毛乌素沙区划分为黄土高原与鄂尔多斯高原过渡区、毛乌素沙地腹地典型草原区和西鄂尔多斯荒漠草原区3个区、7个亚区、12个小区。在区域可持续发展战略的实施过程中,要根据亚区和小区的特点有针对性地进行沙漠化土地的防治,充分利用区域资源优势,优化产业结构,确保经济效益、社会效益和生态效益的稳步提升。     

交流数字伺服系统的智能PID控制律研究

智能PID是在结合传统的PID控制和人工智能的基础上形成的，针对交流伺服系统的要求，提出智能PID控制算法，旨在提高系统控制的精度，并从理论上对控制律进行了详细地分析。然后，在Matlab的环境下进行了系统仿真实验，从结果来看，控制策略用于交流伺服系统，能够得到一个较好的系统动、静态性能，从而获得一个较好的控制品质。     

国外海洋渔业准入制度的实践分析

捕捞生产的准入是进行海洋渔业资源有效管理的必要条件。综合相关国家渔业管理发展过程,准入制度可能有三种类型:初步准入制度、投入型准入制度和产出型准入制度。准入的对象涉及渔船、渔获及渔具等。从实践经验看,在渔船数量扩展前,建立有效的准入制度的成功概率相对较大;如果现有的捕捞能力已经远超过渔业资源的承载能力时,投入型准入制度虽然还是十分重要,但在削减捕捞能力方面作用有限;产出型准入制度在一些国家的渔业实践中取得了一定的成功,但存在着诸如总可捕量控制、监测与执法等方面的问题。总体上,捕捞权利与捕捞许可证流转等是实施准入制度过程中应给予关注的两个事项。我国可在现行的捕捞许可证与船网工具指标制度的基础上完善我国投入型准入制度,将渔具纳入管理;在条件成熟的情况下,可适当过渡实施产出型准入制度。     

胶东金矿区夏甸金矿床矿化分布规律及构造控矿分析

夏甸金矿床是胶西北地区典型的蚀变岩型金矿床,金矿化主要受招平断裂带控制。本文对夏甸金矿床进行了野外地质调查,三维地质建模和构造空间分析,以期从三维空间和勘查数据中厘清矿化分布规律、探明构造控矿作用。研究结果显示,夏甸金矿床矿化主要为蚀变岩型和硫化物脉型,主要受招平断裂带及其次级构造控制,在空间中呈现出不均一分布的特征。夏甸金矿床的矿化侧伏规律,在空间中存在差异性,其中南部为NE侧伏,中段侧伏规律不明显但分支复合特征明显,而北段呈SE侧伏。这种侧伏规律与招平断裂带主裂面在走向方向的转折密切相关。进一步的空间分析显示,夏甸金矿床不同类型的矿体是不同空间范围内构造变形差异的结果。     

Gamma-Hadron Separation using Čerenkov Photon Density Fluctuations

In the atmospheric Čerenkov technique γ-rays are detected against the abundant background produced by hadronic showers. In order to improve the signal to noise ratio of theexperiment, it is necessary to reject a significant fraction of hadronic showers. Traditional background rejection methods based on image shape parameters have been extensively used for the data from imaging telescopes. However, non-imaging Čerenkov telescopes have to develop very different means of statistically identifying and removing cosmic ray events. Some of the parameters, which could be potentially important for non-imaging arrays, are the temporal and spectral differences, the lateral distributions and density fluctuations of Čerenkov photons generated by γ-ray and hadron primaries. Here we study the differences in fluctuations of Čerenkov photon density in the light pool at the observation level from showers initiated by photons and those initiated by protons or heavier nuclei. The database of simulated events for the PACT array has been used to evaluate the efficiency of the new technique. Various types of density fluctuations like the short range and medium range fluctuations as well as flatness parameter are studied. The estimated quality factors reflect the efficiencies with which the hadrons can be rejected from the data. Since some of these parameters are independent, the cuts may be applied in tandem and we demonstrate that the proton rejection efficiency of ∼90% can be achieved. Use of density fluctuations is particularly suited for wavefront sampling observations and it seems to be a good technique to improve the signal to noise ratio. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

乌什体应变的气压响应特征分析

通过选取不同时段乌什体应变、气压观测数据,利用小波分析分离观测数据中的信号,将相同频段的体应变、气压进行相关性分析。结果表明,乌什气压对乌什体应变的影响主要表现为线性关系,并且有16~64 min和64~128 h两个卓越频段。     

甘肃环县东山黄土泥流综合治理

东山四沟泥流活动频繁 ,严重威胁环县城区 1 .4万人生命和 1 .6亿元资产安全。对其采取了以均质黄土坝、排导槽、沟头防护墙和涝池等工程措施与植树造林、水平梯田和柳谷坊等生物措施相结合的综合治理方案。     

非线性Kuamoto-Sivashinsky方程的精确控制

运用泛函分析性质以及Fourier变换的方法研究带有周期边界条件的非线性k-s方程在有限时间区间上的精确控制.首先研究线性化k-s方程的精确控制,证明对于任意给定的函数u0∈Hs,uT∈Hs,总能找到一个控制函数h使得线性化k-s方程有解u且满足u(x,0)=u0,u(x,T)=uT;然后结合线性化k-s方程的精确控制,通过定义Fredholm算子并应用Fredholm算子的一些理论找到非线性化k-s方程的控制函数,使其可精确控制.