低渗透油藏CO2驱油开发方式与应用

CO₂驱是一种能大幅度提高原油采收率的三次采油技术,国内该项技术的研究和应用起步较晚,多以先导试验为主。苏北盆地溱潼凹陷经过10余年的探索,已经在5个低渗油田开展了CO₂驱先导试验和推广应用,针对这5个油藏利用一维细管模拟和油藏数值模拟方法开展了注气时机、段塞尺寸和注气部位的研究,并应用典型实例进行了分析,认为先期注入提高混相压力,可更有效地缩短两相区过渡带,增加油相中溶解的CO₂含量,降低油相粘度和油气界面张力,进而提高混相程度,更有利于驱油;采用大尺寸段塞可加大CO₂波及区域,较好地保持地层能量,从而提高油井见效率,增强驱替效果;高部位注气可有效地抑制重力超覆,减少CO₂气体过早地产出和突破的机会。就苏北盆地低渗油藏而言,采用先期注入、大尺寸段塞和高部位注气不失为一种成熟有效的提高采收率方法。     

华南前汛期广东暴雨分区动力特征及特大暴雨分析

依据2009－2013 年华南地区72 测站逐日降水资料,利用 REOF方法、合成分析等方法,分析华南前汛期（4-6 月）暴雨时空特征。结果表明：暴雨降水量占总降水量34.6%,年暴雨日数170天以上。REOF方法分析获得华南前汛期5个暴雨模态区, 其中广东两模态区中心荷载强于其余3个区,降雨更多,雨强更大。合成分析显示,广东北部暴雨区受西风带系统影响为主, 暴雨中尺度系统为气旋及变形场锋生。沿海暴雨区受副热带系统控制为主,中尺度系统主要为低空急流,输送气旋式切变和旋转涡度,及低空速度辐合, 并提供自海上来的充沛水汽,造成沿海区暴雨远强于北部区。 近5 a前汛期广东24 h累积降雨量大于200mm的大暴雨有14次,均发生在沿海暴雨模态区。两区暴雨机制分别为西风带中尺度低值系统锋生降水,和副热带系统暖区登陆地形作用降水。海温SST方面沿海暴雨区环境较北部暴雨区具有更大平均水汽潜热量,含更充沛水汽。而感热场反映沿海暴雨区从下垫面吸收更多热能量,更有利于不稳定暴雨过程维持与加强。对2010 年6 月9 -12 日广东沿海上川岛持续性特大暴雨分析显示,东北阻塞高压强盛与副热带高压西伸北进势均力敌配置,水汽通道和水汽通量散度輻合异常强盛, 湿位涡湿正压项和湿斜压项均构成有利于垂直涡度增长环境, 这些因子维持了特大暴雨过程。     

CFRP布约束增强高强混凝土柱抗震性能数值分析

采用地震工程开源模拟软件OpenSees（Open System for Earthquake Engineering Simulation）对CFRP（Carbon Fiber Reinforced Polymer,碳纤维增强复合材料）布加固高强钢筋混凝土方柱的抗震性能进行了数值分析。采用Steel02Material和Concrete02Material材料本构模型模拟了CFRP布加固高强混凝土方柱的抗震性能;在此基础上,进一步研究了轴压比和剪跨比这2个因素对试件抗震性能的影响。将所得数值分析结果与相同条件下的试验结果对比后发现：基于Steel02 Material和Concrete02 Material材料本构,利用OpenSees,可以较好地模拟CFRP布加固高强混凝土方柱的抗震性能,并且与试验结果（滞回曲线、骨架曲线、水平承载力和位移延性系数）能够较好地吻合,从而说明该数值分析方法还可以准确地反映出轴压比和剪跨比对高强混凝土柱抗震性能的影响规律。     

弹黏塑性模型及其在预压处理软基沉降计算中的应用

以准确计算预压荷载作用下软土路基的工后沉降为目的,分析了不同预压法加固软土地基时土体的应力变化。提出了用弱化应力路径变化过程的弹黏塑性模型表示软黏土的应力-应变关系。结合经典比奥固结理论,推导了预压荷载作用下土体沉降计算的有限单元法。通过具体算例,验证了所提方法。结果表明：（1）不同预压方法的加固机制和应力路径均不相同。堆载预压法加固软基是一不等向的正压固结过程,真空预压法则是在负压作用下的等向固结过程;（2）弹黏塑性模型是不受瞬时施加应力的大小及具体应力路径变化过程影响的软土流变模型,运用于预压荷载作用下的软基时具有不考虑应力路径和不划分主次固结的优越性;（3）在比奥固结理论中,用弹黏塑性模型反映软土的物理方程时,可计算软基考虑了弹黏塑变形性质的固结沉降和工后沉降;（4）弹黏塑性模型的软土体黏性参数? /V和塑性参数? /V对竖向位移都有比较明显的影响。     

一种准刚性基础-桩-土共同作用非线性分析的近似方法

通过与刚性基础-桩群-土体系的比较,对级配碎石水密法填筑路堤-土工格栅(含基底缓冲层)-现浇薄壁筒桩复合地基体系提出了一种准刚性基础-桩-土共同作用的非线性分析近似方法。计算表明,该方法简便、实用,能较好地反映桩、土非线性特性对路堤受力变形的影响。     

复合桩基水泥土非线性应力-应变关系模型

在不同区域采集相关样品,根据不同水泥掺合比及护龄期不同,采用几种不同围压分别进行水泥土三轴压缩试验,通过试验结果得到应力一应变曲线,提出一个具有峰值后下降并趋于某定值性质的分段连续函数,并以该分段连续函数表示水泥土的力学模型。     

基于性能的碳纤维抗震加固设计

本文探讨了基于性能的加固设计的基本思路和设计过程,并给出了一个基于性能的碳纤维加固设计的工程实例,采用pushover静力推覆分析的方法分析对比了结构加固前后的性能,表明原结构的抗震性能不足,经碳纤维加固后的结构抗震性能明显提高,满足8度抗震设防烈度要求。     

Topographic predictors of susceptibility to alluvial fan flooding,Southern Apennines

The flooding susceptibility of alluvial fans in the Southern Apennines has long been neglected. To partly address this oversight, we focus on the region of Campania which contains highly urbanized piedmont areas particularly vulnerable to flooding. Our findings are based on stratigraphic analysis of the fans and morphometric analysis of the basin‐fan systems. Using geomorphological analysis we recognized active alluvial fans while stratigraphic analysis together with statistical analysis of the morphometric variables was used to classify the fans in terms of the transport process involved. The results indicate that in the geological context examined, the best discrimination between debris flow (Df) and water flood (Wf) processes is achieved by means of two related variables, one for the basin (feeder channel inclination, Cg) and one for the fan (fan length, Fl). The probability that an unclassified fan belongs to group Wf is computed by applying a logistic function in which a P value exceeding 0.5 indicates that a basin/fan system belongs to group Wf. This important result led to the classification of the entire basin/fan system data. As regards process intensity, debris flow‐dominated fans are susceptible to the occurrence of flows with high viscosity and hence subject to more severe events than water flood‐dominated fans. Bearing this in mind, the data gathered in this study allow us to detect where alluvial fan flooding might occur and give information on the different degrees of susceptibility at a regional scale. Regrettably, urban development in recent decades has failed to take the presence of such alluvial fans into account due to the long recurrence time (50–100 years) between floods. This paper outlines the distribution of such susceptibility scenarios throughout the region, thereby constituting an initial step to implementing alluvial fan flooding control and mitigation. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Levee effects upon flood levels: an empirical assessment

This study used stream gauge records to assess the impact of levees on flood levels, providing an empirical test of theoretical and model predictions of the effects on local flood response. Focusing upon a study area in Illinois and Iowa for which levee records were available, we identified 203 gauges with ≥ 50 years hydrological record, including 15 gauges where a levee was constructed during the period of record. At these sites, step‐change analysis utilizing regression residuals tested levee‐related stage changes and levels of significance and quantified the magnitudes of stage changes. Despite large differences in stream sizes, levee alignments, and degree of floodplain constriction, the post‐levee rating‐curve adjustments showed consistent signatures. For all the study sites, stages for below bankfull (non‐flood) conditions were unaffected by levee construction. For above bankfull (flood) conditions, stages at sites downstream of their associated levees also were statistically indistinguishable before versus after levee construction. However, at all sites upstream of levees or within leveed reaches, stages increased for above bankfull conditions. These increases were abrupt, statistically significant, and generally large in magnitude – ranging up to 2.3 m (Wabash River at Mt. Carmel, IL). Stage increases began when discharge increased above bankfull flow and generally increased in magnitude with discharge until the associated levee(s) were overtopped. Detailed site assessments and supplementary data available from some sites helped document the dominant mechanisms by which levees can increase flood levels. Levee construction reduces the area of the floodplain open to storage of flood waters and reduces the width of the floodplain open to conveyance of flood flow. Floodplain conveyance often is underestimated or ignored, but Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) measurements analysed here confirm previous studies that up to 70% or more of the total discharge during large floods (~3% chance flood) can move over the floodplain. Upstream of levees and levee‐related floodplain constriction, backwater effects reduce flow velocities relative to pre‐levee conditions and, thus, increase stages for a given discharge. The empirical results here confirm a variety of theoretical predictions of levee effects but suggest that many one‐dimensional model‐based predictions of levee‐related stage changes may underestimate actual levee impacts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

濮阳地区油田注水引起的重力场变化与地震活动性的关系

收集了1995—2007年中原油田濮阳地区各油田的注水开采等质量迁移资料,利用图示法研究发现油田注水与区域地震活动之间存在一定联系,并定量计算了油田注水引起的重力变化量。结合重力复测资料对油田注水引起的重力场变化和该地区地震之间的关系进行了初步研究,其注采作业引起的重力场变化在±0.1～10×10-8 m.s-2之间,并随着油田中心区域的距离而衰减。