老鹰岩滑坡成因机制与运动特征研究

老鹰岩滑坡是汶川地震触发的大型岩质滑坡,滑坡纵长450 m,最大展宽430 m,体积约1 500×104m3。滑坡掩埋了一座中型水电站,造成20余人死亡,巨大的滑体堆积厚达100余米的滑坡坝,形成了汶川震区库容量仅次于唐家山的第二大堰塞湖。强震触发形成老鹰岩滑坡分为三个阶段,即:①后缘震动拉裂阶段。老鹰岩滑坡后缘为一突兀山脊,地形对地震动力放大效应明显,震动拉裂沿长大结构面形成了一个陡峭、粗糙,与重力作用下呈光滑、有一定弧形的后缘拉裂面迥异的边界。②摩擦阻力降低、滑体溃滑阶段。地震动力的持续作用,地震波不断在滑面处发生反射和折射,使得滑面处摩擦阻力迅速降低,进而岩体内"锁固段"剪断,滑体顺层面高速下滑。③滑体高速流动堆积阶段。规模巨大的滑体,冲入姜巴沟,并对沟两侧的山体产生强烈的铲刮,高速碎屑流受到黄洞子沟左侧山体强力阻挡后折返,并震动堆积形成堰塞湖。     

加味归芍异功散联合西药四联疗法治疗幽门螺杆菌相关性慢性胃炎30例

目的：观察加味归芍异功散合西药四联疗法治疗脾胃虚弱型幽门螺杆菌（Hp）相关性慢性胃炎的临床疗效。方法：将60 例Hp相关性慢性胃炎脾胃虚弱证患者按照随机数字表法分为治疗组和对照组,每组各30 例。治疗组采用加味归芍异功散合西药四联疗法治疗,对照组仅采用西药四联疗法治疗,比较2组的中医证候疗效、Hp根除情况、中医证候评分（胃脘隐痛、胃脘胀满、乏力、纳呆、气短、大便稀溏）以及不良反应发生情况。结果：中医证候疗效总有效率治疗组为100.00%（30/30）,对照组为93.34%（28/30）,2组比较,差异有统计学意义（P<0.01）;Hp根除总有效率治疗组为100.00%（30/30）,对照组为80.00%（24/30）,2组比较,差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）;2组治疗后中医证候各项评分均较治疗前下降,且治疗组下降幅度较对照组更大（P<0.05）;不良反应发生率治疗组为6.67%（2/30）,对照组为20.00%（6/30）,组间比较,差异无统计学意义（P>0.05）。结论：加味归芍异功散合西药四联疗法治疗Hp相关性慢性胃炎脾胃虚弱证的临床疗效优于单用四联疗法,值得临床推广应用。     

一种基于贝叶斯理论的区域斜坡稳定性评价模型

本文结合滑坡物理模型和统计模型的优点,针对小流域滑坡稳定性分析,建立了一种基于贝叶斯理论的区域斜坡稳定性评价模型。该模型主要采用灾害自身信息来修正原始模型中的参数,解决了区域稳定性评价中参数难以确定的问题。该方法首先设定模型的初始参数分布,然后利用采样点雨前和雨后稳定性不同的信息建立验证方程,再根据马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗模拟和贝叶斯方法确定最终的参数分布,进而得出区域稳定性分布。应用该模型对福建省蔡源小流域的6 13滑坡群发性事件进行分析。结果显示,蔡源小流域地区的无量纲黏聚系数C为0.028,有效摩擦角为16.7,土壤的导水系数T和降雨量q的比值为529.026m,可能不稳定地区和不稳定地区达到76.0%。该模型利用历史灾害数据自动模拟出合适的参数,对区域滑坡稳定性评价具有重要意义。     

南平市红星滑坡泥石流特征及成因

该滑坡泥石流特征为,流域面积小,流程短,规模小,以坡面型为主,多由滑坡崩塌转化而来,发生频率低,突发性强,危害大。文章揭示在植被覆盖的花岗岩地区,持续强降雨引发群发性浅层土质滑坡,在斜坡微凹处或小沟谷,易转化成泥石流,形成灾害链。对该类型滑坡泥石流特征及成因进行分析,为福建省乃至全国同类型滑坡-泥石流的防治提供经验。     

Centrifuge modelling of landslides and landslide hazard mitigation: A review

Landslides are serious geohazards that occur under a variety of climatic conditions and can cause many casualties and significant economic losses. Centrifuge modelling, as a representative type of physical modelling, provides a realistic simulation of the stress level in a small-scale model and has been applied over the last 50 years to develop a better understanding of landslides. With recent developments in this technology, the application of centrifuge modelling in landslide science has significantly increased. Here, we present an overview of physical models that can capture landslide processes during centrifuge modelling. This review focuses on (i) the experimental principles and considerations, (ii) landslide models subjected to various triggering factors, including centrifugal acceleration, rainfall, earthquakes, water level changes, thawing permafrost, excavation, external loading and miscellaneous conditions, and (iii) different methods for mitigating landslides modelled in centrifuge, such as the application of nails, piles, geotextiles, vegetation, etc. The behaviors of all the centrifuge models are discussed, with emphasis on the deformation and failure mechanisms and experimental techniques. Based on this review, we provide a best-practice methodology for preparing a centrifuge landslide test and propose further efforts in terms of the seven aspects of model materials, testing design and equipment, measurement methods, scaling laws, full-scale test applications, landslide early warning, and 3D modelling to better understand the complex behaviour of landslides.     

突变理论在边坡工程应用的研究进展

突变理论是非线性科学领域中的一个重要分支,作为一种数学工具已经在众多领域得到广泛应用,在边坡工程中的应用尤为活跃。首先简述了突变理论的发展概况和基本原理,然后分别从3个方面详细论述了突变理论在边坡工程应用中的研究进展,即基于尖点突变法的边(斜)坡稳定性分析、基于突变级数法的边(斜)坡稳定性评价和基于灰色理论、模糊数学的尖点突变预测模型对滑坡时间预报,重点讨论了相应的理论模型、应用方法和实际效果,最后结合目前存在的问题探讨突变理论在边坡工程的发展趋势。     

A comparison of the GIS based landslide susceptibility assessment methods: multivariate versus bivariate

The purpose of this study is to evaluate and to compare the results of multivariate (logical regression) and bivariate (landslide susceptibility) methods in Geographical Information System (GIS) based landslide susceptibility assessment procedures. In order to achieve this goal the Asarsuyu catchment in NW Turkey was selected as a test zone because of its well-known landslide occurrences interfering with the E-5 highway mountain pass.Two methods were applied to the test zone and two separate susceptibility maps were produced. Following this a two-fold comparison scheme was implemented. Both methods were compared by the Seed Cell Area Indexes (SCAI) and by the spatial locations of the resultant susceptibility pixels.It was found that both of the methods converge in 80% of the area; however, the weighting algorithm in the bivariate technique (landslide susceptibility method) had some severe deficiencies, as the resultant hazard classes in overweighed areas did not converge with the factual landslide inventory map. The result of the multivariate technique (logical regression) was more sensitive to the different local features of the test zone and it resulted in more accurate and homogeneous susceptibility maps.     

Undrained dynamic-loading ring-shear apparatus and its application to landslide dynamics

Landslides are gravitational mass movements of rock, debris or earth. Some move very slowly, thus conforming to the field of statics, but some move rapidly. Study of the initiation and motion of rapid landslides needs to develop Landslide Dynamics involving dynamic loading and dynamic generation/dissipation of excess pore-water pressure. New developments in science can be facilitated by new technological advances. This study aimed to develop a new apparatus that can geotechnically simulate the formation of the shear zone and the following long and rapid shear displacement that occurs in high-velocity landslides. Professor K. Sassa and his colleagues at DPRI (Disaster Prevention Research Institute), Kyoto University, have worked to develop an undrained dynamic-loading ring-shear apparatus for this purpose. A series of different types of apparatus (DPRI-3, 4, 5, 6, 7) have been developed from 1992 to the present. This paper describes the development of this apparatus and its application to the study of earthquake-induced landslides and the latest landslide-triggered debris flow in Japan. Also, tests of the latest version (DPRI-7) with a transparent shear box for direct observation of the shear zone during a rapid shearing are described.     

Morphology and geometry of Valles Marineris landslides

The walls of the Valles Marineris canyons are affected by about 45 landslides. The study of these landslides provides a test of the hypothesis of processes having affected Martian wallslopes after their formation. The dynamics of Valles Marineris landslides are controversial : either the landslides are interpreted as large debris flows or as dry rock avalanches. Their morphology and their topography are basic parameters to understand their dynamics. From topographic MOLA data and remote sensing images acquired with different spatial resolutions (Viking, THEMIS, MOC), the 3D geometry of 45 landslides of Valles Marineris has been studied. The landslides have been classified in 3 geomorphologic classes from the topography of the landslide deposits: the “chaotic” landslides without well identified structures, the “structured deposit without debris aprons” landslides with tectonic structures and small roughness at the deposit front and the “structured deposit with debris aprons” which display circular normal faults at the back of the deposit and several debris aprons at the front of the landslide. The spatial distribution of the three morphological types is in relation with the confinement of the canyons. The initial volume and the total deposited volume were also measured to compute volume balances. The deposited volumes range from 50 to . All volume balances display a maximum deficit ranging from 5% to 70%. The landslides with the largest deficits take place within an enclosed-canyon (Hebes Chasma). Lacking material exportation, these deficits could be interpreted as reflecting the porosity of the landslide source. This fact is in agreement with the hypothesis of a karstic origin of these enclosed-canyons. The Valles Marineris landslides have large mobilities (length/vertical drop) ranging from 1.8 to 12 implying low coefficients of friction and so fluidization mechanisms. The possible filling up of the porosity by volatile could be compatible with the fluidization patterns of Valles Marineris landslides.     

汶川地震重灾区泥石流沟内崩滑物空间分布的RS-GIS定量方法

汶川地震在山区引发大量崩塌、滑坡,形成大量的固体松散碎屑物质堆积在沟谷内(CLCAR,崩滑碎屑区),使得地震山区泥石流活动性增强。以岷江上游四川省汶川县银杏乡、映秀镇的15条泥石流沟的SPOT遥感影像为基础,利用GIS技术对CLCAR空间分布进行分析。建立CLCAR与流域高程、主沟侧距和沟口纵距的分布函数T(x)、M(x)和G(x),对CLCAR的空间分布特征进行描述;并计算其积分(DT、DM和DG)作为CLCAR空间分布特征的定量化参数。结果表明,函数T(x)、M(x)和G(x)能够较全面描述CLCAR的空间分布特征,DT、DM和DG能够作为CLCAR空间分布特征的定量化参数。泥石流沟谷内CLCAR的空间分布对泥石流的形成及规模具有一定的影响;在对灾区泥石流研究时有必要考虑泥石流沟内CLCAR空间分布特征。