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RBF神经网络在雷达定量估测降水中的应用研究

利用重庆气象局CINRAD/SA气象雷达降水回波资料和相应地区的地面雨量站资料,基于径向基函数神经网络,建立雷达定量估测降水模型,将其用于地面降水估测。作为比较,同时以变分法得到的Z-R关系式估测所得降水。经二者对比试验结果表明:建立的雷达定量估测降水模型的估测精度和稳定性要明显优于Z-R关系式,能较好地反映降雨的真实情况。     

线性参数系统的多新息辨识方法

系统有线性和非线性之分.线性系统有统一的描述形式,非线性系统因类别无数,不可能有统一描述.线性参数系统是一类特殊的非线性系统,它在参数空间上呈现线性特征,介于线性系统与非线性系统之间.针对伪线性参数系统,讨论了基于辅助模型的多新息辨识方法、基于滤波的辅助模型多新息辨识方法、基于模型分解的辅助模型多新息辨识方法、基于滤波的分解多新息辨识方法,并给出了几个典型辨识算法的计算量、计算步骤和流程图.     

Underwater Terrain Positioning Method Based on Least Squares Estimation for AUV

To achieve accurate positioning of autonomous underwater vehicles, an appropriate underwater terrain database storage format for underwater terrain-matching positioning is established using multi-beam data as underwater terrain-matching data. An underwater terrain interpolation error compensation method based on fractional Brownian motion is proposed for defects of normal terrain interpolation, and an underwater terrain-matching positioning method based on least squares estimation (LSE) is proposed for correlation analysis of topographic features. The Fisher method is introduced as a secondary criterion for pseudo localization appearing in a topographic features flat area, effectively reducing the impact of pseudo positioning points on matching accuracy and improving the positioning accuracy of terrain flat areas. Simulation experiments based on electronic chart and multi-beam sea trial data show that drift errors of an inertial navigation system can be corrected effectively using the proposed method. The positioning accuracy and practicality are high, satisfying the requirement of underwater accurate positioning.     

Estimating time-based instantaneous total mortality rate based on the age-structured abundance index

The instantaneous total mortality rate(Z) of a fish population is one of the important parameters in fisheries stock assessment. The estimation of Z is crucial to fish population dynamics analysis,abundance and catch forecast,and fisheries management. A catch curve-based method for estimating time-based Z and its change trend from catch per unit effort(CPUE) data of multiple cohorts is developed. Unlike the traditional catch-curve method,the method developed here does not need the assumption of constant Z throughout the time,but the Z values in n continuous years are assumed constant,and then the Z values in different n continuous years are estimated using the age-based CPUE data within these years. The results of the simulation analyses show that the trends of the estimated time-based Z are consistent with the trends of the true Z,and the estimated rates of change from this approach are close to the true change rates(the relative differences between the change rates of the estimated Z and the true Z are smaller than 10%). Variations of both Z and recruitment can affect the estimates of Z value and the trend of Z. The most appropriate value of n can be different given the effects of different factors. Therefore,the appropriate value of n for different fisheries should be determined through a simulation analysis as we demonstrated in this study. Further analyses suggested that selectivity and age estimation are also two factors that can affect the estimated Z values if there is error in either of them,but the estimated change rates of Z are still close to the true change rates. We also applied this approach to the Atlantic cod(G adus morhua) fishery of eastern Newfoundland and Labrador from 1983 to 1997,and obtained reasonable estimates of time-based Z.     

Impact of the spatial resolution of climatic data and soil physical properties on regional corn yield predictions using the STICS crop model

The assimilation of Earth observation (EO) data into crop models has proven to be an efficient way to improve yield prediction at a regional scale by estimating key unknown crop management practices. However, the efficiency of prediction depends on the uncertainty associated with the data provided to crop models, particularly climatic data and soil physical properties. In this study, the performance of the STICS (Simulateur mulTIdisciplinaire pour les Cultures Standard) crop model for predicting corn yield after assimilation of leaf area index derived from EO data was evaluated under different scenarios. The scenarios were designed to examine the impact of using fine-resolution soil physical properties, as well as the impact of using climatic data from either one or four weather stations across the region of interest. The results indicate that when only one weather station was used, the average annual yield by producer was predicted well (absolute error <5%), but the spatial variability lacked accuracy (root mean square error = 1.3 t ha⁻¹). The model root mean square error for yield prediction was highly correlated with the distance between the weather stations and the fields, for distances smaller than 10 km, and reached 0.5 t ha⁻¹ for a 5-km distance when fine-resolution soil properties were used. When four weather stations were used, no significant improvement in model performance was observed. This was because of a marginal decrease (30%) in the average distance between fields and weather stations (from 10 to 7 km). However, the yield predictions were improved by approximately 15% with fine-resolution soil properties regardless of the number of weather stations used. The impact of the uncertainty associated with the EO-derived soil textures and the impact of alterations in rainfall distribution were also evaluated. A variation of about 10% in any of the soil physical textures resulted in a change in dry yield of 0.4 t ha⁻¹. Changes in rainfall distribution between two abundant rainfalls during the growing season led to a significant change in yield (0.5 t ha⁻¹ on average). Our results highlight the importance of using fine-resolution gridded daily precipitation data to capture spatial variations of rainfall as well as using fine-resolution soil properties instead of coarse-resolution soil properties from the Canadian soil dataset, especially for regions with high pedodiversity.     

结合分形理论和自适应图像块划分的遥感图像噪声估计

针对场景复杂的光学遥感图像中加性噪声估计问题,提出了一种结合分形理论和自适应图像块划分的噪声估计方法。区别于传统的基于规则图像块划分的噪声估计方法,本文提出了一种自适应于图像局部信息的图像块划分算法,更大程度地保证了自适应图像块内部的平滑性。结合基于分形理论的图像低粗糙度纹理区域选取和基于统计分析的图像噪声标准差计算,实现了光学遥感图像加性噪声强度的自动估计。利用资源三号卫星图像进行定量试验分析,试验结果表明本文方法可以有效地适用于不同复杂程度、不同噪声强度的光学遥感图像。同时,本文中低粗糙度纹理区域选取和自适应图像块划分的方法经过改进后,还可以应用于雷达图像中乘性噪声的估计。     

基于三维平差的基坑监测数据处理方法探讨

在基坑监测自由测站边角交会构网监测方法的基础上,提出基于全站仪观测数据的三维平差数据处理方法。通过结合工程实例,对监测数据进行精度分析,并比较三维平差与传统平差方法的计算结果,验证文中方法可满足二级基坑的监测精度要求,能准确、高效地监测基坑形变。     

利用车载激光扫描的城市森林三维绿量估算

针对城市森林绿量估算研究不足的现状,该文提出了结合高分辨率航空遥感影像和车载激光扫描技术估算城市森林三维绿量的方法:首先从车载激光扫描数据中提取道路两侧单株树的生物物理参数,再结合从航空遥感影像中提取的植被分布,对均质城市森林片区进行三维绿量的拟合计算;最后以上海市滨江森林公园为例进行了方法验证。结果表明,该方法能够拓展车载激光扫描系统应用的领域,为城市绿化信息的获取提供参考。     

自变量优化的一元线性回归

一元线性回归是应用最为广泛的参数估计方法之一。文中提出一元线性回归的自变量在等差级数的基础上进行双向黄金分割,提高两端点观测值的多余观测分量,缩小观测值之间多余观测分量的差异,在不增加观测值数量和不改变观测值精度的前提下,提高稳健估计方法消除或减弱粗差的能力。