太行山前倾斜平原区地下水位动态特征分析及其趋势预测--以河北省栾城县为例

随着太行山前社会经济的飞速发展 ,地下水的开采量大大增加 ,多年的连续超采 ,导致地下水位大幅度持续下降。本文以河北省栾城县为例 ,在研究区内水文地质条件以及对区内的地下水进行全面监测的基础上 ,对区内多年的地下水动态特征进行了综合分析研究 ,并在此基础上采用灰色系统理论对区内的浅层地下水位总体变化趋势进行了预测。研究表明 ,区内地下水开发利用程度较高 ,农业的季节性开采是影响地下水动态的主要因素 ,地下水位表现为典型的开采型动态 ,在现有地下水开采条件下 ,地下水位将以 1m a的速度下降。     

青藏高原能量与水循环国际合作研究的进展与展望

青藏高原能量与水循环过程对我国、东亚乃至全球的天气和气候系统都有着非常重要的作用.1996年以来,在国家自然科学基金委员会、中国科学院、中国气象局等相关部门和日本政府的大力支持下,我们针对青藏高原能量和水循环过程的重要性,成功地开展了青藏高原尺度和藏北地区中尺度的"全球能量水循环之亚洲季风青藏高原试验研究"(GAME/Tibet)项目和"全球协调加强观测计划之亚澳季风青藏高原试验研究"(CAMP/Tibet)项目近10余年的连续观测,取得了以往高原试验从未有过的大量极其珍贵的综合观测资料.而且在利用试验资料分析、卫星遥感及数值模拟等手段研究青藏高原能量与水循环方面取得大量的阶段性成果.介绍了青藏高原能量与水循环的研究进展及国际合作在项目执行过程中所起到的作用,同时介绍国际合作在吸纳境外研究资源及培养青年科技人才中所起的作用.最后提出了国际合作中存在的问题,并给出了相关的建议.     

Changes of Late Mesozoic Tectonic Regimes around the Ordos Basin (North China) and their Geodynamic Implications

A synthesis is given in this paper on late Mesozoic deformation pattern in the zones around the Ordos Basin based on lithostratigraphic and structural analyses. A relative chronology of the late Mesozoic tectonic stress evolution was established from the field analyses of fault kinematics and constrained by stratigraphic contact relationships. The results show alternation of tectonic compressional and extensional regimes. The Ordos Basin and its surroundings were in weak N-S to NNE-SSW extension during the Early to Middle Jurassic, which reactivated E-W-trending basement fractures. The tectonic regime changed to a multi-directional compressional one during the Late Jurassic, which resulted in crustal shortening deformation along the marginal zones of the Ordos Basin. Then it changed to an extensional one during the Early Cretaceous, which rifted the western, northwestern and southeastern margins of the Ordos Basin. A NW-SE compression occurred during the Late Cretaceous and caused the termination of sedimentation and uplift of the Ordos Basin. This phased evolution of the late Mesozoic tectonic stress regimes and associated deformation pattern around the Ordos Basin best records the changes in regional geodynamic settings in East Asia, from the Early to Middle Jurassic post-orogenic extension following the Triassic collision between the North and South China Blocks, to the Late Jurassic multi-directional compressions produced by synchronous convergence of the three plates (the Siberian Plate to the north, Paleo-Pacific Plate to the east and Lhasa Block to the west) towards the East Asian continent. Early Cretaceous extension might be the response to collapse and lithospheric thinning of the North China Craton.     

河南省栾川县三道庄钼钨矿床地质和流体包裹体研究

河南省栾川县三道庄钼钨矿床是东秦岭钼矿带的5个超大型钼矿床之一,产于华北克拉通南缘,形成于燕山期碰撞造山体制的后碰撞构造环境.矿体定位于燕山期花岗斑岩与栾川群浅变质碎屑岩-碳酸盐建造的外接触带,矿石构造主要是浸染状和网脉状,广泛发育长英质脉、辉钼矿脉、石英.辉钼矿脉、石英-黄铁矿脉、碳酸盐-萤石脉等.围岩蚀变类型复杂,主要有矽卡岩化、钾化、硅化、绿帘石化、绿泥石化、绢云母化、碳酸盐化、萤石化以及黄铁矿化、辉钼矿化等硫化物化,矿石类型主要是矽卡岩型和角岩型,属于典型矽卡岩型钼钨矿床.成矿过程分为矽卡岩阶段(早)、石英-硫化物阶段(中)和石英-碳酸盐(晚)3个阶段.流体包裹体有CO_2-H_2O、H_2O-NaCl和含子晶包裹体等3种类型,早阶段主要发育CO_2-H_2O和含子晶包裹体,晚阶段只见H_2O-NaCl包裹体,中阶段发育3类包裹体;早、中、晚3个阶段流体包裹体均一温度分别为394～552℃、290～410℃和140～290℃,盐度分别为20.60 wt%～67.18 wt% NaCl.eqv、6.30 wt%～48.55 wt%NaCl.eqv和3.39 wt%～11.46wt% NaCl.eqv.早阶段流体具有高温、高盐度、富含CO_2的岩浆热液特征,晚阶段流体以低温、低盐度、贫CO_2为特征,中阶段流体沸腾作用强烈,是成矿物质快速沉淀的重要机制.成矿系统由静岩压力向静水压力体系转变,趋于开放.     

典型岩溶槽谷区地下河水文动态响应研究——以重庆青木关地下河为例

为了更好地掌握重庆青木关地下河水文动态变化规律,2007年5月至2008年6月利用WGZ-1型光电数字水位计和水质监测仪(CTDP300型在线水质分析仪）,对降雨量和地下河水位、水温、pH及电导率进行了连续自动监测,并采用水文动态曲线线型分析法分析了该地下河水文动态变化对降水事件的响应。结果表明,地下河水文动态对降雨响应迅速,水位流量过程曲线线型呈不对称尖峰型,尤其在2007年7月17日出现的大暴雨事件中,最高水位为1.175m,滞后最大雨强6h10min,最大流量为2.5781m3/s,而观测中该地下河最小流量仅为0.0189 m3/s,反映出该岩溶地下河发育强烈,赋水空间较单一、含水层对水资源调蓄能力较弱。电导率、pH和水温对降雨同样快速响应,电导率由602.7μs/cm降到462.09μs/cm,pH由7.23降到7.01,水温由18.9℃上升到19.5℃,各指标滞后不超过15h。      

中尺度WRF数值模式系统本地化业务试验

利用中尺度WRF数值模式及WRF三维变分同化系统,在对比试验的基础上,选取了适合本地的积云过程、微物理过程和辐射过程的方案组合;选择了NCEP/GFS作为模式的背景场;统计计算了以云南为中心的区域背景误差协方差并替换了三维变分同化系统中原有的背景误差协方差;同时,考虑模式底层高度与地面观测站高度的差异,进行了地面资料地形订正.通过上述试验研究,建立了本地化的中尺度WRF数值预报业务系统,该系统能较好地刻画本地下垫面的动力和热力状况,预报能力有明显改善.     

河西走廊东部一次霜冻天气过程成因及其对农业的影响

2016年5月15日清晨河西走廊东部发生区域性强霜冻天气,对农林业生产造成了2004年以来最为严重的灾害。本文利用实时MICAPS常规观测资料、物理量场和河西走廊东部区域内6个国家自动气象观测站和93个区域气象站观测资料,对这次冻害天气过程的天气学成因进行分析,在此基础上分析了霜冻对农业的影响。结果表明强冷空气爆发是造成冻害的直接原因;0 cm地面温度和气温≤0 ℃持续时间长,导致农林作物深度冻伤;前期气温偏高使得农林作物发育期提前,加之霜冻出现时间偏迟,农林作物抵抗冻害的能力明显下降,冻害影响加重;冻害发生后,温度急剧上升、湿度迅速减小,作物水分强烈蒸腾,作物细胞失去受损,导致受灾程度加重。     

Application of the hydrologic visibility concept to estimate rainfall measurement quality of two planned weather radars

This paper presents a practical application of the “hydrologic visibility” concept to select the future site of two planned weather radars of the French national network ARAMIS. This selection was realised by simulating the errors in radar rainfall measurement due to interactions of the radar beam with relief, and to the vertical variation of the radar reflectivity with altitude. Results show the interest of these simulations to optimise the radar location according to the objectives of radar coverage. Beyond these results, this paper highlights aspects interesting for hydrology: this type of simulation can be used to assess the radar measurement quality before initiating a quantitative exploitation of radar data, and before making a comparison or a combination with rain gauge data.     

Simulation of quasi-linear mesoscale convective systems in northern China: Lightning activities and storm structure

Two intense quasi-linear mesoscale convective systems(QLMCSs) in northern China were simulated using the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model and the 3D-Var(three-dimensional variational) analysis system of the ARPS(Advanced Regional Prediction System) model.A new method in which the lightning density is calculated using both the precipitation and non-precipitation ice mass was developed to reveal the relationship between the lightning activities and QLMCS structures.Results indicate that,compared with calculating the results using two previous methods,the lightning density calculated using the new method presented in this study is in better accordance with observations.Based on the calculated lightning densities using the new method,it was found that most lightning activity was initiated on the right side and at the front of the QLMCSs,where the surface wind field converged intensely.The CAPE was much stronger ahead of the southeastward progressing QLMCS than to the back it,and their lightning events mainly occurred in regions with a large gradient of CAPE.Comparisons between lightning and non-lightning regions indicated that lightning regions featured more intense ascending motion than non-lightning regions;the vertical ranges of maximum reflectivity between lightning and non-lightning regions were very different;and the ice mixing ratio featured no significant differences between the lightning and non-lightning regions.     

郑州市汛期FSFE02、FSFE03降水预报效果检验

利用2000－2001年6－9月份日本数值预报产品，郑州市降水实况资料及同期天气图，对日本数值预报产品在郑州市汛期天气预报中的应用效果进行了检验。结果表明；用FSFE02，FSFE03作郑州市24h汛期降水预报效果最好的是晴雨预报；各月预报能力有差异；空报率高于漏报率。在500hPa为偏南气流的条件下，该数值产品的预报效率较高；对于两层均为偏北气流及高层低槽中空西北气流的天气系统配置预报效率也较高；若中高层均为低槽，则预报效率最低。