重庆市夏季气温及降水变化的小波分析

利用重庆市长年代气温及降水观测资料,用MHF(墨西哥帽函数)小波方法分析重庆市夏季气温及降水的时间——频率的多层次时间尺度变化特征。结果表明,重庆市夏季气温及降水变化具有明显的阶段性,且降水变化较气温更复杂;重庆市夏季平均气温变化以3年周期振动最强。而降水变化则以10年周期振动最强。     

Computational fluid dynamics modeling of abutment scour under steady current using the level set method

The scour and deposition pattern around an abutment under constant discharge condition is calculated using a three dimensional (3D) Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) model. The Reynolds-Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) equations are solved in three dimensions using a CFD model. The Level Set Method (LSM) is used for calculation of both free surface and bed topography. The two-equation turbulence model (k-ε and k-ω) is used to calculate the eddy viscosity in the RANS equations. The pressure term in the RANS equations on a staggered grid is modeled using the Chorin's projection method. The 5th order Weighted Essentially Non-Oscillatory (WENO) scheme discretizes the convective term of the RANS equations. The Kovacs and Parker and Dey formulations are used for the reduction in bed shear stress on the sloping bed. The model also used the sandslide algorithm which limits bed shear stress reduction during the erosion process. The numerical model solution is validated against experimental results collected at the Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy. Further, the numerical model is tested for performance by varying the grid sizes and key parameters like the space and time discretization schemes. The effect of varying bed porosity has been evaluated. Overall, the free surface is well represented in a realistic manner and bed topography is well predicted using the Level Set Method (LSM).     

Retrieval single-doppler radar wind with variational assimilation method-part i: objective selection of functional weighting factors

In variational problem, the selection of functional weighting factors (FWF) is one of the key points for discussing many relevant studies. To overcome arbitrariness and subjectivity of the empirical selecting methods used widely at present, this paper tries to put forward in optimal objective selecting method of FWF. The focus of the study is on the weighting factors optimal selection in the variation retrieval single-Doppler radar wind field with the simple adjoint models. Weighting factors in the meaning of minimal variance are calculated out with the matrix theory and the finite difference method of partial differential equation. Experiments show that the result is more objective comparing with the factors obtained with the empirical method.     

Time-Variations of D-Region Electron Densities, and Comparisons With Model Computations

An extensive series of incoherent scatter studies of the ionospheric D-region was carried out at the Arecibo radar facility during 1978 and 1979. They included several full-day sequences of electron density measurements over a range of altitudes, and also included a sequence during the serendipitous occurrence of a large solar flare. For the solar flare event simultaneous data on solar X-ray fluxes in several wavelength bands were available from the GOES-2 and ISEE-3 satellites. In the course of development of a large ionospheric computer model at Los Alamos we have used the solar flare data as a reality check. The solar X-ray flux data were used as inputs for computing ionization rates. The model computer includes 999 chemical reactions, and also includes diffusion and transport processes. In the course of the flare studies we used the data comparisons to adjust the values of three chemical rate coefficients that were poorly known. With those adjustments the model computations fitted the data quite well. Subsequent to the flare analysis we have been using the same model with some minor updates to compute the expected diurnal variations of the ambient D-region under conditions chosen to match those existing at the times of the incoherent scatter measurements. Comparisons of the computations and the data will be shown, and the relative importance of the several separate ionization processes will be discussed. We also compare model results with experimental data on concentrations of NO.     

四川盆地低涡的月际变化及其日降水分布统计特征

利用ERA-interim再分析资料和全国824个气象基准站的日降水资料,统计分析了1983年1月1日~2012年12月31日发生在四川盆地的低涡天气过程及其降水特征,结果表明:盆地涡初生位置主要位于盆地的西南部和东北部,盆地涡夏季出现最多,冬季出现最少,其中初生位置位于盆地西南部的低涡7月出现最多,12月和1月出现最少;位于东北部的低涡6月出现最多,1月出现最少;盆地涡具有明显的日变化,西南型盆地涡3~10月夜晚发生概率均大于白天,其他月份低涡夜发性不明显,而东北型盆地涡只在5~9月期间夜晚发生概率大于白天,其他月份低涡夜发性不明显;盆地涡生命史与对流程度具有相关性,对流发展有利于盆地涡长时间维持,然而,夏季西南型盆地涡即使对流没向上发展也能长时间维持;盆地涡夏季移出最多,尤其以7、8月最明显,冬季移出最少,7月前以偏东路径为主,7月后以东北路径为主;盆地涡频数的月际变化与川西高原西南涡源地的风场扰动移出有密切联系,九龙地区夏季风场扰动移出活跃,冬季移出不活跃。小金地区春季风场扰动移出活跃,冬季移出不活跃。九龙地区风场扰动移出对盆地涡频数的月际变化贡献明显,小金地区风场扰动移出对盆地涡频数的月际变化贡献不明显;夏半年(5~10月)西南型盆地涡和东北型盆地涡引起的日降水区域分布的月际变化特征不同,前者的日降水最大值中心随月份先由盆地东北部向西南部移动,之后再由盆地西南部向东北部折回,后者的日降水最大值中心会一直稳定维持在盆地的东北部达州地区。东北型盆地涡虽然出现频次低,但各月的日降水强度要远大于西南型盆地涡。     

Limits on the changes in the gravitational constant from nucleosynthesis

Due to the recent all-sky, high-precision measurement of microwave background anisotropies by WMAP, a value for baryon-to-photon ratio η was obtained. At the WMAP value for η, the ⁴HE abundance was predicted. In this article we use a simple semi-analytical method with ⁴He predicted and measured values to place a limit on the variation of the gravitational constant G. We find using a conservative range for the measured values for Y _p , that ΔG/G is constrained between −0.26 and 0.15. If we assume a monotonic power law time dependence G∼t ^−β then β values is constrained between −0.008 and 0.0038, which translate into . This compares well with results obtained by others using full numerical analysis.      

乌鲁木齐冬季黑碳气溶胶污染特征初步研究

利用2010年2月乌鲁木齐大气成分观测站黒碳仪观测数据,结合散射系数及常规观测资料,对乌鲁木齐冬季黑碳气溶胶浓度变化特征进行了分析,并通过气流后向轨迹进行了来源分析。结果表明：(1)观测期间BC质量浓度日平均值为12707±4673 ng.m-3,浓度变化范围为4916~22997 ng.m-3,散射系数日均值为1086±561Mm-1,变化范围为350~2232 Mm-1。BC质量浓度和散射系数日均值变化趋势基本一致;(2)BC质量浓度日变化具有明显的峰值和谷值,峰值分别出现在9~11时和20~22时,谷值分别出现在4~6时和16~18时,散射系数与BC质量浓度日变化趋势基本一致,相对其有一定的滞后。春节期间燃放烟花爆竹对空气污染物浓度上升有明显作用,显著影响BC质量浓度日变化规律;(3)乌鲁木齐冬季大气层结稳定,污染物不易扩散,风速和降水对黑碳气溶胶浓度具有明显的稀释作用。在乌鲁木齐特殊的地形和气象条件下,本地源排放与来自周边城市群污染物输送的叠加使得污染更加严重。     

田阳县近50a降水变化趋势特征分析

利用气候倾向率及相关系数分析方法,对站田阳站1959～2008年的年、季降水量、降水日数作统计分析。结果发现,田阳站50a年、季降水量随时间变化总趋势平稳少变,年降水气候倾向率为3.09mm/10a;小雨、中雨量级降水日数气候倾向率呈负值,小雨日数50a趋减9d;大雨以上强降水气候倾向率呈正值,表明强降水日数趋增。     

AO0235＋164射电波段宽带谱指数周期性变化的研究

收集了AO0235＋164天体射电4．8GHz和14．5GHz波段的光变测量数据,并获得了长期的光变曲线,从光变曲线可以看出其活动是非常剧烈的。利用Jurkevieh方法和自相关函数方法分别对AO0235＋164射电波段宽带谱指数进行周期性分析,并对流量和谱指数进行相关性分析,研究结果表明：（1）AO0235＋164天体射电波段4．8GHz-14．5GHz对应的宽带谱指数,可能存在5．30年的光变周期,与Liu等人用功率谱法在射电波段发现其流量密度可能存在5．59±0．47年的光变周期基本吻合;（2）宽带谱指数与流量密度之间存在相关性。     

Anisotropic cosmological models with bulk viscosity for variable <Emphasis Type="Italic">G</Emphasis> and Λ

In this paper we have considered axially symmetric Bianchi-I, Kantowski Sachs and Bianchi-III space-time models with bulk viscosity, where the gravitational constant G and the cosmological term Λ vary with time. In Einstein equations this variation in G and Λ are taken in such a way as to preserve the energy momentum tensor. Solutions are obtained with the cosmological term varying inversely with square of time.