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11.
This paper explores the links between a strategic policy, urban consolidation, and house prices by examining the changes in
the mix of housing and in house price for the period 1991–2004. We contend that urban consolidation could be seen as a source
of additional supply, (which might be expected to be felt in lower prices and so contribute to a local policy objective) but
also as a stimulus to demand (by developers who could bid up the price of lots where it was understood more housing could
be built). Analyses were carried out at the metropolitan and sub-regional scales using correlation tests. The research finds
very weak statistical connections, and concludes that this policy has not been associated with price changes. 相似文献
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15.
Open source, spatial analysis, and activity-travel behaviour research: capabilities of the aspace package 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
This paper reports on recent experience with the development of aspace, an Open Source (OS) library for the geographic visualization and analysis of activity-travel behaviour. The paper begins
with an overview of recent progress with respect to the convergence of Open Source technology, spatial analysis, and travel
behaviour research. The remainder of the paper focuses on aspace; a collection of functions that, when combined with data describing the geographical location of daily activities, can be
used to visualize and describe spatial properties of individual and household activity spaces. These properties include: size,
orientation, shape, and the geographical dispersion of activity locations contained within the activity space. Several planar
geometries are used to transform measurable spatial properties into intuitive objects for visualizing spatial patterns of
activity participation. Experiments are conducted, using data from the first wave of the 2003 Toronto Travel Activity Panel
Survey, to demonstrate the potential application of aspace for basic and applied policy-based research into activity-travel behaviour. The toolkit is distributed as a downloadable
‘package’ from the Open Source R Project for Statistical Computing.
相似文献
16.
This paper presents a continuous version of the model of distribution dynamics to analyse the transition dynamics and implied
long-run behaviour of the EU-27 NUTS-2 regions over the period 1995–2003. It departs from previous research in two respects:
first, by introducing kernel estimation and three-dimensional stacked conditional density plots as well as highest density regions
plots for the visualisation of the transition function, based on Hyndman et al. (J Comput Graph Stat 5(4):315–336, 1996), and second, by combining Getis’ spatial filtering view with kernel estimation to explicitly account for the spatial dimension of the
growth process. The results of the analysis indicate a very slow catching-up of the poorest regions with the richer ones,
a process of shifting away of a small group of very rich regions, and highlight the importance of geography in understanding
regional income distribution dynamics.
相似文献
Manfred M. FischerEmail: |
17.
Dynamic data integration for structural modeling: model screening approach using a distance-based model parameterization 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
This paper proposes a novel history-matching method where reservoir structure is inverted from dynamic fluid flow response.
The proposed workflow consists of searching for models that match production history from a large set of prior structural
model realizations. This prior set represents the reservoir structural uncertainty because of interpretation uncertainty on
seismic sections. To make such a search effective, we introduce a parameter space defined with a “similarity distance” for
accommodating this large set of realizations. The inverse solutions are found using a stochastic search method. Realistic
reservoir examples are presented to prove the applicability of the proposed method. 相似文献
18.
An important task in modern geostatistics is the assessment and quantification of resource and reserve uncertainty. This uncertainty
is valuable support information for many management decisions. Uncertainty at specific locations and uncertainty in the global
resource is of interest. There are many different methods to build models of uncertainty, including Kriging, Cokriging, and
Inverse Distance. Each method leads to different results. A method is proposed to combine local uncertainties predicted by
different models to obtain a combined measure of uncertainty that combines good features of each alternative. The new estimator
is the overlap of alternate conditional distributions. 相似文献
19.
R. M. Lark 《Mathematical Geosciences》2008,40(7):729-751
The effect of outliers on estimates of the variogram depends on how they are distributed in space. The ‘spatial breakdown
point’ is the largest proportion of observations which can be drawn from some arbitrary contaminating process without destroying
a robust variogram estimator, when they are arranged in the most damaging spatial pattern. A numerical method is presented
to find the spatial breakdown point for any sample array in two dimensions or more. It is shown by means of some examples
that such a numerical approach is needed to determine the spatial breakdown point for two or more dimensions, even on a regular
square sample grid, since previous conjectures about the spatial breakdown point in two dimensions do not hold. The ‘average
spatial breakdown point’ has been used as a basis for practical guidelines on the intensity of contaminating processes that
can be tolerated by robust variogram estimators. It is the largest proportion of contaminating observations in a data set
such that the breakdown point of the variance estimator used to obtain point estimates of the variogram is not exceeded by
the expected proportion of contaminated pairs of observations over any lag. In this paper the behaviour of the average spatial
breakdown point is investigated for cases where the contaminating process is spatially dependent. It is shown that in two
dimensions the average spatial breakdown point is 0.25. Finally, the ‘empirical spatial breakdown point’, a tool for the exploratory
analysis of spatial data thought to contain outliers, is introduced and demonstrated using data on metal content in the soils
of Sheffield, England. The empirical spatial breakdown point of a particular data set can be used to indicate whether the
distribution of possible contaminants is likely to undermine a robust variogram estimator. 相似文献
20.
Erik Rüttener Juan José Egozcue Dieter Mayer-Rosa Stephan Mueller 《Natural Hazards》1996,14(2-3):165-178
Seismic hazard analysis is based on data and models, which both are imprecise and uncertain. Especially the interpretation of historical information into earthquake parameters, e.g. earthquake size and location, yields ambiguous and imprecise data. Models based on probability distributions have been developed in order to quantify and represent these uncertainties. Nevertheless, the majority of the procedures applied in seismic hazard assessment do not take into account these uncertainties, nor do they show the variance of the results. Therefore, a procedure based on Bayesian statistics was developed to estimate return periods for different ground motion intensities (MSK scale).Bayesian techniques provide a mathematical model to estimate the distribution of random variables in presence of uncertainties. The developed method estimates the probability distribution of the number of occurrences in a Poisson process described by the parameter . The input data are the historical occurrences of intensities for a particular site, represented by a discrete probability distribution for each earthquake. The calculation of these historical occurrences requires a careful preparation of all input parameters, i.e. a modelling of their uncertainties. The obtained results show that the variance of the recurrence rate is smaller in regions with higher seismic activity than in less active regions. It can also be demonstrated that long return periods cannot be estimated with confidence, because the time period of observation is too short. This indicates that the long return periods obtained by seismic source methods only reflects the delineated seismic sources and the chosen earthquake size distribution law. 相似文献