山西隆起区燕山期构造变形特征

山西隆起区燕山运动期间表现出以逆冲断层、纵弯褶皱为基本结构要素的收缩构造变形特征。区内不同时代地层具有独特的岩石组合和物理性质,保存和记录了燕山期构造在不同层次的变形样式和特征。通过对地表地质、地貌及构造特征的研究分析,初步总结出“分层收缩变形,垂向叠置增厚”的构造模式。应用平衡剖面法对近东西向收缩变形所造成的水平缩短与垂向加厚效应进行了定量估算,剖面复原表明,变形前、后隆起区总体水平缩短率约为 32.8%,垂向加厚使寒武系底部不整合界面在隆起区比鄂尔多斯盆地高出约5 km。强烈的冲断抬升和褶皱变形造成上部地壳横向缩短,垂向增厚,使原本垂向上有序叠置的地质体和不同层次构造形迹在空间位置上发生了较大变化。现在地表地质体的空间分布、北部和南部褶皱组合样式的差异,以及断裂沿走向的分段性,都是构造变形垂向分层性的表现形式,是后期隆升、剥蚀程度差异在地表造成的结果。     

Characteristics of boundary fault systems and its hydrocarbon controlling on hydrocarbon accumulation in Awati Sag,Tarim Basin,China

Based on the interpretation of two-dimensional seismic data, this paper analyzes the characteristics of three boundary fault systems including the Shajingzi fault, the Aqia fault and the Tumuxiuke fault around the Awati sag of the Tarim Basin, and studies its controlling on hydrocarbon accumulation. Neotectonic movement is ubiquitous in oil and gas bearing basins in China, such as Neogene intense activities of large boundary thrusting faults of the Awati sag: Shajingzi fault, Aqia fault and Tumuxiuke fault. Based on a large number of seismic data, it is showed that they have section wise characteristics in the direction of fault strike, and active periods and associated structures formed of different sections are different. Usually, large anticlinal structures are formed in the upper wall, and faulted anticline controlled by companion faults are formed in the bottom wall. Large faults cut the strata from Cambrian up to Neogene. For the anticline in the upper wall, fault activities caused by neotectonic movement played a destructive role in hydrocarbon accumulation, thus the preservation condition is critical for reservoir formation. In this sense, attention should be paid to formations in the upper walls of Aqia fault and Tumuxiuke fault under the Cambrian salt bed, whose plastic deformation could help to heal faults. Companion faults in the bottom wall cut down to the Cambrian and up to the Triassic serving as the pathway for hydrocarbon migration, and associated structures in the bottom wall are noteworthy exploration targets.©2019 China Geology Editorial Office.     

The effect of storm movement on infiltration,runoff and soil erosion in a semi-arid catchment

Rainfall characteristics are key factors influencing infiltration and runoff generation in catchment hydrology, particularly for arid and semiarid catchments. Although the effect of storm movement on rainfall-runoff processes has been evaluated and emphasized since the 1960s, the effect on the infiltration process has barely been considered. In this study, a physically based distributed hydrological model (InHM) was applied to a typical semi-arid catchment (Shejiagou, 4.26 km²) located in the Loess Plateau, China, to investigate the effect of storm movement on infiltration, runoff and soil erosion at the catchment scale. Simulations of 84 scenarios of storm movement were conducted, including storms moving across the catchment in both the upstream and downstream directions along the main channel, while in each direction considering four storm moving speeds, three rainfall depths and two storm ranges. The simulation results showed that, on both the hillslopes facing downstream (facing south) and in the main channel, the duration of the overland flow process under the upstream-moving storms was longer than that under the downstream-moving storms. Thus, the duration and volume of infiltration under upstream-moving storms were larger in these areas. For the Shejiagou catchment, as there are more hillslopes facing downstream, more infiltration occurred under the upstream-moving storms than the downstream-moving storms. Therefore, downstream-moving storms generated up to 69% larger total runoff and up to 351% more soil loss in the catchment than upstream-moving storms. The difference in infiltration between the storms moving upstream and downstream decreased as the storm moving speed increased. The relative difference in total runoff and sediment yield between the storms moving upstream and downstream decreased with increasing rainfall depth and storm speed. The results of this study revealed that the infiltration differences under moving storms largely influenced the total runoff and sediment yield at the catchment scale, which is of importance in runoff prediction and flood management. The infiltration differences may be a potential factor leading to different groundwater, vegetation cover and ecology conditions for the different sides of the hillslopes.     

对欧拉矢量附加不等式约束的RELSM模型及其应用

借鉴选权拟合思想,对区域地壳运动的整体旋转和线性应变模型中欧拉矢量部分附加不等式约束,将区域地壳运动的欧拉参数约束到由多年观测资料确定的平均欧拉参数值附近,建立附有不等式约束的整体旋转和线性应变模型。对中国大陆构造环境监测网络在环渤海区域的近几期GPS观测速度场数据进行拟合分析,结果表明,本文方法通过不等式约束可适当增强块体整体运动趋势的平滑性,获得对速度场更高的拟合精度,可进一步增强模型的物理解释能力。     

基于浏览行为的网络地图用户兴趣模型研究

为准确表达用户兴趣,提升网络地图个性化服务效率,本文结合用户的操作行为与视觉行为,探讨了用户兴趣获取的原理与方法。结合Web日志与眼动数据的特点,提取网络地图的用户兴趣特征项,并利用熵权法对用户兴趣度进行估计。通过向量空间模型,构建网络地图用户兴趣模型,并开展验证实验对用户兴趣建模方法进行验证。     

My neighbourhood,my country or my planet? The influence of multiple place attachments and climate change concern on social acceptance of energy infrastructure

Research on place attachments and identities has made an important contribution to understanding social acceptance of low carbon infrastructure, which are often objected to by local communities. However, a focus on local attachments predominates in studies to date, neglecting the potential role of national and global attachments and identities on energy beliefs and attitudes, despite the fact that large energy infrastructures are not only local in significance or function. To investigate this, survey data was collected from a representative sample of UK adults (N = 1519), capturing place attachments at local, national and global levels, climate change concern, beliefs about power lines and support for energy system change. Findings show significant differences in infrastructure beliefs and attitudes depending upon relative strength of attachments at different levels, controlling for personal characteristics. Analyses of variance revealed that individuals with stronger national than local or global attachments were less likely to support European grid integration; those with relatively stronger global attachment were most likely to support decentralised energy and those with relatively stronger local attachment were most likely to protest against a nearby power line. In addition, those with strong attachments at local, national and global levels were most willing to reduce energy demand, and those with weak attachments were least likely to trust grid companies. Relatively stronger global than national attachment was positively associated with support for decentralised energy, with this effect partially mediated by climate change concern. Explanations for the findings and implications for future research are discussed.     

Institutional change in social-ecological systems: The evolution of grassland management in Inner Mongolia

Communities living in the grasslands of present day Inner Mongolia have experienced dramatic social, economic and ecological changes over the past millennium. More recently, these grasslands have undergone widespread degradation, raising concern for securing local herders' livelihoods. To understand these changes in ecological and welfare outcomes over long time scales, we define five broad periods of relative institutional stability over the past millennium, characterize social-ecological system during each period, and then assess major changes between these periods. Looking at changes in institutional contexts helps explain some of our outcomes of interest. We find that while much attention has been given to the change in grassland lease structures in China, the role of market integration and buffers against historically natural constraints on livestock production (e.g., protection from the winter months) have decoupled formerly tight local social-ecological links. This decoupling, along with weak land tenure security due to a complex and volatile policy landscape, suppresses local incentives for grassland conservation.     

Modelling social influence and cultural variation in global low-carbon vehicle transitions

We present a unique and transparent approach for incorporating social influence effects into global integrated assessment models used to analyse climate change mitigation. We draw conceptually on Rogers (2003) diffusion of innovations, introducing heterogeneous and interconnected consumers who vary in their aversion to new technologies. Focussing on vehicle choice, we conduct novel empirical research to parameterise consumer risk aversion and how this is shaped by social and cultural influences. We find robust evidence for social influence effects, and variation between countries as a function of cultural differences. We then formulate an approach to modelling social influence which is implementable in both simulation and optimisation-type models. We use two global integrated assessment models (IMAGE and MESSAGE) to analyse four scenarios that introduce social influence and cultural differences between regions. These scenarios allow us to explore the interactions between consumer preferences and social influence. We find that incorporating social influence effects into global models accelerates the early deployment of electric vehicles and stimulates more widespread deployment across adopter groups. Incorporating cultural variation leads to significant differences in deployment between culturally divergent regions such as the USA and China. Our analysis significantly extends the ability of global integrated assessment models to provide policy-relevant analysis grounded in real world processes.     

山东地壳运动速度场模型建立与分析

建立高精度的地壳运动速度场模型是实现区域大地基准动态维持,反映地面形变,保障基础设施工程建设的重要途径。针对点位分布密集、精度可靠和多年连续重复观测等准确获取区域地壳运动速度场模型的关键问题,通过对山东及周边省份2010年1月—2015年11月连续近6a的130座连续运行参考站点在ITRF2008框架下进行处理,获取时间序列。首次完整建立了山东省地壳运动速度场模型。通过模型分析表明:水平方向,山东省地壳整体向东南方向运动,平均速率为34.3mm/a,运动方向为SE110.25°;垂直方向,鲁中山区及胶东半岛地区地壳较为稳定,鲁北、鲁西等华北平原地区存在显著沉降,最大沉降量位于广饶漏斗区,年沉降量81.6mm/a。     

西北太平洋TC移动速度异常及预报误差特征的分析

利用国家气象局和上海台风研究所(CMA-STI)整编的西北太平洋1970—2009年热带气旋(TC,Tropical Cyclone)及TC最佳路径数据集和2005—2010年的TC路径预报误差资料,应用百分位法,确定TC移动速度异常指标,分析了40 a来西北太平洋TC移动速度及其变化异常发生的时空分布特征,研究了TC速度预报误差对路径预报误差的影响及其与大尺度引导气流之间的关系。结果显示:1)西北太平洋TC移速及移速变化累积概率达95%(5%)分位数的阈值分别为10.8 m·s~(-1)(1.43 m·s~(-1))和2.42m·s~(-1)(-1.72 m·s~(-1))。2)快速移动及加速的TC大都出现在日本海地区,而缓慢的和减速移动TC主要出现在南海区域。3)TC移动速度异常的季节变化表现为,快速移动的TC在5月出现的频率达到最高,缓慢移动的TC在10月频率达到最高,加速移动的TC在6月频率达到最高。4)近6 a的TC移速预报误差对TC路径预报误差的贡献平均约为41.6%。5)对TC路径预报误差偏大,且移速预报误差贡献大的个例分析显示,该个例大尺度环境引导气流偏弱使TC移动速度偏慢。而如果预报的大尺度环境引导气流偏强,使预报的TC移速偏快,那么就容易导致大的路径预报误差。