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31.
Many stochastic process models for environmental data sets assume a process of relatively simple structure which is in some sense partially observed. That is, there is an underlying process (Xn, n 0) or (Xt, t 0) for which the parameters are of interest and physically meaningful, and an observable process (Yn, n 0) or (Yt, t 0) which depends on the X process but not otherwise on those parameters. Examples are wide ranging: the Y process may be the X process with missing observations; the Y process may be the X process observed with a noise component; the X process might constitute a random environment for the Y process, as with hidden Markov models; the Y process might be a lower dimensional function or reduction of the X process. In principle, maximum likelihood estimation for the X process parameters can be carried out by some form of the EM algorithm applied to the Y process data. In the paper we review some current methods for exact and approximate maximum likelihood estimation. We illustrate some of the issues by considering how to estimate the parameters of a stochastic Nash cascade model for runoff. In the case of k reservoirs, the outputs of these reservoirs form a k dimensional vector Markov process, of which only the kth coordinate process is observed, usually at a discrete sample of time points. 相似文献
32.
Lars Kristian Nielsen Sam Subbey Mike Christie Trond Mannseth 《Computational Geosciences》2006,10(3):321-342
There is a correspondence between flow in a reservoir and large scale permeability trends. This correspondence can be derived by constraining reservoir models using observed production data. One of the challenges in deriving the permeability distribution of a field using production data involves determination of the scale of resolution of the permeability. The Adaptive Multiscale Estimation (AME) seeks to overcome the problems related to choosing the resolution of the permeability field by a dynamic parameterisation selection. The standard AME uses a gradient algorithm in solving several optimisation problems with increasing permeability resolution. This paper presents a hybrid algorithm which combines a gradient search and a stochastic algorithm to improve the robustness of the dynamic parameterisation selection. At low dimension, we use the stochastic algorithm to generate several optimised models. We use information from all these produced models to find new optimal refinements, and start out new optimisations with several unequally suggested parameterisations. At higher dimensions we change to a gradient-type optimiser, where the initial solution is chosen from the ensemble of models suggested by the stochastic algorithm. The selection is based on a predefined criterion. We demonstrate the robustness of the hybrid algorithm on sample synthetic cases, which most of them were considered insolvable using the standard AME algorithm. 相似文献
33.
Temporal behavior of the background seismicity rate in central Japan, 1998 to mid-2003 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We studied the temporal behavior of the background shallow seismicity rate in 700 circular areas across inland Japan. To search for and test the significance of the possible rate changes in background seismicity, we developed an efficient computational method that applies the space–time ETAS model proposed by Ogata in 1998 to the areas. Also, we conducted Monte Carlo tests using a simulated catalog to validate the model we applied. Our first finding was that the activation anomalies were found so frequently that the constant background seismicity hypothesis may not be appropriate and/or the triggered event model with constraints on the parameters may not adequately describe the observed seismicity. However, quiescence occasionally occurs merely by chance. Another outcome of our study was that we could automatically find several anomalous background seismicity rate changes associated with the occurrence of large earthquakes. Very significant seismic activation was found before the M6.1 Mt. Iwate earthquake of 1998. Also, possible seismic quiescence was found in an area 150 km southwest of the focal region of the M7.3 Western Tottori earthquake of 2000. The seismicity rate in the area recovered after the mainshock. 相似文献
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C1相干算法是计算每道的横测线和相邻纵测线的互相关,依据相干值来判断地层和岩性的横向不均匀性。根据互相关原理,提出了相干体算法中二维和三维C1算法的内容及其具体实现。通过对实际三维地震资料的处理,结合已知地质资料,证明C1相干技术在三维地震资料的断层解释方面有着明显的效果。 相似文献
37.
方差体技术在地震勘探中的应用 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
三维地震数据体反映了地下一个规则网格的反射情况。当遇到地下有断层或某个局部区域地层不连续变化时,一些地震道的反射特征就会与附近地震道出现差异而导致地震首局部的不连续性。三维方差体技术就是求取三维数据体所有样点的方差值来反映这种不连续性信息。通过该技术在济宁2号井某采区的实际应用,可看出,方差体技术在三维地震信息的自动拾取以及提高地震资料解释成果精度等方面有明显优势,对断层、陷落柱有良好的自动识别能力。 相似文献
38.
基于DEM的地形简化方法对比分析 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
地形简化作为一门重要的数据压缩技术已广泛应用于DEM。在大量简化算法中,地形简化指标作为地形简化的核心环节,其好坏直接关系到地形简化的好坏。本文对基于局部误差、曲率和法向量的五个地形简化指标进行了分析评价,用离散的高斯合成曲面来模拟真实DEM,以解析得到的高斯曲率作为地形简化指标“真值”,对比研究了在离散高斯曲面上得到的五个简化指标与解析所得“真值”,通过对各个指标“保特征性”可信度的分析,获得了对这五个指标的整体评价,最后,实例验证了本文结论的正确性。 相似文献
39.
Landsat7 ETM+影像的融合和自动分类研究 总被引:25,自引:0,他引:25
利用SFIM、MLT、HPF和修改的Brovey(MB)等遥感影像融合算法对Landsat 7 ETM 影像进行融合和自动分类研究,并就融合影像的光谱保真度、高频空间信息融人度和分类精度对这些方法进行评价。结果表明SFIM变换几乎完全保持了原始影像的光谱特点,并具有最高的平均分类精度;MB变换具有最高的高频空间信息融人度;MLT变换也具有较高的分类精度;只有HPF变换的各项指标都不突出。所有4种融合影像的分类精度都较原始影像的分类精度有明显的提高。这表明,源于同一传感器系统的不同分辨率影像的融合可以避免异源传感器融合影像所常见的各种参数、时相和配准误差,所以能够明显地提高影像的自动分类精度。 相似文献
40.
A new probabilistic analytical approach to evaluate seismic system reliability of large lifeline systems is presented in this paper. The algorithm takes the shortest path from the source to the terminal of a node weight or edge weight network as decomposition policy, using the Boolean laws of set operation and probabilistic operation principal, a recursive decomposition process then could be constructed. For a general weight network, the modified Torrieri method (NTR/T method) is introduced to combine with the suggested algorithm. Therefore, the recursive decomposition algorithm may be applied to evaluate the seismic reliability of general lifeline systems. A series of case studies, including a practical district electric power network system and a large urban water supply system, show that the suggested algorithm supplies a useful probabilistic analysis means for the seismic reliability evaluation of large lifeline systems. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献