试论中国山区城镇化方向选择及对策

针对2012年中央经济工作会议上提出城镇化是我国现代化建设的历史任务,对中国山区城镇化现状、存在的问题进行分析,认为山区城镇化水平低且多呈无序状态,资源开发对山区城镇化的驱动作用较为明显,旅游业的发展则是山区城镇化的新动力.同时还从山区的边缘性、生态环境的脆弱性、经济结构的单一性、城镇空间组织的离散性及文化保护的重要性分析了山区城镇化的特殊性,初步提出“科学统筹、规划先行、中小城市为主、规模适度、高标准、集约化、特色化、功能化、可持续化”的山区城镇化发展的方向及相应的对策.     

云南云龙天池枝角类群落演替对1950s以来人类活动影响信号的识别

从1950s开始,云南地区部分湖泊受到了水文调控(如筑坝)和鱼类引入等流域开发活动的直接影响,湖泊水环境与生态系统结构已出现明显改变.开展浮游动物群落的长期生态响应评价有助于认识气候波动和人为胁迫的影响模式.本文选取云龙天池进行了沉积物记录分析,在重建过去100年环境变化历史的基础上开展了枝角类群落的多指标分析(物种组成、个体大小、生物量等),进一步结合多变量分析识别了枝角类群落构建的关键驱动因子.结果显示,云龙天池在过去100年间经历了明显的水位波动,约1962年以前水位较低,1950s起的水文调控(筑坝)导致湖泊水位波动上升,2006年以来略有下降.枝角类群落随水位波动呈现由底栖种向浮游种占优转变的模式,并在2006年以来底栖种略有增加.总体上,低水位时期底栖枝角类占优,高水位时期浮游枝角类占优.水体营养水平也对枝角类群落产生了较为显著的影响.在沉积物总氮和有机质通量上升时,长额象鼻溞(Bosmina longirostris)相对丰度和枝角类浓度都明显上升.枝角类象鼻溞个体大小表明,1969年鱼类引入后象鼻溞的壳长、壳刺长度、触角长度显著减小,反映了鱼类捕食压力上升的影响.本研究...     

高精度重力方法在高青地区探测古潜山构造中的应用

本文根据作者几年来把高精度重力勘探方法应用在胜利油田进行古潜山构造探测的生产实践经验,总结了在油气勘探中高精度重力方法应用的新进展,阐述了它在勘探程度极高的胜利老油区依然可以解决一些石油地质问题,尤其与其它物探资料的联合解释取得了明显的地质效果。依据高青测区所取得的高精度重力资料,基本查清了区内的古潜山分布规律,为下一步古潜山油气藏的勘探部署提供了重要的参考资料。     

马里亚纳南部弧内坡橄榄岩中的角闪石成分对于弧下地幔交代流体的指示

马里亚纳弧前的橄榄岩被认为是SSZ型蛇绿岩的现代等同物,记录了弧下地幔与俯冲流体的交代反应,其中的角闪石被认为是俯冲流体交代的产物.电子探针的数据表明角闪石主要包括透闪石和镁闪石两种,其中前者具有低的钠含量,后者则具有明显高的钠、铝含量,但Mg#较低.角闪石的组成反映了俯冲流体具有高硅、钙、铝、钠等元素的特征.形成成分...     

The use of digital technologies for landslide disaster risk research and disaster risk management: progress and prospects

Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood, which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety. The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-driven or statistical model and its assessment results are subjective , difficult to quantify, and no pertinence. As a new research method for landslide susceptibility assessment, machine learning can greatly improve the landslide susceptibility model’s accuracy by constructing statistical models. Taking Western Henan for example, the study selected 16 landslide influencing factors such as topography, geological environment, hydrological conditions, and human activities, and 11 landslide factors with the most significant influence on the landslide were selected by the recursive feature elimination (RFE) method. Five machine learning methods [Support Vector Machines (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA)] were used to construct the spatial distribution model of landslide susceptibility. The models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and statistical index. After analysis and comparison, the XGBoost model (AUC 0.8759) performed the best and was suitable for dealing with regression problems. The model had a high adaptability to landslide data. According to the landslide susceptibility map of the five models, the overall distribution can be observed. The extremely high and high susceptibility areas are distributed in the Funiu Mountain range in the southwest, the Xiaoshan Mountain range in the west, and the Yellow River Basin in the north. These areas have large terrain fluctuations, complicated geological structural environments and frequent human engineering activities. The extremely high and highly prone areas were 12043.3 km² and 3087.45 km², accounting for 47.61% and 12.20% of the total area of the study area, respectively. Our study reflects the distribution of landslide susceptibility in western Henan Province, which provides a scientific basis for regional disaster warning, prediction, and resource protection. The study has important practical significance for subsequent landslide disaster management.     

广安市铜锣山背斜三叠纪岩溶热储结构特征及热水成因研究

为探讨广安市铜锣山背斜三叠纪岩溶热储特征、地热水水化学与同位素组成、热储温度及地热水循环机理,采用地热钻探、水化学与同位素取样测试、热水溶质组分图解分析等手段和方法,开展了地热水成因的研究工作。结果表明：研究区三叠纪碳酸盐岩热储结构相对完整,热储盖层、热储层和热储下部隔水层形成独立的地热水文地质单元。岩溶地热水水化学类型主要为SO₄-Ca·Mg和SO₄-Ca型,富含F、Sr、Li、B和SiO₂物质,其水源补给为大气降水,补给区位于铜锣山以北的大巴山一带,深部地热水补给高程大于1 100 m,补给区年均温度为9 ℃。热储温度为56~76 ℃,热水循环深度为2 013~3 030 m。地热水在循环过程中,主要发生碳酸盐岩和蒸发岩溶解、冷热水混合过程,且冷水混入比例大于80%。结合区域地热地质条件,构建了研究区地热水成因概念模型。     

北京浅山区不均匀建筑地基问题研究

北京浅山区面积较大,地质条件复杂,在工程建设中会经常遇到不均匀地基问题。不同于平原区建筑地基,山区建筑不均匀地基常常涉及基础的稳定性,对地质勘察、岩土设计或施工要求较高,作为一种不良地基现象及问题,若对其认识不清或处理方案设计不合理,常会导致建筑地基基础的变形过大,甚至产生失稳,工程危害性较大。北京浅山区不均匀地基类型较多,在地基处理时须针对场地稳定性、地基承载力及地基处理方案,并结合场地环境地质条件采取适宜的处理措施,以减缓或避免不均匀地基对工程建设的不利影响。本文试对北京浅山区不均匀地基类型、问题进行归纳总结,从勘察、设计、施工及监督等多个方面入手,提出针对性的应对措施,希望能为北京山区工程建设安全提供一些参考和帮助。     

运用SDM方法研究2001年昆仑山口西MS8.1地震破裂分布:GPS和InSAR联合反演的结果

2001 年11月14日昆仑山口西M_S8.1地震是有现代仪器记录以来发生在青藏高原区域最大地震之一,对研究青藏高原的运动学模式具有重要意义.从地震发生至今,不同研究者运用不同资料和方法获取的地震破裂分布还存在一定差异.基于此,本文采用GPS和InSAR资料数据,参考最新研究成果,构建更为合理的断层几何模型,运用SDM方法反演本次地震的破裂分布.在反演中充分考虑不同数据权重的影响及InSAR数据中存在的整体偏移.结果显示本次地震断层性质以左旋走滑为主,最大破裂位错为~6.9 m,分布在35.76°N、93.40°E附近,地震较大破裂区域主要分布在地下20 km以内.同时,反演的位错分布在断层浅部与地质考察得到的地表破裂分布较为吻合.在与前人相关研究的对比中,显示本文结果的可靠性是较高的,例如,近地表破裂包络线与地表考察结果相近,地下破裂分布特征与前人提出的3次子地震事件相一致等,再一次佐证了此次地震由多次子地震事件组成的研究结论.     

中国东部中新生代裂陷盆地与伸展山岭耦合机制

中国东部中、新生代伸展构造系包括由松辽盆地、华北盆地和江汉盆地等构成的裂陷盆地 ,以及由大兴安岭、太行山及雪峰山等构成的伸展山岭。从大陆裂解和伸展构造动力学来看 ,主要存在底侵作用、对流作用和拆层作用 3种机制。因此裂陷盆地与伸展山岭耦合关系主要是深部壳幔作用在浅层的响应。     

Comparing palaeolimnological and instrumental evidence of climate change for remote mountain lakes over the last 200 years

This paper compares the palaeolimnological evidence for climate change over the last 200 years with instrumental climate data for the same period at seven European remote mountain lakes. The sites are Øvre Neådalsvatn (Norway), Saanajärvi (Finland), Gossenköllesee (Austria), Hagelseewli (Switzerland), Jezero v Ledvici (Slovenia), Estany Redó (Spain, Pyrenees), and Niné Terianske Pleso (Slovakia). We used multiple regression analysis to transfer homogenised lowland air temperature records to each of the sites, and these reconstructions were validated using data from on-site automatic weather stations. These data showed that mean annual temperature has varied over the last 200 years at each site by between 1 and 2 °C, typical of the high frequency variability found throughout the Holocene, and appropriate, therefore, to test the sensitivity of the various proxy methods used. Sediment cores from each site were radiometrically dated using ²¹⁰Pb, ¹³⁷Cs and ²⁴¹Am and analysed for loss-on-ignition, C, N, S, pigments, diatoms, chrysophytes, Cladocera and chironomids. Comparisons between the proxy data and the instrumental data were based on linear regression analysis with the proxy data treated as response variables and the instrumental data (after smoothing using LOESS regressions) as predictor variables. The results showed few clear or consistent patterns with generally low or very low r² values. Highest values were found when the data were compared after smoothing using a broad span, indicating that some of the proxy data were capturing climate variability but only at a relatively coarse time resolution. Probable reasons for the weak performance of the methods used include inaccurate dating, especially for earlier time periods, the influence of confounding forcing factors at some sites e.g., air pollution, earthquakes, and the insensitivity of some methods to low amplitude climate forcing. Nevertheless, there were trends in some proxy records at a number of sites that had a relatively unambiguous correspondence with the instrumental climate records. These included organic matter and associated variables (C and N) and planktonic diatom assemblages at the majority of sites and chrysophytes and chironomids at a few sites. Overall for longer term studies of the Holocene, these results indicate the need to be cautious in the interpretation of proxy records, the importance of proxy method validation, the continuing need to use reinforcing multi-proxy approaches, and the need for careful site and method selection.