福建地区地震震源深度特征的统计分析

根据福建数字地震台网记录的地震震源深度资料, 统计分析了1998年7月至2008年6月期间福建及邻区M_L≥1.0并有震源深度参数且观测精度为1类地震1431次。 采用0.4°×0.4°网格和以0.2°为滑动步长, 统计了网格内地震的平均深度, 并绘制了平均深度等值线图。 分析结果表明: ① 福建地区地震震源深度总体上呈现东南深、 西北浅的特征, 东南沿海地区平均震源深度大于14 km, 西北地区平均震源深度小于10 km; ② 平均震源深度等值线展布大致呈NE向, 在福建南部地区平均震源深度在沿NE向展布基础上, 还受到NW向断裂控制, 断裂构造通过的地区平均震源深度相对较深; ③ 福建地区地震动力成因与中国大陆其他地区有所不同。     

汶川地震震中某钢筋混凝土框架结构的非线性地震反应分析

2008年5月12日,四川省汶川县发生了里氏8.0级地震,造成了巨大的人员伤亡以及工程结构震害。位于震中映秀镇的漩口中学教学综合楼是按照《建筑抗震设计规范(GB50011-2001)》进行设计的,按7度进行抗震设防。在此次地震中,该建筑破坏严重,工程震害典型。为此,本文考虑了钢筋混凝土与砌体的材料非线性性质,建立了框架填充墙结构的非线性分析模型,进行了非线性有限元时程分析,分析了结构破坏的原因,讨论了填充墙体对结构抗震性能的影响,为该类结构的抗震设计提供了一定的依据。     

Incorporation of Heavy Metals Bioavailability into Risk Characterization

The bioavailability of field‐aged Cd and Cu was calculated, and compared to the total concentrations determined by acid digestion. Only 0.60–4.15% for Cd and 0.59–9.43% for Cu were found to be bioavailable when determined by stomach‐phase extraction. The incorporation of bioavailability reduced more than 90% of the calculated risk of the metals at the site of study. It should be noted that such a reduction may not be generalized and the site‐specific bioavailability needs to be determined case by case.     

Vulnerability of floating tunnel shafts for increasing earthquake loading

Fragility curves constitute the cornerstone in seismic risk evaluations and performance-based earthquake engineering. They describe the probability of a structure to experience a certain damage level for a given earthquake intensity measure, providing a relationship between seismic hazard and vulnerability. In this paper a numerical approach is applied to derive fragility curves for tunnel shafts built in clays, a component that is found in several critical infrastructure such as urban metro networks, airport facilities or water and waste water projects. The seismic response of a representative tunnel shaft is assessed using tridimensional finite difference non-linear analyses carried out with the program FLAC^3D, under increasing levels of seismic intensity. A hysteretic model is used to simulate the soil non-linear behavior during the seismic event. The effect of soil conditions and ground motion characteristics on the soil-structure system response is accounted for in the analyses. The damage is defined based on the exceedance of the concrete wall shaft capacity due to the developed seismic forces. The fragility curves are estimated in terms of peak ground acceleration at a rock or stiff soil outcrop, based on the evolution of damage with increasing earthquake intensity. The proposed fragility models allows the characterization of the seismic risk of a representative tunnel shaft typology and soil conditions considering the associated uncertainties, and partially fill the gap of data required in performing a risk analysis assessment of tunnels shafts.     

Qualification of residential land from the viewpoint of liquefaction vulnerability

While the assessment of liquefaction potential by using borehole data has a long history since 1970s, its target users are still limited to professional engineers and experts. This situation is not favored by ordinary people who are seriously concerned with the reliability and preservation of their real estates during strong earthquakes. The demand of the people is that the liquefaction vulnerability of their residential land is precisely and clearly but concisely demonstrated so that people without engineering background can understand the real extent of risk. In this regard, the authors, under the governmental support, proposed a simple manifestation of the extent of liquefaction vulnerability of private houses in terms of the thickness of the surface unliquefiable crust and the vertical weighted average of the factor of safety or its equivalence. This achievement was made possible by introducing the ageing effects of soil on liquefaction resistance in addition to using geotechnical data base of subsoil conditions. During the work, it was found that existing borehole data may not be fully reliable and that experts who have sufficient knowledge of the local subsoil should assess the vulnerability. This requirement is satisfied by the qualification of special engineers that has been initiated by the Japanese Geotechnical Society in conjunction with several other institutions. The proposed method of subsoil qualification is used not only for individual residential land but also for regional hazard assessment.     

Climate threats,water supply vulnerability and the risk of a water crisis in the Monterrey Metropolitan Area (Northeastern Mexico)

This paper evaluates the risk of a water crisis – a substantial, sudden reduction in water supply – in the Monterrey Metropolitan Area (MMA), posed by climate threats and the vulnerability of its water supply system. Our analysis of long-term precipitation, water supply and water availability data reveals that the MMA is highly vulnerable to recurring periods of exceptionally low precipitation and scarce surface water availability. We identify two episodes in the recent past (1998 and 2013) when the MMA water supply system almost collapsed as reservoirs neared depletion in the face of abnormally dry weather. Furthermore our climate projections point to warmer and drier future conditions for the region and consequently, heightened climate threats. We conclude that the risk of a water crisis in the MMA is substantial and probably will increase due to climate change. This establishes a clear and pressing need for a comprehensive package of adaptation measures to mitigate the consequences of a water crisis should one occur as well as to reduce the likelihood of such an event.     

考虑渗流场作用下的隧道开挖分析

由于隧道的开挖,破坏了初始地应力场与渗流场。以圆形隧道为例,采用有限差分程序计算考虑渗流场作用时,隧道开挖后洞室周围应力场、孔隙水压力、位移场的分布情况,并对比计算了是否考虑渗流效应时位移场的差异,以及不同水位导致的位移场的不同分布状态。提出了相应的隧道防排水、设计与施工相关建议。     

Identifying components for interoperable process models using concept lattice and semantic reference system

The development of interoperable environmental process models is widely supported by both the research community and government agencies. This paper discusses a conceptual framework to guide the delineation of process components, the basic unit of interoperable models. The concepts of semantic reference system and dual hierarchy are explored to establish the conceptual framework. Based on this discussion, the Formal Concept Analysis is used as an analytical approach to decompose and fuse existing environmental process models in order to identify environmental process components. For purposes of discussion, a hydrological process, surface runoff, is used throughout the paper as an example of an environmental process to support the conceptual discussion and to illustrate the application of the conceptual framework and analytical approach.