冕洞与太阳风高速流关系的统计研究:到达时间、持续时间和峰值强度

冕洞是太阳风高速流的源区.当冕洞出现在中低纬区域时,太阳风高速流会扫过地球并引发地球空间环境扰动,如地磁暴和高能电子暴等.在太阳活动周下降年和低年,这种类型的扰动占据主导地位.因此,冕洞高速流的到达时间、峰值时间、峰值强度和持续时间等,是空间天气预报的重要内容.本文基于2010年5月到2016年12月的SDO/AIA太阳极紫外图像以及1AU处ACE和WIND卫星的太阳风观测数据,确定了160个冕洞-太阳风高速流事件,定量计算了他们的特征参数,包括冕洞与太阳风高速流的开始时间、峰值时间、峰值强度和结束时间,分析了各个特征参数的分布规律,对冕洞-高速流之间的关系进行了统计研究,并提出了一种新的预报方法,为基于冕洞成像观测的太阳风高速流的精准预报提供了依据.     

Paleoproterozoic juvenile magmatism within the northeastern sector of the São Francisco paleocontinent: Insights from the shoshonitic high Ba–Sr Montezuma granitoids

New,integrated petrographic,mineral chemistry,whole rock geochemical,zircon and titanite UPb geochronology,and zircon Hf isotopic data from the Montezuma granitoids,as well as new geochemical results for its host rocks represented by the Corrego Tingui Complex,provides new insights into the late-to post-collisional evolution of the northeastern Sao Francisco paleocontinent.U-Pb zircon dates from the Montezuma granitoids spread along the Concordia between ca.2.2 Ga to 1.8 Ga and comprise distinct groups.Group I have crystallization ages between ca.2.15 Ga and 2.05 Ga and are interpreted as inherited grains.Group II zircon dates vary from 2.04 Ga to1.9 Ga and corresponds to the crystallization of the Montezuma granitoids,which were constrained at ca.2.03 Ga by the titanite U-Pb age.Inverse age zoning is common within the ca.1.8 Ga Group III zircon ages,being related to fluid isotopic re-setting during the Espinhaco rifiting event.Zircon ε_(Hf)(t) analysis show dominantly positive values for both Group I(-4 to+9) and Ⅱ(-3 to+8) zircons and T_(DM2) model ages of 2.7-2.1 Ga and 2.5-1.95 Ga,respectively.Geochemically,the Montezuma granitoids are weakly peraluminous to metaluminous magnesian granitoids,enriched in LILES and LREE,with high to moderate Mg#and depleted in some of the HFSE.Their lithochemical signature,added to the juvenile signature of both inherited and crystallized zircons,allowed its classification as a shoshonitic high Ba-Sr granitoid related to a late-to post-collisional lithosphere delamination followed by asthenospheric upwelling.In this scenario,the partial melting of the lithospheric mantle interacted with the roots of an accreted juvenile intra-oceanic arc,being these hybrid magma interpreted as the source of the Montezuma granitoids.The Corrego Tingui Complex host rocks are akin to a syn-to late-collisional volcanic arc granitoids originated from the partial melting of ancient crustal rocks.The results presented in this study have revealed the occurrence of juvenile rocks,probably related to an island arc environment,that are exotic in relation to the Paleo-to Neoarchean crust from the Sao Francisco paleocontinent's core.     

Solute provenance,transport and denudation in a high arctic glacierized catchment

Recent understanding of chemical weathering in glacierized catchments has been focused on mid-latitude, Alpine catchments; comparable studies from the high latitudes are currently lacking. This paper attempts to address this deficiency by examining solute provenance, transport and denudation in a glacierized catchment at 78°N in the Svalbard High Arctic archipelago. Representative samples of snow, glacier ice, winter proglacial icing and glacier meltwater were obtained from the catchment during spring and summer 1993 and analysed for major ion chemistry. Seasonal variations in the composition of glacier meltwater occur and are influenced by proglacial solute acquisition from the icing at the very start of the melt season, and subsequently by a period of discharge of concentrated snowmelt caused by snowpack elution; weathering within the ice-marginal channels that drain the glacier, particularly carbonation reactions, continues to furnish solute to meltwater when suspended sediment concentrations increase later in the melt season. Partitioning the solute flux into its various components (sea-salt, crustal, aerosol and atmospheric sources) shows that c. 25% of the total flux is sea salt derived, consistent with the maritime location of the glacier, and c. 71% is crustally derived. Estimated chemical denudation, 160 meq m⁻² a⁻¹ sea salt-corrected cation equivalent weathering rate, is somewhat low compared with other studied glacierized catchments (estimates in the range 450–1000 meq m⁻² a⁻¹), which is probably attributable to the relatively short melt season and low specific runoff in the High Arctic. A positive relationship was identified between discharge and CO₂ drawdown owing to carbonation reactions in turbid meltwater. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

高精度温度计在水温观测中的仪器稳定性分析

利用宁波地震台水温10年来的单测项、6年来的同层比测资料,对高精度温度计的仪器短期和长期稳定性进行分析对比。研究发现仪器长期存在漂移现象,漂移量的大小与每套仪器的系统特性有关,但随着观测时间的延续,漂移量逐渐减少,认为该现象对地震前兆观测影响不大;短期稳定性存在不明原因的阶跃和脉冲现象,但次数不多,幅度不大,如果不是并行观测,较难判别。因此,在资料分析时要考虑仪器的这些问题。有时仪器短期非常稳定,数天至20天整点值为同一测值。     

锦州沈家台水氡高值波动异常识别

讨论了锦州沈家台水氡活度浓度出现的高幅度波动异常变化与地震活动的关系。 沈家台水氡测项自2004年开始观测以来, 数据变化稳定, 氡活度浓度一般在4~5 Bq/L范围波动, 且具有很好的年周期变化规律。 但在2016年11月20日开始出现高幅度异常变化, 较正常波动范围平均高出约5 Bq/L。 针对此次出现的异常变化, 在排除外界干扰的基础上, 应用临界慢化方法进行高频异常识别分析。 结果表明, 提取的水氡高频信息成分和方差均存在异常变化, 且高频异常与原始数据异常出现时间具有同步性变化特征。 综合测点映震效能、 区域地震活动性、 井水地球化学分析及水氡异常形成机理等分析结果, 认为这次沈家台水氡出现的异常变化与辽西及环渤海地区应力场调整关系密切, 该区应力增强及井水文地质条件的制约是造成水氡出现高值波动的主要原因。     

利用自洽方程计算法分析天山中段分量钻孔应变资料可靠性

根据天山中段8套四分量钻孔应变仪观测资料,利用自洽方程计算应变观测的信度,用信度指标检验数据的可靠性,从而进一步用自洽方程计算实际各元件灵敏度的相对大小,并用相对标定的结果,对观测数据进行校正。结果表明:①石场、巴仑台、巴音沟、雀儿沟、榆树沟和库米什台经过校正后,数据观测信度有了明显提升,其中石场和雀儿沟台的数据信度最高;②库米什台校正前数据观测信度较高,因个别“坏点”影响,校正后,观测信度反而下降;③小泉沟和新源台数据信度较低,存在从自洽到失洽的情况,分析认为这可能与系统自身存在问题有关,也有可能是前兆异常,有待进一步研究。     

利用高光谱对生物变量进行估计

该文分析了非光合背景物质—土壤光谱信号的特点 ,认为利用对光谱信号进行一阶导数的运算就能对混合光谱中的土壤光谱信号进行压缩 ,由此而得到的生物指数如LAI、SApar等的估计值更能客观地反映实际 ,这对于利用成象光谱进行环境应用有很大的实用价值。     

2013年长江中下游夏季高温干旱演变过程及环流异常成因简析

利用改进的CIn指数,结合NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,逐候分析2013年夏季长江中下游地区高温干旱演变过程和高温异常成因。结果表明：改进后的CIn指数能够准确识别此次干旱过程,整体持续时间近一个月。旱情从7月第4候湖南南部开始,8月第3候干旱程度最强,特旱中心位于湖南省中东部,浙江省为高温中心,8月第4候旱情得到缓解。在干旱成因上,极涡位置异常偏西,影响长江中下游地区冷空气偏弱,南亚高压东伸与西太平洋副热带高压西伸明显;鄂霍次克海至菲律宾一带呈较强的EAP遥相关型,其中长江中下游地区位势高度的正异常加强了西太平洋副热带高压的中心强度并使其位置偏西;乌拉尔山地区的阻塞高压与西太平洋副热带高压相对峙,有利于西太平洋副热带高压长期稳定地控制在长江中下游地区;同时欧亚大陆与西太平洋海陆温差增大,东亚夏季风偏强,西太平洋副热带高压异常偏北,长江中下游地区下沉气流强盛,在西太平洋副热带高压和南亚高压共同作用下,造成持续的高温干旱过程。     

基于混合回归模型的夏季高温日数预测

本文以变化比较激烈的高温日数为对象,通过加权叠加、周期波动以及尺度比较等理论分析提出一种短期气候预测观点,即长周期波动可用当地前期各种气象要素的长周期波动的某种函数表示,而短周期波动依然与大范围周边环境因子的变化有关。采用功率谱分析、逐步回归、方差分析等常用统计手段和二项式平滑方法,建立长周期波动和波动偏差比的预报方程,在此基础上得到高温日数的预报方程。应用该方法对合肥地区的高温日数进行了预测试验,利用滚动预报得到13个预报样本。在13个试测样本中,有11个样本试测较为准确,试测准确率达到84．6％。在试测不准确的2个样本中,误差有5～6d,而且它们出现在高温日数相对较多的年份,因此试测效果令人满意。     

连云港海区养殖优质条斑紫菜原因研究

根据条斑紫菜的生物学特性及不同生育期的生长、发育要求,通过对我国沿海主要海区11～4月的海温、雾、风向、降水量及雨日和海区底质状况分析,得出连云港海区养殖条斑紫菜的客观条件比其他海区优越,所养殖的条斑紫菜品质好的结论。