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101.
An inexact double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained programming (IDFCCP) method was developed in this study and applied to an agricultural effluent control management problem. IDFCCP was formulated through incorporating interval linear programming (ILP) into a double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained programming (DFCCP) framework, and could be used to deal with uncertainties expressed as not only possibility distributions associated with both left- and right-hand-side components of constraints but also discrete intervals in the objective function. The study results indicated that IDFCCP allowed violation of system constraints at specified confidence levels, where each confidence level consisted of two reliability scenarios. This could lead to model solutions with high system benefits under acceptable risk magnitudes. Furthermore, the introduction of ILP allowed uncertain information presented as discrete intervals to be communicated into the optimization process, such that a variety of decision alternatives can be generated by adjusting the decision-variable values within their intervals. The proposed model could help decision makers establish various production patterns with cost-effective water quality management schemes under complex uncertainties, and gain in-depth insights into the trade-offs between system economy and reliability. 相似文献
102.
Data-based models, namely artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), genetic programming (GP) and extreme learning machine (ELM), were developed to approximate three-dimensional, density-dependent flow and transport processes in a coastal aquifer. A simulation model, SEAWAT, was used to generate data required for the training and testing of the data-based models. Statistical analysis of the simulation results obtained by the four models show that the data-based models could simulate the complex salt water intrusion process successfully. The selected models were also compared based on their computational ability, and the results show that the ELM is the fastest technique, taking just 0.5 s to simulate the dataset; however, the SVM is the most accurate, with a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) ≥ 0.95 and correlation coefficient R ≥ 0.92 for all the wells. The root mean square error (RMSE) for the SVM is also significantly less, ranging from 12.28 to 77.61 mg/L. 相似文献
103.
为提高跨流域引水工程受水水库引水有效性,研究了耦合长期径流预报信息的跨流域引水受水水库调度模型。首先选取汛期径流预报信息,采用径流预报概率修正先验概率来描述径流的不确定性,建立了贝叶斯随机动态规划模型(BSDP-LTF)。然后将模型应用于碧流河水库,并与仅考虑径流相关的随机动态规划模型(SDP-I)、仅考虑长期预报信息的随机动态规划模型(SDP-LTF)进行比较。比较结果得出在供水保证率基本一致且不增加调度风险的情况下,BSDP-LTF模型相比SDP-I、SDP-LTF模型,可分别减少引水8.2%、4.1%。表明贝叶斯随机动态规划模型BSDP-LTF有效改进了径流描述,提高了跨流域引水的有效性。 相似文献
104.
Thermal impact of typical high‐density residential, industrial, and commercial land uses is a major concern for the health of aquatic life in urban watersheds, especially in smaller, cold, and cool‐water streams. This is the first study of its kind that provides simple easy‐to‐use equations, developed using gene expression programming (GEP) that can guide the assessment and the design of urban stormwater management systems to protect thermally sensitive receiving streams. We developed 3 GEP models using data collected during 3 years (2009–2011) from 4 urban catchments; the first GEP model predicts event mean temperature at the inlet of the pond; the second model predicts the stormwater temperature at the outlet of the pond; and the third model predicts the temperature of the stormwater after flowing through a cooling trench and before discharging to the receiving stream. The new models have high correlation coefficients of 0.90–0.94 and low prediction uncertainty of less than 4% of the median value of the predicted runoff temperatures. Sensitivity analysis shows that climatic factors have the highest influence on the thermal enrichment followed by the catchment characteristics and the key design variables of the stormwater pond and the cooling trench. The general method presented here is easily transferable to other regions of the world (but not necessarily the exact equations developed here); also through sensitivity and parametric analysis, we gained insight on the key factors and their relative importance in modelling thermal enrichment of urban stromwater runoff. 相似文献
105.
The floating production storage and offloading unit (FPSO) is an offshore vessel that produces and stores crude oil prior to tanker transport. Robust prediction of extreme hawser tensions during the FPSO offloading operation is an important safety concern. Excessive hawser tension may occur during certain sea conditions, posing an operational risk. In this paper, the finite element method (FEM) software ANSYS AQWA has been employed to analyze vessel response due to hydrodynamic wave loads, acting on a specific FPSO vessel under actual sea conditions.In some practical situations, it would be useful to improve the accuracy of some statistical predictions based on a certain stochastic random process, given another synchronous highly correlated stochastic process that has been measured for a longer time, than the process of interest. In this paper, the issue of improving extreme value prediction has been addressed. In other words, an efficient transfer of information is necessary between two synchronous, highly correlated stochastic processes. Two such highly correlated FPSO hawser tension processes were simulated in order to test the efficiency of the proposed technique. 相似文献
106.
当前信号远程传输方法,没有实现传输通道能量与传输通道信号并行,导致信号远程传输失真性较高。为提高地震信号远程传输的效率,提出新的高速铁路地震监测系统中信号远程传输技术。采用信号传输通道中地震信号能量的并行方法,通过信号传输通道中信号并行传输结构,实现信号在传输通道中双向传输;利用高频阻波电路阻断信号的高频载波通过谐振补偿电容,确保传输通道能量传输不受干扰;根据通道能量传输结构与信号传输过程,实现传输通道能量、信号并行,完成高速铁路地震信号远程传输中的失真控制。实验结果表明,所提方法丢包率较低,均值约为3%,远程传输时延仅为0.9s,是一种低误差、高效率的高速铁路地震信号远程传输方法。 相似文献
107.
108.
Simon Corne Tavi Murray Stan Openshaw Linda See Ian Turton 《Journal of Geographical Systems》1999,1(1):37-60
Measurements of water pressure beneath Trapridge Glacier, Yukon Territory, Canada show that the basal water system is highly
heterogeneous. Three types of behaviour were recorded: pressure records which are strongly correlated, records which are strongly
anticorrelated, and records which alternate between strong correlation and strong anticorrelation. We take the pressure in
bore-holes that are connected to the evacuation route for basal water as the forcing, and the other pressures as the response
to this forcing. Previous work (Murray and Clarke 1995) has shown that these relationships can be modelled using low-order
nonlinear differential equations optimized by inversion. However, despite optimizing the model parameters we cannot be sure that the final model forms are themselves optimal. Computational intelligence techniques provide alternative methods for fitting models and are robust
to missing or noisy data, applicable to non-smooth models, and attempt to derive optimal model forms as well as optimal model
parameters. Four computational intelligence techniques have been used and the results compared with the more conventional
mathematical model. These methods were genetic programming, artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic and self-organizing maps.
We compare each technique and offer an evaluation of their suitability for modelling the pressure data. The evaluation criteria
are threefold: (1) goodness of fit and an ability to predict subsequent data under different surface weather conditions; (2)
interpretability, and the extent and significance of any new insights offered into the physics of the glacier; (3) computation
time. The results suggest that the suitability of the computational intelligence techniques to model these data increases
with the complexity of the system to be modelled. 相似文献
109.
将抗差估计的思想融入到二次曲面模型粗差探测的算法中,设计出对模型误差特别是粗差具有抵抗能力的粗差探测算法。稳健初值的选权迭代法即为抗差估计的一种,首先是通过线性规划的单纯形解法来计算观测值的残差,然后再根据残差和有关的参数,按所选择的权函数,计算每个观测值的权,经过迭代计算求得观测值的残差。通过实例证明,具有稳健初值的选权迭代法具有较强的稳健性和粗差探测能力。 相似文献
110.
ArcGIS,MapGIS两种地理信息系统操作平台各具优势,在黑龙江省第二轮矿产资源规划项目中,MapGIS格式数据向ArcGIS格式数据转化时,需要解决投影转换、注记转换等问题,通过研究,用VB编程可以解决两种操作平台间的注记转换问题,最终实现MapGIS数据格式与ArcGIS数据格式的统一. 相似文献