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181.
182.
周忠谟 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1986,(3)
本文从地面三角网和卫星同联合平差的原理出发,讨论了对卫星网的最低精度要求。指出,为改善地面三角网而布设卫星网时,卫星观测站的最低精度主要决定于以下因素: ——地面三角网的精度; ——对地面三角网精度改善程度的要求; 一卫星观测站之间的距离。这里通过模拟计算对卫星网的最低精度要求与上列因素之间的关系作了数字分析,并建立了估算卫星网最低精度的数学模型。预期,在一般情况下,该模型的估算误差将不会超过10%。 相似文献
183.
Very little work has been done in generating alternatives to the Poisson process model. The work reported here deals with
alternatives to the Poisson process model for the earthquakes and checks them using empirical data and the statistical hypothesis
testing apparatus. The strategy used here for generating hypotheses is to compound the Poisson process. The parameter of the
Poisson process is replaced by a random variable having prescribed density function. The density functions used are gamma,
chi and extended (gamma/chi). The original distribution is then averaged out with respect to these density functions. For
the compound Poisson processes the waiting time distributions for the future events are derived. As the parameters for the
various statistical models for earthquake occurrences are not known, the problem is basically of composite hypothesis testing.
One way of designing a test is to estimate these parameters and use them as true values. Momentmatching is used here to estimate
the parameters. The results of hypothesis testing using data from Hindukush and North East India are presented. 相似文献
184.
滇东-黔西地区晚二叠世煤岩及煤层气储层物性分析 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本文以丰富的地质资料对滇东-黔西地区晚二叠世煤岩分布的割理(裂隙),吸附、孔隙溶积、镜质组含量、含气性、灰分产率等进行了较为系统的研究,初步建立了煤炭与煤层气储层物性的关系,提出了镜质组含量的煤炭类型有较好的煤层气储集物性条件。 相似文献
185.
186.
千岛岛弧地区属于全球地震活动最为活跃的地区之一. 本文利用哈佛大学测定的千岛岛弧地区地震的矩心矩张量(CMT)解, 分析该地区震源机制的一致性特征, 提出利用震源机制和构造应力场的一致性参数a进行地震预测的思路. 研究结果表明,MWge;7.5地震之前, 都有一致性参数a降低的现象,a的低值起始的时间在发生大震之前的10多天至110多天, a的低值截止的日期距大震在30多天至2天. 相互之间虽然并不完全一致, 但是差别不大. 这种现象的稳定性, 尚需时间的检验, 但是设想在长达数百公里的地区, 连续发生MWge;5.3的地震的震源机制都与构造应力场一致, 应当不是随机的现象, 而是一种具有预测意义的现象. 当积累的震例足够多时, 则有可能确定统一的评判标准和预测准则. 相似文献
187.
Application of bivariate extreme value distribution to flood frequency analysis: a case study of Northwestern Mexico 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Carlos Escalante-Sandoval 《Natural Hazards》2007,42(1):37-46
In Mexico, poverty has forced people to live almost on the water of rivers. This situation along with the occurrence of floods
is a serious problem for the local governments. In order to protect their lives and goods, it is very important to account
with a mathematical tool that may reduce the uncertainties in computing the design events for different return periods.
In this paper, the Logistic model for bivariate extreme value distribution with Weibull-2 and Mixed Weibull marginals is proposed
for the case of flood frequency analysis. A procedure to estimate their parameters based on the maximum likelihood method
is developed. A region in Northwestern Mexico with 16 gauging stations has been selected to apply the model and regional at-site
quantiles were estimated. A significant improvement occurs, measured through the use of a goodness-of-fit test, when parameters
are estimated using the bivariate distribution instead of its univariate counterpart. Results suggest that it is very important
to consider the Mixed Weibull distribution and its bivariate option when analyzing floods generated by a␣mixture of two populations. 相似文献
188.
On May 28, 1998, a moderate size earthquake of mb 5.5 occurred offshore the northwestern part of Egypt (latitude 31.45°N and
longitude 27.64°E). It was widely felt in the northern part of Egypt. Being the largest well-recorded event in the area for
which seismic data from the global digital network are available, it provides an excellent opportunity to study the tectonic
process and present day stress field occurring along the offshore Egyptian coast. The source parameters of this event are
determined using three different techniques: modeling of surface wave spectral amplitudes, regional waveform inversion, and
teleseismic body waveform inversion. The results show a high-angle reverse fault mechanism generally trending NNW–SSE. The
P-axis trends ENE–WSW consistently with the prevailed compression stress along the southeastern Hellenic arc and southwestern
part of the Cyprean arc. This unexpected mechanism is most probably related to a positive inversion of the NW trending offshore
normal faults and confirms an extension of the back thrusting effects towards the African margin. The estimated focal depth
ranges from 22 to 25 km, indicating a lower crustal origin earthquake owing to deep-seated tectonics. The source time function
indicates a single source with rise time and total rupture duration of 2 and 5 s, respectively. The seismic moment (M
o) and the moment magnitude (M
w) determined by the three techniques are 1.03 × 1017 Nm, 5.28; 1.24 × 1017 Nm, 5.33; and 1.68 × 1017 Nm, 5.42; respectively. The calculated fault radius, stress drop, and the average dislocation assuming a circular fault model
are 7.2 km, 0.63 Mpa, and 0.11 m, respectively. 相似文献
189.
闽台地震速报技术研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文通过系统地分析台网正式运行以来记录到主要的网内、网缘、网外地震的各种震相特征和定位参数 ,总结研究各区的震相特征、台站记录状况和震级的误差 ,力争提高台网地震速报的速度和精度。 相似文献
190.