Comparative evaluation of Poisson partial duration models for mixed flood populations

Simple homogeneous formulations of two extreme value partial duration flood models are compared to more sophisticated compound formulations in terms of asymptotic performance of quantile estimates. The compound model formulations were developed to model flood series resulting from mixed climatological processes. It was found that only in the case of marked nonhomogeneity in the data samples did the compound formulation of the models offer significant advantages in terms of variance of quantile estimates. However, the estimates from the homogeneous model were significantly biased in the negative direction. This negative bias of quantile estimates from the simple model was even more pronounced when the more sophisticated Weibull model was used as the base.     

利用原生岩浆定量反演原岩微量元素丰度的方法

利用同源不同程度平衡部分熔融作用形成的两种原生岩浆岩的微量元素浓度，提出了一种定量反演原岩微量元素丰度的方法。反演前不需要做任何人为假设，为定量研究源区的微量元素地球化学提供了一个有力的手段。对汉诺坝新生代橄榄拉斑玄武岩和碱性玄武岩的成因及地幔源区特征作了讨论。反演结果显示本区地幔相对球粒陨石有过明显的ＲＥＥ富集过程，并且不同的ＲＥＥ富集程度存在显著的差异。     

Numerical Modelling of Melting Processes and Induced Diapirism In the Lower Crust

The processes of partial melting and magmatic diapirism within the lower crust are evaluated using a numerical underplating model. Fully molten basalt ( T = 1200°C) is emplaced at the Moho beneath a solid granite ( T = 750°C) in order that a melt front grows into the granite. If diapirism does not occur, this melt front in the granite reaches a minimal depth in the crust before (like in the molten basalt) crystallization takes place. the density contrast between the partially molten granite layer and the overlying solid granite can lead to a Rayleigh-Taylor instability (RTI) which results in diapiric rise of the partially molten granite. Assuming a binary eutectic system for both the granite and the underplating basalt and a temperature- and stress-dependent rheology for the granite, we numerically solve the governing equations and find (a) that diapirism occurs only within a certain but possibly realistic range of parameters, and (b) that if diapirs occur, they do not rise to levels shallower than 15 or perhaps 12km. the growth rate depends on the degree of melting and the thickness of the partially molten layer, as well as the viscosity of the solid and the partially molten granite. From a comparison of the growth rate with the velocity of a Stefan front it is possible to predict whether a melt front will become unstable and result in diapiric ascent or whether a partially molten layer is created, which remains at depth. We carry out such a comparison using our thermodynamically and thermomechanically consistent model of melting and diapirism.     

天然花岗岩块的熔融实验及其岩石学意义

本文详细论述了马兰峪中生代脉状花岗间长岩固体块样品的熔融实验结果,并据此讨论了部分熔融过程中的结构与成份平衡问题。实验表明,最初熔体产生于不同矿物的接触边界上,而且石英—碱性长石之间的熔体量较石英—斜长石间熔体多,而同种矿物之间一般不出现熔体。当熔融程度增高时,两种长石间也开始出现熔体。熔体成分的研究表明,初始部分熔融过程中,局部体系的平衡起着控制作用。     

Metamorphism and granite genesis in the Hidaka Metamorphic Belt, Hokkaido, Japan

The Main Zone of the Hidaka Metamorphic Belt is an uplifted crustal section of island-arc type. The crust was formed during early Tertiary time, as a result of collision between two arc–trench systems of Cretaceous age. The crustal metamorphic sequence is divided into four metamorphic zones (I–IV), in which zone IV is in the granulite facies. A detailed study of the evolution of the Hidaka Belt, based on a revised P–T–t analysis of the metamorphic rocks, notably a newly found staurolite-bearing granulite, confirms a prograde isobaric heating path, after a supposed event of tectonic thickening of accretionary sedimentary and oceanic crustal rocks. During the peak metamorphic event (c. 53 Ma), the regional geothermal gradient attained 33–40° C km^?1, and the highest P–T condition obtained from the lowest part of the granulite unit is 830° C, 7 kbar. In this part, X_H2O of Gt–Opx–Cd gneiss is about 0.15 and that of Gt–Cd–Bt gneiss is 0.4. The P–T–X_H2O condition of the granulite unit is well within a field where fluid-present partial melting of pelitic and greywacke metamorphic rocks takes place. This is in harmony with the restitic nature of the Gt–Opx–Cd gneiss in the lowest part of the granulite unit. The possibility that partial melting took place in the Main Zone is significant for the genesis of the peraluminous (S-type) granitic rocks within it. The S-type granitic rocks in this zone are Opx–Gt–Bt tonalite in the granulite zone, Gt–Cd–Bt tonalite in the amphibolite zone, and Cd–Bt–Mus tonalite in the Bt–Mus gneiss zone. The mineralogical and chemical nature of these strongly peraluminous tonalitic rocks permit them to be regarded as having been derived from S-type granitic magma generated by crustal anatexis of pelitic metamorphic rocks in deeper crust.     

黑云母片麻岩—H2O系统在0.1—0.2GPa压力下的熔融实验

本文提出了冀东黑云母片麻岩—H2O系统在0.1一0.2GPa压力下熔融买验的相关系。其固相线温度分別为0.1GPa时762℃,0.2GPa时712℃。黑云母消失的温度分別为0.1GPa时787℃,0.2GPa时737℃,石英消失的温度分别为0.1GPa时837.℃,0.2GPa时787.℃。采用Burn-ham模型计算的在液相线温度下岩浆饱和水的含量分別为0.1GPa时3.8%与0.2GPa时5.8%。根据实验结果以及早前寒武纪时冀东陆壳的古地温可知,该区早前寒武纪角阿岩相岩石分布的地区广泛出现的混合岩化作用应主要归因于陆壳岩石(黑云母片麻岩等)的局部熔融作用。由实验结果以及现代冀东陆壳的地温可推知,壳内低速层可能不是由岩石局部熔融所引起,而是由岩石中含有隙间水流体引起。     

Evaluation of risk concepts in partial duration series

Conventional design practice aims at obtaining optimal estimates of floods with specified exceedance probabilities. Such estimates are, however, known on the average to be exceeded more frequently than expected. Alternatively, methods focusing on the expected exceedance probability can be used. Two different methods are considered here; the first is based on the sample distribution of true exceedance probabilities. The second is a Bayesian analogue using the likelihood function and a noninformative prior to describe the variability of exceedance probabilities. Appropriate analytical solutions are presented in both cases using the partial duration series approach.     

大孔隙与大孔隙率矿石的石蜡法体重测定中的修正问题

以伽玛测井解释含量确定铀矿储量时，矿石体重应该是天然状态下的体重，当矿心孔隙度较大而有部分失水，并存在表面大孔隙时，封蜡法所测得的体重系统偏小。对此，本文改进了测定方法，提出了修正方案，并以某矿床为例分析了产生表面孔隙的原因及修正后的具体结果。     

大地电磁二维层状模型参数化反演

本文针对目前二维反演存在求解参数过多和求其偏导数困难的两个问题，在近年来关于连续介质二维大地电磁测深资料快速反演的理论基础上，对二维层状模型反演的目标函数，进行线性近似，采用加权法来近似计算二维模型参数的偏导数。从而实现比较快速的二维层状模型的参数化反演。理论模型的反演试验表明，反演迭代可以较快地以足够的精度拟合视电阻率和相位资料，并收敛接近理论模型。     

假玄武玻璃及其形成过程和机制综述

对假玄武玻璃的概念和特征以及形成环境和产状作了综合性描述，并对其摩擦熔融成因进行了论证，对假玄武玻璃的形成过程和形成机制以及形成假玄武玻璃的地震断层的动力机制、活动方式和脉动性质进行了深入探讨；同时对母岩矿物性质和流体对假玄武玻璃形成的影响进行了分析，概述了假玄武玻璃形成过程中的化学成分变化，最后提出了有待进一步研究的几个问题。