Parameter estimation for basin-scale ecosystem-linked population models of large pelagic predators: Application to skipjack tuna

A Spatial Ecosystem and Population Dynamic Model (SEAPODYM) is used in a data assimilation study aiming to estimate model parameters that describe dynamics of Pacific skipjack tuna population on ocean-based scale. The model based on advection–diffusion–reaction equations explicitly predicts spatial dynamics of large pelagic predators, while taking into account data on several mid-trophic level components, oceanic primary productivity and physical environment. In order to improve its quantitative ability, the model was parameterized through assimilation with commercial fisheries data, and optimization was carried out using maximum likelihood estimation approach. To address the optimization task we implemented an adjoint technique to obtain an exact, analytical evaluation of the likelihood gradient. We conducted a series of computer experiments in order to (i) determine model sensitivity with respect to variable parameters and, hence, investigate their observability; (ii) estimate observable parameters and their errors; and (iii) justify the reliability of the computed solution. Parameters describing recruitment, movement, habitat preferences, natural and fishing mortality of skipjack population were analysed and estimated. Results of the study suggest that SEAPODYM with achieved parameterization scheme can help to investigate the impact of fishing under various management scenarios, and also conduct forecasts of a given species stock and spatial dynamics in a context of environmental and climate changes.     

Vision-based tracking with projective mapping for parameter identification of remotely operated vehicles

Parameter identification of a remotely operated vehicle (ROV) is often based on the dynamic responses collected by its onboard sensors. However, for commercial ROVs, the required data for identification may not be available due to the absence of suitable sensors or limitations in accessing onboard sensor data. Therefore, this study proposes a vision-based tracking system to measure the dynamic response of an ROV. The tracking system is independent of the ROV, and is able to localize an ROV to a high degree of precision by means of projective mapping. The validity of the proposed tracking system is demonstrated through identification of a commercial ROV. A simplified nonlinear ROV dynamic model with six degrees of freedom (DOF) is used for identification. Uncoupled motions, including surge, sway, and yaw, are obtained from the ROV dynamic model, and the corresponding experiments are carried out for each DOF. Hydrodynamic parameters are then estimated with numerical optimizations by comparing the measured ROV responses with the output of the mathematical model. The experimental results show that the vision-based tracking system can accurately measure the transient and steady-state responses of an ROV. Additionally, the simulations of the ROV dynamic model, with the optimal parameter estimates, give results in agreement with the measured data.     

Data assimilation for a coastal area morphodynamic model: Morecambe Bay

This paper investigates the use of data assimilation in coastal area morphodynamic modelling using Morecambe Bay as a study site. A simple model of the bay has been enhanced with a data assimilation scheme to better predict large-scale changes in bathymetry observed in the bay over a 3-year period. The 2DH decoupled morphodynamic model developed for the work is described, as is the optimal interpolation scheme used to assimilate waterline observations into the model run. Each waterline was acquired from a SAR satellite image and is essentially a contour of the bathymetry at some level within the inter-tidal zone of the bay. For model parameters calibrated against validation observations, model performance is good, even without data assimilation. However the use of data assimilation successfully compensates for a particular failing of the model, and helps to keep the model bathymetry on track. It also improves the ability of the model to predict future bathymetry. Although the benefits of data assimilation are demonstrated using waterline observations, any observations of morphology could potentially be used. These results suggest that data assimilation should be considered for use in future coastal area morphodynamic models.     

精密时钟单钟幂律谱系数的取值分析

精密时钟噪声可用五个幂律谱系数来表征其强弱。由于不存在实际可用的理想时钟作为参考,用以估计幂律谱系数的单钟噪声无法直接测出,而只能利用钟组内各钟之间的钟差。然而这是一个不适定问题．本文探讨了单钟幂律谱系数的取值范围与优化估计方法。     

基于GPU的S63标准电子海图数据解密算法

S63标准采用Blowfish算法对原始海图数据加密后发行,数据的解密成为电子海图系统数据转换和更新中一个耗时的过程。为提高数据处理的速度,针对Blowfish分组密码算法的特点,提出一种利用图形处理器（GPU）的海图并行解密算法,并采用数据传输和处理的同步技术进行了优化。测试表明,采用GPU的并行解密算法是纯CPU串行处理的9.8倍。该算法不仅可大大加快海图数据转换和更新过程,对地理信息系统海量数据处理也有一定的借鉴价值。     

中国进出口贸易碳转移排放测算方法分析与评价

目前中国的碳转移排放测算方法有很多,虽然方法不尽相同,但总的结论和计算出的变化趋势类似。造成碳转移量测算结果产生较大差异的原因主要有两方面,一是碳排放强度的测算模型不同,二是对于中国加工贸易转移碳排放的认识不同。测算避免转移排放量时,如果不考虑加工贸易的影响,在某些年份（如2002年）甚至会得到＂中国是碳转移的净进口国...     

WZY-1型钻参仪的研究与应用

分析了目前钻参仪未能普遍推广应用的原因。介绍了WZY－1型钻参仪的总体构成、测试参数、性能特点及其分别与钻机和水泵的一体化设计。     

西藏南部中白垩世旋回地层学

根据旋回特征可把西藏南部的中白垩纪地层分为四个等级。第一级旋回主要是大套的碎屑岩与碳酸盐岩的交替，以及生物种类的变化，表现了当时海平面周期性变化。第二级旋回代表了古生产率和氧化还原的韵律性变化，通过对ＣａＣＯ₃含量的ＡＲ-ＦＦＴ处理得出的周期（ＺＭａ）与Ｂｅｒｇｅｒ等人所计算的理论周期基本相符。因此，可以认为这种旋回根本原因是因轨道参数变化所引起的古环流改变所造成，如地中海型环流与河口型环流的互换，必将导致古生产率以及海洋水体性质的改变。第三级旋回表现为层偶的变化，如泥岩与灰岩互层以及黑色页岩与灰岩互层，在本区主要有三个周期:４.３、５.２和９.２万年，它们分别相当于斜率（ε）和偏心率（Ｃ）的理论周期值，旋回的周期主要是因为气候的变化引起陆源物质的稀释作用发生周期性变化，气候的周期性变化是由于轨道参数的改变而引起，因此，这种族回具有全球的可对比性。第四级旋回是由于海水里季节性变化所引起的纹层状层理。     

Robust and reliable metamodels for mechanized tunnel simulations

The main objective of this paper is to construct a robust and reliable metamodel for the mechanized tunnel simulation in computationally expensive applications. To accomplish this, four metamodeling approaches have been implemented and their performance has been systematically evaluated through a comparative study utilizing pure mathematical test functions. These metamodels are quadratic polynomial regression, moving least squares, proper orthogonal decomposition with radial basis functions, and an extended version of the latest approach. This extended version has been proposed by the authors and named proper orthogonal decomposition with extended radial basis functions. After that, a system identification study for mechanized tunneling has been conducted through the back analysis of synthetic measurements. In this study, the best performing metamodel, that is the one suggested by the authors, has been employed to surrogate a complex and computationally expensive 3D finite element simulation of the mechanized tunnel. The obtained results demonstrate that the proposed metamodel can reliably replace the finite element simulation model and drastically reduce the expensive computation time of the back analysis subroutine.     

灌浆自动记录仪在云鹏水电站坝基工程中的应用

灌浆自动记录仪可以准确记录灌浆全过程灌浆参数,保证灌浆原始记录资料的稳定、可靠和真实,为合理控制施工过程和正确分析判断注浆效果提供可靠的依据,使灌浆质量得以提高。