A method for automatic history matching of a compositional reservoir simulator with multipoint flux approximation

A method for history matching of an in-house petroleum reservoir compositional simulator with multipoint flux approximation is presented. This method is used for the estimation of unknown reservoir parameters, such as permeability and porosity, based on production data and inverted seismic data. The limited-memory Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno method is employed for minimization of the objective function, which represents the difference between simulated and observed data. In this work, we present the key features of the algorithm for calculations of the gradients of the objective function based on adjoint variables. The test example shows that the method is applicable to cases with anisotropic permeability fields, multipoint flux approximation, and arbitrary fluid compositions.     

Reliability assessment of mooring lines for floating structures considering statistical parameter uncertainties

This work focuses on the effect of parameter uncertainty on the reliability index and on the predictive reliability of mooring lines for floating structures under loading from extreme sea-states. A first-order analytic formulation is developed which takes into consideration uncertain parameters in the statistical models of the maximum dynamic tension and the breaking resistance of the mooring lines. Expressions are derived for the mean and the variance of the reliability index in terms of the mean values and the covariance matrix of the uncertain parameters, and of the sensitivity of the reliability index to the uncertain parameters. The predictive reliability index is expressed in terms of the mean and the variance of the reliability index. The formulation is applied to case studies of catenary and taut-leg mooring lines of an offshore structure and the relative effects of the sources of statistical uncertainty are assessed. The case studies demonstrated the applicability and capability of the formulation to capture and represent the relative contributions of the different sources of uncertainty on the predictive reliability and predictive failure probability, as well as on the statistics of the uncertain reliability index.     

Measures to diminish the parameter drift in the modeling of ship manoeuvring using system identification

System identification provides an effective way to predict the ship manoeuvrability. In this paper several measures are proposed to diminish the parameter drift in the parametric identification of ship manoeuvring models. The drift of linear hydrodynamic coefficients can be accounted for from the point of view of dynamic cancellation, while the drift of nonlinear hydrodynamic coefficients is explained from the point of view of regression analysis. To diminish the parameter drift, reconstruction of the samples and modification of the mathematical model of ship manoeuvring motion are carried out. Difference method and the method of additional excitation are proposed to reconstruct the samples. Using correlation analysis, the structure of a manoeuvring model is simplified. Combined with the measures proposed, support vector machines based identification is employed to determine the hydrodynamic coefficients in a modified Abkowitz model. Experimental data from the free-running model tests of a KVLCC2 ship are analyzed and the hydrodynamic coefficients are identified. Based on the regressive model, simulation of manoeuvres is conducted. Comparison between the simulation results and the experimental results demonstrates the validity of the proposed measures.     

CICE海冰模式中反照率相关参数对北极海冰模拟的影响

国家气候中心气候系统模式BCC_CSM2.0最新耦合了美国Los Alamos国家实验室发展的海冰模式CICE5.0,为试验模式中与反照率相关参数的敏感性及其对模拟结果的影响,提高模式对北极海冰的模拟能力,选取海冰模式中3个主要参数进行了敏感性试验。利用以BCC_CSM2.0耦合框架为基础建立的海冰-海洋耦合模式,选取CORE资料为大气强迫场开展试验,试验的3个参数分别为冰/雪表面反射率、雪粒半径和雪粒半径参考温度。结果表明,参数取值的不同对北极海冰的模拟有显著的影响,优化后的取值组合极大提高了模式的模拟能力,主要表现在:（1）改善了对北极冬季海冰厚度的模拟,海冰厚度增大,与观测资料更为吻合;（2）显著提高了对北极夏季海冰密集度的模拟能力,从而模拟的北极海冰范围年际循环与观测更为一致。参数取值的优化改进了模式对海冰反照率的模拟,进而影响了冰面短波辐射的吸收和海冰表层的融化,最终提高了模式对海冰密集度和厚度的模拟效果。      

澳门地质概况

对澳门的泥盆系、第三系、第四系地层出露作了叙述，说明了花岗闪长岩、黑云母粗粒花岗石等几篑夺浆岩的分布及岩性特征，详细地论述了区内８条断裂构造，概述了碎石、建筑材料等矿产资料。     

Analysis of resonant curves and phase portrait in the earth–moon system by using its unperturbed solution and earth’s equatorial ellipticity

In this research article, we have investigated resonant curves due to the rate of change of earth’s equatorial ellipticity parameter $\left(\dot{\gamma }\right)$, steady-state value of the angular velocity of the moon $\left({\dot{\theta }}_{mo}\right)$, and angular velocity of barycenter $\left(\dot{{\alpha }_0}\right)$ in the Earth-Moon system. Equations of motion of the moon are determined in a spherical coordinate system with the help of the gravitational potential of the earth. By using the unperturbed solution, equations of motion of the moon reduced into the second-order differential equation. From the solution it is observed that resonance occurs due to the frequencies $\dot{\gamma }$, ${\dot{\theta }}_{m0}$, and $\dot{{\alpha }_0}$ at the resonant points ${\dot{\theta }}_{m0}=2\dot{\gamma }$, $3{\dot{\theta }}_{m0}=2\dot{\gamma }$, ${\dot{\theta }}_{m0}=\dot{\gamma }$, ${\dot{\theta }}_{m0}={\dot{\alpha }}_0$. Finally, we have analyzed the phase portrait and phase space by method of Poincaré section when the system is free from forces.