一种研究城市化发展的新方法

以南京市1988年TM影像为信息源,组合影像4、5波段得到建筑用地指数(NDBI),采用决策树分类方法对NDBI进行修正,分类提取建筑用地;对照TM影像修改误分的地块后转化为栅格数据,生成50×50个像元大小的格网,统计每个格网单元内的建筑用地率,将该值赋给各个格网单元的几何中心点;采用距离倒数方法由点数据插值得出整个影像范围内的建筑用地区域分异情况,进而反映出不同建筑用地率的辐射影响范围。该方法可定量提取不同建筑用地率的辐射边界,有助于根据单张影像数据分析城市的扩张趋势,可在一定程度上预测城市的发展;对于需要跨江发展的城市(如南京),该方法可以辅助桥梁等过江通道的选址。     

中国城际公路零担专线网络空间结构特征

基于社会网络分析方法,利用国家交通运输物流公共信息平台2018年全国地级及以上城市的公路零担专线数据,从城市节点、城际联系、子网络3个层面对中国城市网络结构特征进行识别,结果表明：1）上海、天津、郑州、广州、杭州在网络中处于主导性地位,根据货流组织系数,可将城市节点划分为强中心、次强中心、弱中心、从属型4种类型。2）在首位联系总量排名前十的城市中,输出型城市和输入型城市的比例为4∶1,反映货流流向的不均衡性。由公路零担专线数据刻画的网络空间呈现显著的距离衰减规律,集中在500 km的专线数量占比为41.9%。3）公路零担专线网络形成东北―冀鲁蒙社区、中原社区、关中社区、江淮社区、泛珠三角―长三角社区、长株潭社区6个具有显著地域特征的城市社区,社区结构表现出明显的空间集聚和跨行政区特征。最后,提出以下建议：增强成渝城市群公路零担专线服务能力,发挥核心城市产业集聚和带动作用;优化边缘城市产业结构,加强交通与产业融合;积极引导无车承运人平台发挥网络规模化效应,提高公路货运组织效率。     

中国滑雪场可达性及市场潜力测度

利用可达性分析方法与潜力模型对中国滑雪场空间分布格局与市场潜力进行了系统分析,全面认识了滑雪场在交通可达性方面的优劣势,并针对不同区域提出了相应的发展或改进方向.研究表明:中国滑雪场距离城市中心的平均最短旅行时间为1.24 h,南方可达性普遍较差,北方同一城市内部差异较大.全国各城市到达某一滑雪场的最短时间呈圈层式分布...     

梅江河流域年均降雨量空间插值方法研究

分析了降雨空间分布的影响要素及降雨空间插值的主要方法,并在此基础上,利用地理信息系统(GIS)的空间分析功能,综合考虑高程、坡度、坡向等影响降雨空间分布的多种要素,应用协克里金方法,探讨流域降雨量的空间插值问题及其应用,并与反距离权重法、克里金方法等单要素方法进行了降雨空间插值的效果比较.结果表明:应用协克里金方法,在综合考虑高程、坡度、坡向等影响要素的条件下,对降雨进行空间插值,其结果具有比较好的精度.     

Perceptions and responses to climate policy risks among California farmers

This paper considers how farmers perceive and respond to climate change policy risks, and suggests that understanding these risk responses is as important as understanding responses to biophysical climate change impacts. Based on a survey of 162 farmers in California, we test three hypotheses regarding climate policy risk: (1) that perceived climate change risks will have a direct impact on farmer's responses to climate policy risks, (2) that previous climate change experiences will influence farmer's climate change perceptions and climate policy risk responses, and (3) that past experiences with environmental policies will more strongly affect a farmer's climate change beliefs, risks, and climate policy risk responses. Using a structural equation model we find support for all three hypotheses and furthermore show that farmers’ negative past policy experiences do not make them less likely to respond to climate policy risks through participation in a government incentive program. We discuss how future research and climate policies can be structured to garner greater agricultural participation. This work highlights that understanding climate policy risk responses and other social, economic and policy perspectives is a vital component of understanding climate change beliefs, risks and behaviors and should be more thoroughly considered in future work.     

断尾沟和断错水系及断错速率的商讨

能形成所谓“肘状拐弯”的断错水系,必是先有冲沟,后被断错的水系。而先有断层,后溯源侵蚀发育的冲沟则不能形成”肘状拐弯“的断错水系。因此,断层一侧沟的长度—断尾沟长度与断层年龄无关,最终与断层运动速率之间的关系也不易确定。     

Multivariable variogram and its application to the linear model of coregionalization

In this article, we present the multivariable variogram, which is defined in a way similar to that of the traditional variogram, by the expected value of a distance, squared, in a space withp dimensions. Combined with the linear model of coregionalization, this tool provides a way for finding the elementary variograms that characterize the different spatial scales contained in a set of data withp variables. In the case in which the number of elementary components is less than or equal to the number of variables, it is possible, by means of nonlinear regression of variograms and cross-variograms, to estimate the coregionalization parameters directly in order to obtain the elementary variables themselves, either by cokriging or by direct matrix inversion. This new tool greatly simplifies the procedure proposed by Matheron (1982) and Wackernagel (1985). The search for the elementary variograms is carried out using only one variogram (multivariable), as opposed to thep(p + 1)/2 required by the Matheron approach. Direct estimation of the linear coregionalization model parameters involves the creation of semipositive definite coregionalization matrices of rank 1.     

水平电偶源频率测深中全区视电阻率定义的新方法

从电磁场的统一性出发，分析了水平电偶源频率测深中等效电阻率的算法原理和具体定义．分析表明，等效电阻率可明显地改善波区视电阻率在非波区场的畸变，较为形象、直观地反映出地电断面的电性变化．数值计算、三维模型计算和实际数据处理表明，等效电阻率具有良好的特性和应用前景．     

A comparison of two avalanche-models with exemplary avalanches of Tyrol and Switzerland and the effects to hazard zoning

For the purposes of a thesis at the Institute of avalanche and torrent control at the university of agriculture in Vienna a comparison of two avalanche-models, a hydraulic one from Voellmy/Salm/Gubler and a statistical one from Laatsch/Zenke/Dankerl with exemplary exactly known avalanches of Tyrol and Switzerland was started in 1993. The result of this work was that both models failed by the calculation of avalanches with high recurrence intervals (over 300 years). For the calculation of avalanches with recurrence intervals under 300 years the results of both models are regular. The conclusion is that a combination of two models i.e. a hydraulic one improved by statistical calculations will be the best.     

三维F－K域DMO方法及应用效果

在常速情况下，从三维时距方程出发，通过倾角代换，将三维倾角时差分裂为两个正交方向上的二维倾角时差，然后在这两个正交方向上分别做一次二维倾角时差校正，便可达到三维倾角时差校正的目的．应用实例表明这种三维ＤＭＯ分裂方法是切实有效的．