多方法联合分析未来地震发生趋势

综合多种前兆方法分析地震活动规律,研究目标地区未来地震发生的趋势。首先采用图像信息法(PI)进行扫描,从长期尺度上找出研究区域内地震活动异常的地区,并结合相关的活动断裂分布及区域地震活动确定未来地震的发震危险区;然后采用加卸载响应比(LURR)、态矢量(SV)、矩张量加速释放(AMR)等中短期前兆方法分析这些区域的地震发生可能,并对地震发生的相关信息做进一步估算;在空间上实现向地震危险区域的逐渐逼近,时间上实现从长期预测到中短期预测的自然过渡。作为回顾性震例研究,我们对近3年来发生在中国西部的强震(ML6.5)进行了检验,结果表明,相对于单一算法而言,将不同前兆方法适当组合结合能够更为明确地为未来地震危险性评估提供信息和约束。     

‘Canalise the Meuse! Do it. Now or never!’ Aspects of the struggle for the improvement of the Meuse in the Dutch province of Limburg (1839-1925)

This paper demonstrates that the historical dynamism of the Dutch river Meuse in the period 1839-1925 cannot possibly be understood exclusively from a political, economical or hydraulic angle. Although all these categories are essential in the analysis, the fact that the large-scale improvement of this river was accompanied by such emotions, incomprehension and mistrust about the way in which the Dutch government handled this hydraulic problem in a peripheral province - that nationally and culturally differed very considerably from the centre of the nation state in the Northern Netherlands - calls for a broader-based approach. The first indictor for this explanation can be sought in theoretical understanding of nationalism and its historiography in general, and the course of Dutch state and nation forming and the construction of national and regional identities in particular. Taking this as the analysis framework, we have demonstrated that the struggle to improve the Meuse in Limburg not only involved the political, hydraulical and economic dimensions already referred to, but also encompassed a cultural dimension. A dimension that can best be described as an integration problem in the framework of state and nation forming and as part of a more extensive field of tension between the provincial stakeholders and the government, which contributed to the forming a of a regional Limburg identity.     

Suitability mapping for rice cultivation in Benue State,Nigeria using satellite data

ABSTRACT

With rising population, decline in soil productivity and land-based conflicts, the per-capita land availability for cultivation is rapidly decreasing within Benue State, a largely agrarian and small-holder setting. This study attempts a local-level support for the actualisation of Sustainable Development Goal Number 2 (“end hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition, and promote sustainable agriculture”) by 2030. Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) method, remote sensing data from Climate Research Unit (CRU) and in-situ data from Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NIMET) were analyzed by GIS techniques to map the suitability of rice cultivation in the study area, with the integration of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), land cover, slope, temperature, precipitation and soil parameters (cation exchange capacity, pH, bulk density, organic carbon). We apply the various statistical parameters that include mean spatial NDVI; correlation coefficient, standard deviation and Root Mean Square (RMS) between CRU and NIMET data. Spatial regression trend analysis is conducted between CRU precipitation and NDVI and between CRU temperature and NDVI from 1985 to 2015. The results reveal that NDVI in highly suitable rice planting regions is higher than marginally suitable regions except in the months of October and November, which shows that the highly suitable regions will yield better than the marginally suitable regions during the dry season. Additionally, NDVI is seasonally bimodal in response to precipitation, meaning that vegetation vigor is more dependent on precipitation than temperature. Finally, the correlation coefficient, standard deviation and RMS between CRU and NIMET precipitation data shows 0.42, 108, and 110, respectively, while these three factors between CRU and NIMET temperature data shows 0.88, 1.60, and 0.86, respectively. In conclusion, the MCDM approach reveals that upland is more suitable for rice cultivation in Benue State when comparing with the area provided by the Global Land Cover and National Mappings Organization (GLCNMO) data.     

惯性测量中计算重力元素的新方法

本文首先介绍了用惯性技术测定重力元素的基本原理,并分析了惯性测量系统目前采用的重力元素计算方法的优缺点;并在此基础上提出了一个计算重力元素的新方法。理论分析及防真结果均表明:相对于目前所用方法而言,本文给出的方法不仅计算工作量少、内存量小,而且求得的结果精度高。     

安徽庐枞盆地龙桥铁矿床中钴的赋存状态和空间分布规律

中国东部的长江中下游、莱芜、邯邢和临汾等矿集区中发育大量的矽卡岩型铁矿床,其中普遍伴生钴,部分矿床估算伴生钴资源量大于1万t,达到中型钴矿床的规模。已有研究表明,中国东部富钴矽卡岩型铁矿床的成矿时代相同,成矿特征相似,均为中国东部130Ma大规模成矿作用的产物,反映较大规模的铁钴成矿作用受统一的动力学背景控制。钴与其他伴生组分一样,其工业价值主要不取决于矿石中钴的含量,而取决于钴的赋存状态,因此开展矽卡岩型铁矿床中钴的赋存状态和分布规律研究具有重要的理论和实践意义。龙桥矽卡岩型铁矿床位于长江中下游成矿带,是目前发现的成矿带内伴生钴含量最高的矿床。矿床主矿体长1000m,成矿岩体位于矿体中部,黄铁矿分布范围广,距离岩体中心不同距离均有分布,是研究矽卡岩型铁矿床中钴赋存状态和空间分布规律的理想对象。本次研究在龙桥铁矿床勘探巷道-370m平面自西向东采集了9件含黄铁矿样品,黄铁矿主要呈浸染状-细脉状交代磁铁矿。研究表明,龙桥铁矿床中钴主要赋存在黄铁矿和磁铁矿中,其次为独立钴矿物(主要为辉砷钴矿)。黄铁矿的LA-ICP-MS微区微量元素分析结果表明,龙桥黄铁矿中Co(0.019×10~(-6)～5639×10~(-6))、Ni(0.025×10~(-6)～5798×10~(-6))和As(0.46×10~(-6)～14526×10~(-6))的含量均具有较大的变化范围,黄铁矿总体上具有边缘富钴、核部贫钴的特征,黄铁矿边部的钴含量是核部的100～1000倍。通过对LA-ICP-MS测试数据以及时间分辨率剖面的逐一对比,推测Co主要以类质同象形式替代Fe进入黄铁矿晶格。由于钴在黄铁矿中分布极不均匀,不同空间位置采集的黄铁矿样品中Co含量平均值和变化范围没有明显规律。本文通过类比,提出中国东部矽卡岩型铁矿床中钴矿物可能是普遍存在的,但以前受限于分析测试手段未能发现;如何在选矿过程中分离富集钴矿物和富钴黄铁矿,是矽卡岩型铁矿床硫精粉中钴回收利用的关键。     

史料考证与找矿(之四)：个旧锡矿

著名的个旧锡矿，据史料在元廿七年（1290年），率先在老厂矿区银铜矿开始采银（铅）-锌矿。清康熙四十六年（1707年），始由官方主持大规模开发砂锡矿，直至民国初年（1910年）都以采-冶砂锡为主，元廿七年后，银硐，黄茅山，竹林山，龙树脚等老硐深部，相继发现并转入原生锡矿开采。个旧300余年的采-选-冶开发史，使当地矿工在识别砂锡，脉锡不同矿石类型（荒），涮碗目测品位，水力采矿（冲荒尖），水力洗选（溜口），土法炼锡，锡锭表面“花口”识别等诸多领域，创造出一套完整的采-选-冶工艺，在中国矿业史上作出重大贡献。     

General characteristics and research progress of tellurium mineralizationSCIEI北大核心CSCD

碲作为稀散元素,很少形成独立矿床,主要以共伴生形式产出于多个类型矿床中,包括铜镍硫化物和铂族矿床、铁氧化物铜金(IOCG)矿床、块状硫化物(VMS)矿床、斑岩矿床、矽卡岩矿床、造山型金矿、卡林型金矿和浅成低温热液矿床等。研究表明,碲元素可以形成上百种碲矿物,除了自然碲之外,多与Au、Ag、Pb、Bi、Cu等形成碲化物,与S或者Se形成碲的硫化物或硒化物,也可以形成碲酸盐、硅酸盐、磷酸盐、硫酸盐等矿物;此外Te还可以以类质同象形式替换寄主矿物中的元素。在成矿带尺度、矿床尺度及其矿石中碲均表现出极不均匀的分布特征,与主矿种Cu、Au、Ag等具有成因关系。碲具有多来源特征,可以源自地幔,也可以是浅部壳源岩浆或是围岩地层提供。碲矿化一般发生在成矿的中晚阶段,流体可通过混合作用、水岩反应、沸腾作用等改变体系的物理化学条件(如pH值、硫逸度、氧逸度、碲逸度、温度等),导致流体pH值升高、硫逸度和氧逸度降低,碲逸度升高,这是诱发碲矿物富集和沉淀的主要机制。碲由于其受控成矿条件较为特殊,需要着重加强碲富集成矿的关键控制因素、成矿物质来源和富集沉淀机制的研究。     

关于找富铀矿的几个问题

本文根据中南地区富铀矿与矿化类型、矿床构造、构造破碎程度和主岩成分等的内在联系,提出活化作用是形成富铀矿的一个重要条件,富铀矿多赋存在不同大地构造的交汇部位和强烈的蚀变区内。此外,合理计算矿床的平均品位,单独圈定富矿地段,也是提高矿石品级的一个技术措施。     

The first fossil mayfly nymph (Insecta: Ephemeroptera) from the British Isles

Mayflies are very rare in the British fossil record. The first nymph to be found, Schistonotorum wallisi gen. et sp. nov., is described from the non-marine Lower Cretaceous of southeast England. This Early Barremian find is from the Upper Weald Clay Formation at Smokejacks brickworks, Surrey. It is preserved as an adpression in concretionary sideritic ironstone from the upper insect bed exposed in the northeast face of the pit. The palaeoecological significance of this record is discussed.