FLAC3D在边坡数值分析及位移监测中应用

以辽宁省岫岩县某山头边坡为例,通过槽探、钻探、大型剪切试验等多种手段,找出合理潜在滑动面。利用FLAC3D软件对该边坡进行三维数值模拟,分析应力应变关系,得出变形较大及应力集中区域,同时利用强度折减法得出边坡的安全系数,评价其稳定性。将从边坡后缘张拉裂隙上布设的位移监测点采集到的数据,与数值模拟结果进行对比分析,验证数值模拟的可靠性,为边坡抗滑设计提供依据。     

基于数值预报模式的乡镇温度预报方法研究

利用2015年8月至2017年7月长兴岛站和交流岛站日最高气温、日最低气温实况资料,对ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报值和日本FSFE02(24 h地面形势场预报)、FSFE03(36 h地面形势场预报)进行了检验。结果表明:根据历史回归统计检验,ECMWF细网格模式24 h的2 m最高气温、最低气温预报效果显著,通过了0. 05信度显著性检验。对各月做相关分析,相关性均较好。利用前一日ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报值与长兴岛站实况差值,根据统计的ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报订正值,做出长兴岛站未来24 h的气温预报。交流岛站温度预报是在长兴岛站温度预报的基础上订正做出,经统计分析,交流岛站和长兴岛站的气温差值与地面形势场和风场有较好的对应关系,根据不同类型的地面形势场和风场订正值,做出交流岛站的温度预报。应用Matlab计算机语言的开发功能,提取ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报的最高、最低气温值,并录入当日长兴岛站和交流岛站最高、最低气温实况值,自动预报各站未来24 h最高气温、最低气温。创建可视化预报工作界面,实现乡镇温度预报自动化。     

相控震源对地震信号信噪比的改善研究

当测区噪声很强,采用组合震源工作仍然不能满足信噪比要求时,为进一步提高地震勘探信噪比,引入能形成定向地震波的相控震源.针对水平层状介质模型,对组合震源、相控震源地震进行了数值模拟,并定量计算了采用4,8,15,20单元的组合与相控震源地震数据的信噪比,同组合地震相比,相控地震使来自不同反射层的反射波信号的信噪比平均提高了154～990 dB.结果表明,相控震源地震得到的反射波信号信噪比高于组合地震,并且随着激震器数目增加,相控震源合成地震记录中的反射波地震数据信噪比明显提高.     

闪电产生氮氧化物(LNOX)及其输送过程的模式计算

利用三维强风暴动力电耦合模式,模拟分析了一次雷暴过程中放电活动特征及平流和湍流对LNOX的输送特征。结果表明,在中部负电荷区域的上边缘,对应上升气流区外围、水平流场中心部位的区域,因为放电传输距离较长,所以强放电区主要落在这些部位,且向上传输。在负电荷中心区也有少数放电点,但传输距离较短。闪电产生的氮氧化物逸出闪道后,被云中平流和湍流输送,最后在弱流场区域内形成LNOX浓度中心,峰值达9×10-9。LNOX的输送主要以平流为主,但在云底层及雷暴消散阶段,湍流输送也起重要作用。在雷暴云消亡期,LNOX的峰值为2.7×10-9,比晴天值大1个量级。     

球面距离计算方法及精度比较

球面距离(角间距)计算是天文或地理学中极常用的计算之一,也是目标查找、锥形检索、交叉证认等方法的基础。数学上,通过球面几何可以直接计算出两点的距离,前人已经推导出了多个复杂程度不一的计算方法。但是由于计算机的精度有限,在进行数值计算时有舍入误差,导致公式计算结果出现偏差。对几个常用的球面距离计算公式进行了考察,测试并对比它们在不同计算环境下的精度与优缺点。此外还展示并比较了几种常用天文软件包、数据库的球面距离计算方法,以期有助于天文工作者选择适合自己当前需要的计算方法。     

Modeling of iceberg drift in the marginal ice zone of the Barents Sea

The paper is focused on the analysis of the drift of tabular iceberg observed in 2009 in the marginal ice zone of the North-West Barents Sea. Momentum balance equations are derived from the Kirchhoff equations describing plane motion of solid body in an ideal fluid. Field works performed on the drift iceberg and on the drift icenear the iceberg are described. Results of the field works and numerical simulations of the iceberg drift and rotation are performed and discussed. It is shown that acceleration of water flow around the iceberg has visible influence on the iceberg drift. Kinetic energy balance of drift iceberg is used to estimate the forces applied to the iceberg by the drift ice.     

Uncertainty in marine weather routing

Weather routing methods are essential for planning routes for commercial shipping and recreational craft. This paper provides a methodology for quantifying the significance of numerical error and performance model uncertainty on the predictions returned from a weather routing algorithm. The numerical error of the routing algorithm is estimated by solving the optimum path over different discretizations of the environment. The uncertainty associated with the performance model is linearly varied in order to quantify its significance. The methodology is applied to a sailing craft routing problem: the prediction of the voyaging time for an ethnographic voyaging canoe across long distance voyages in Polynesia. We find that the average numerical error is an order of magnitude smaller than the performance model uncertainty. These results illustrate the significance of considering the influence of numerical error and performance uncertainty when performing a weather routing study.     

胶州湾潮余流和物质输送之间的关系

基于MIKE21的HD模型,通过模拟得到胶州湾的潮流场,胶州湾在涨急时最大流速1.04m/s,落急时最大流速约为0.96m/s。胶州湾余流总体较小,平均为0.03m/s左右。并在湾内不同位置释放自由粒子,以MIKE21的Particle tracking模型计算出其在潮流作用下的运移轨迹,结果表明粒子大多数运移到湾内近岸区域,少部分在湾口区域附近;在潮流场基础上计算了欧拉余流场,并和粒子运移结果进行对比,表明欧拉余流场在区域流向比较一致时可以表示粒子运动的趋势,为物质迁移、控制污染等方面提供了一定的参考借鉴意义。     

Application of a vanishing, quasi-sigma, vertical coordinate for simulation of high-speed, deep currents over the Sigsbee Escarpment in the Gulf of Mexico

Recent observations over the Sigsbee Escarpment in the Gulf of Mexico have revealed extremely energetic deep currents (near 1 m s⁻¹), which are trapped along the escarpment. Both scientific interest and engineering needs demand dynamical understanding of these extreme events, and can benefit from a numerical model designed to complement observational and theoretical investigations in this region of complicated topography. The primary objective of this study is to develop a modeling methodology capable of simulating these physical processes and apply the model to the Sigsbee Escarpment region. The very steep slope of the Sigsbee Escarpment (0.05–0.1) limits the application of ocean models with traditional terrain-following (sigma) vertical coordinates, which may represent the very complicated topography in the region adequately, can result in large truncation errors during calculation of the horizontal pressure gradient. A new vertical coordinate system, termed a vanishing quasi-sigma coordinate, is implemented in the Navy Coastal Ocean Model for application to the Sigsbee Escarpment region. Vertical coordinate surfaces for this grid have noticeably gentler slopes than a traditional sigma grid, while still following the terrain near the ocean bottom. The new vertical grid is tested with a suite of numerical experiments and compared to a classical sigma-layer model. The numerical error is substantially reduced in the model with the new vertical grid. A one-year, realistic, numerical simulation is performed to simulate strong, deep currents over the Escarpment using a very-high-resolution nested modeling approach. The model results are analyzed to demonstrate that the deep-ocean currents in the simulation replicate the prominent dynamical features of the observed intense currents in the region.