DMSP/OLS夜间灯光数据的四川省GDP空间化分析

针对DMSP/OLS夜间灯光数据模拟省级格网GDP问题,该文选取2000、2006以及2010年DMSP/OLS稳定夜间灯光数据、辐射定标夜间灯光数据和四川省第二、三产业社会经济GDP数据,运用相关性分析、对比分析以及回归分析的方法,模拟出四川省GDP空间化密度图并分析与高程之间的关系。结果表明:在省级范围内,GDP与辐射定标灯光数据的相关性明显高于与稳定灯光数据的相关性,且前者的灯光指数CNLI与GDP相关性最高;运用3年的辐射定标灯光数据模拟得到四川省GDP密度图与GDP统计数据的拟合精度均达到0.99以上;2000-2010年四川省GDP呈现由成都市向四周不断扩张的趋势并随高程变化显著,四川省GDP高值区主要集中在高程1 000m以下的成都平原及周边区域,西部高原和山地地区GDP值较低。     

论海相页岩气富集机理——以四川盆地五峰组—龙马溪组为例

深入探究页岩气富集机理是保障勘探开发高效推进的基础。本研究通过对四川盆地五峰组—龙马溪组页岩气勘探开发实践的系统分析,梳理总结前人研究成果,从生成机理、运移机理、赋存机理和保存机理四个方面对海相页岩气富集机理进行了深入分析,并讨论了深层和常压页岩气的勘探开发潜力。结果表明：在生成机理方面,埋藏史和热演化史控制了页岩生排烃史、生排烃量和现今含气量;页岩气运移机理涉及运移动力、运移相态、运移方式和运移通道四方面内容,页岩气运移主要是烃源岩内的初次运移,同时讨论了初次运移的影响因素;在赋存机理方面,甲烷—页岩间表现出单/多分子层吸附和微孔充填等多种赋存机制,组分润湿性和孔隙有效性是决定甲烷吸附赋存和解吸运移的关键;在保存机理方面,盖层和物性自封闭是主要的保存机理,构造运动引起的裂缝—流体活动是页岩气保存条件遭到破坏的主要原因,流体活动时间和期次研究是页岩气保存条件和含气量定量评价的重要内容。页岩气富集机理的系统分析和创新认识为页岩气勘探开发评价提供了重要依据,建议加强页岩气演化历史全过程的动态评价。结合深层和常压页岩气勘探实践,分析了深层和常压页岩气的成因机制及主要特征,指出了下一步攻关内容及勘探方向。     

川中地区中二叠统栖霞组滩控岩溶型白云岩储层特征及主控因素

四川盆地中部地区栖霞组的白云岩是该区主要储层,储层成因的主流观点是热液白云岩化.目前勘探实践发现,优质储渗体形成与早期相控岩溶作用有关.通过取芯及测录井资料进行了详细分析,研究结果表明,该类白云岩储层主要位于栖霞组中上部颗粒滩发育的地层中,按其宏微观产出状态可分为溶斑状云岩、溶洞充填云岩、针孔状基质云岩和致密基质云岩....     

Establishment and closure of the directed Florida whiting (Menticirrhus americanus) fishery and implications for North Atlantic right whale (Eubalaena glacialis) conservation and management

Today, ocean and coastal marine resource management is extremely complex. Marine resource managers are charged with conserving and managing many diverse species. Southern kingfish (Menticirrhus americanus), commonly known as whiting, are found from southern New England to Florida. During the fall through winter, western North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena glacialis) are primarily found in the coastal nearshore waters off South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida, overlapping the whiting's range and habitat.     

Mantle plumes and the metamorphism of the lower crust and their influence on basin evolution

Since the stretching model appears to be not applicable to the subsidence of accretionary crust, basins located on this crust type may have an alternative origin. Examples of such basins are the West Siberia Basin and the North German Basin. Both basins showed intensive volcanism and magmatism during the initial phase of their development. Remarkably, the West Siberia Basin is closely located to the (hotspot related) Siberian flood basalts with a similar Permo-Triassic age, and the location of the North German Basin in Permian times is identical with the present day position of the Tibesti hotspot in Northern Africa. These two basins may have specific relations to hotspot heat sources of the Earth's underlying mantle. Due to these heat sources, thermal metamorphism within the lower layers of the (accretionary) crust may occur, resulting in rock density increase and subsequent shrinkage of the affected rock volumes. These shrinkage processes will lead to the development of topographic lows, their filling with sediments, and the subsequent start of an exponentially declining isostatic/metamorphic basin subsidence. In addition to the analyses of metamorphic processes, potential field anomalies, temperature fields, and histories of subsidence have been integrated into one single model that can explain the development of the North German Basin. Similarly, the East African Rift and Eifel Hotspots affected parts of the overriding continental plates. The East African Rift Hotspot can be traced back to the Afar flood basalts and the Dniepr–Donets Basin, whereas the Eifel Hotspot can be linked to the North Sea Basin. Continental drift templates, present day hotspot locations, flood basalt areas, metamorphic facies as function of temperature, and crust categories are taken as published in recent literature.     

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Outburst risk of barrier lakes in Sichuan,China

34 barrier lakes induced by earthquake have been formed by wedged debris on the river channels after a massive earthquake happening on May 12 in Sichuan, China. Among them, the Tangjiashan Barrier Lake is the largest one. It faces very urgent risk of dam breaking when water level reaches the top and begins overflow in case of storm rainfalls and continually aftershocks, threatening already devastated cities and villages with about 1.5 million people downstream. The outburst of a similar barrier lake occurred in the Minjiang River in 1933, causing a catastrophic flood. Risk analysis indicates that not all barrier lakes are highly dangerous. Only those lakes with very high dams and water to be filled up in short period need to be dealt with immediately.     

四川盆地天然气藏的破坏与保存条件剖析

天然气藏勘探的成功或失利,取决于气藏圈闭的封堵系统和散失系统。介绍了四川盆地气藏圈闭封堵系统和散失系统的类型、分布范围和对气藏圈闭的保存和破坏作用。气藏圈闭封堵系统的优劣取决于圈闭的有效封堵面与区域盖层的有效整体封闭条件和区域水动力停滞带环境条件,封堵系统良好的圈闭,勘探成功率高。气藏圈闭散失系统由缺乏区域盖层有效整体封闭条件的剥蚀区、区域水动力自由交替带环境、通天断层或潜伏通天断层组成。散失系统导致圈闭失效,从而造成勘探失利。通过对四川盆地天然气藏的破坏与保存条件的多个实例剖析,提出在四川盆地及我国南方海相天然气勘探中应当重视对天然气藏破坏与保存条件的研究,以利于天然气藏勘探区块、目标的选择和勘探效率的提高。     

川藏地区及川藏铁路沿线风场特征分析

雷暴大风是影响铁路建设和交通运营安全的主要气象灾害之一,而川藏铁路作为连接四川省和西藏自治区的干线铁路,其沿线地理形势复杂,气候特征多样,被称为“最难建的铁路”,本文旨在定量分析川藏地区和川藏铁路的风场变化特征,以为川藏铁路建设和铁路列车运行、防灾减灾以及实时动态监测预警和风险评估提供科学依据。文章采用2004—2020年地面气象站观测风场和2006—2020年极大风风速资料,结合2000—2020年近21年的NCEP FNL地面风场数据,对川藏地区和川藏铁路沿线拉萨、林芝、雅安、成都4个高铁站附近的风场时空分布特征和变化规律进行分析,研究表明：(1)川藏地区西部风力高于东部,高原内陆风力大于高原东南缘和四川省。11月至次年3月是高原内陆风速最大的月份,月平均风速在高原北部和南缘能够达到7 m/s以上,夏秋季风速较小。(2)选取川藏铁路沿线拉萨站、林芝站、雅安站和成都站4个站点风场进行分析,风速表现为高原西部向东部减小的趋势。(3)在研究时段内,2018—2020年川藏铁路沿线平均风速和极大风速均呈明显增加趋势,拉萨和林芝站的大风日数也有所增加,因此2018年以来川藏铁路沿线处于风速上...     

夏半年川西高原600 hPa低涡活动特征

600 hPa天气系统能够分析川西高原低涡变化的主要特征,并能识别低涡的发展移动和川西高原强降水落区的关系。利用1979—2020年逐3 h的ERA5再分析资料(0.25°×0.25°)和2011—2020年逐小时降水资料,对夏半年川西高原600 hPa低涡活动特征、低涡与降水的关系及致雨低涡动力和热力特征进行统计分析,结果表明：(1)42年间低涡年均80个,持续时间1 d以内占总数的95.7%;在川西高原本地生成、移入和移出低涡年均61.5个、18个和5.3个;低涡源地和消散地分别在甘孜州白玉县和理塘县为中心的区域。(2)生命史大于12 h的低涡占比36.4%,都会带来降水,其中超83.7%会造成中雨以上降水;低涡伴随的日降水强度最大值中心位置随月份先由川西高原东部与南部地区北移到中部,之后逐渐移回到东部与南部地区,相对应7—8月多低涡从北部南移到中部摆动消亡,其余月份多低涡从中部生成影响到东部和南部地区或在南部生成并停滞或摆动。(3)强烈垂直上升运动和正涡度区的耦合发展以及深厚不稳定层结的形成和加强是致雨低涡发生发展并产生强降水的动力特征和热力层结条件。