中国沿海地区国民收入预测的新组合模型

着重讨论一种基于灰色ＧＭ（１，１）模型及国民收入决定函数模型而建立的新组合模型。该模型建模方法简单，组合性强，并且在各模型的拟合精度提高。该模型汲取了灰色ＧＭ（１，１）模型模拟国民收入变化趋势的优点和国民收入决定函数模型模拟国民收入波动的优点，使组合模型不但在趋势上符合国民收入的发展，而且也给出了在波动方面的比较一致的模拟。     

ESF中一种重要新波模的探讨

本文从计入离子-中性粒子碰撞频率Vin效应的等离子体二流体方程组出发,导出统一描述ESF小尺度和中小尺度区域现象的二维静电模型.对模型方程进行了详细的线性波理论分析.结果表明,晚间赤道F层可存在正能波和负能波;Vin效应的影响是否重要依赖于波数和离子梯度漂移速度u_d乘积的大小.在小尺度区域,Vin影响较小,本文模型将变成我们已提出的小尺度无碰撞模型;而在中小尺度区域,Vin效应很重要,本文模型将得到著名的Rayleigh-Taylor不稳定性结果,Vin项对波的影响可以是致稳作用也可能是失稳作用,RT不稳定性波模对应于负能波分支.     

新世纪测绘事业改革之我见

世纪交替之际 ,在信息社会和新经济条件下 ,我国测绘事业要发挥更大作用 ,必须抓住机遇 ,深化改革 ,以适应国家经济与社会发展的要求 ,仅就深化改革这一主题提出一些看法。     

科学大洋钻探中的新技术

大洋钻探诸多科学目标的实现与包括钻探、取芯、测试和海底观测技术在内的各种新技术的开发和革新密不可分。即将开展的IODP计划,将对各种技术提出新的要求。在钻探技术上,将联合使用多平台,以实现区域更广深度更大的钻探作业;在取芯技术上,取样范围更广,从各种岩石取样到地下流体的取样,并要求样品保持原始状态,同时确保获得更高的岩芯采收率;在测试上,要求采用随钻测试技术,以适时地获得地下真实信息;在观测技术上,要求开发各种工具,去除由于钻探造成的扰动,使得各种观测仪器能够进行长期的跟踪观测。     

“新经济地理学”与经济地理学的分异与对立

最近几年来,由于经济全球化的趋势,西方经济学家又开始对经济地理学产生兴趣。“新经济地理学”或“地理经济学”应运而生。首先介绍经济学家克鲁格曼的“新经济地理学”理论框架和方法,综述西方地理学家对所谓“新经济地理学”的评价,最后概述经济地理学最近的发展以及地理学家对新经济地理学理解。     

史料考证与找矿(之三)：铜矿

云南铜矿是历史上开发最早的地区之一,至今已知的大－中型矿区（除边远的羊拉、托顶之外）,历史上几乎都不同程度地被开采过。也有历史上曾采冶辉煌,但至今却没有铜矿产出,找铜工作者也不知道的“古老铜矿”,俞元（澄江）铜矿即是一例。研究、考证采铜史料,认为澄江铜矿、东川茂麓厂、寻甸铜矿、永平宁台厂等,应列为新世纪重新评价的找铜目标。     

测绘在新农村建设中存在的问题和对策

新农村建设也像城市一样，必须有测绘为其提供服务与保障。本文重点对测绘在新农村建设中存在的突出问题进行了深入分析，并就如何进一步推进新农村建设测绘工作提出了建议和对策。     

A comparative study of geothermal and meteorological records of climate change in Kamchatka

To reconstruct the recent climate history in Kamchatka, a series of repeated precise temperature logs were performed in a number of boreholes located in a broad east-west strip (between 52 and 54°N) in the central part of Kamchatka west of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatski. Within three years more than 30 temperature logs were performed in 10 holes (one up to six logs per hole) to the depth of up to 400 metres. Measured temperature gradients varied in a broad interval 0 to 60 mK/m and in some holes a sizeable variation in the subsurface temperatures due to advective heat transport by underground water was observed. Measured data were compared with older temperature profiles obtained in the early eighties by Sugrobov and Yanovsky (1993). Even when older data are of poorer precision (accuracy of about 0.1 K), they presented valuable information of the subsurface temperature conditions existing 20–25 years ago. Borehole observations and the inverted ground surface temperature histories (GSTHs) used for the paleoclimate reconstruction were complemented with a detailed survey of meteorological data. Namely, the long-term surface air temperature (SAT) and precipitation records from Petropavlovsk station (in operation since 1890) were used together with similar data from a number of local subsidiary meteo-stations operating in Central Kamchatka since 1950. Regardless of extreme complexity of the local meteorological/climate conditions, diversity of borehole sites and calibration of measuring devices used during the whole campaign, the results of the climate reconstruction supported a general warming of about 1 K characteristic for the 20th century, which followed an inexpressive cooler period typical for the most of the 19th century. In the last three to four decades the warming rate has been locally increasing up to 0.02 K/year. It was also shown that the snow cover played a dominant role in the penetration of the climate “signal” to depth and could considerably smooth down the subsurface response to the changes occurred on the surface.     

Regions between imposed structure and internally developed response. Experiences with twin track regionalisation in post-socialist eastern Germany

This paper investigates the dual nature of regionalisation between imposed institutionalised territoriality and self-made ‘ad hoc’ collaborative regional arrangements between localities. This involves, as the paper sets out to show, different, but concurrent imagineerings of ‘regions’ to two audiences - within and without a defined region. They are applied to the same territory, albeit with different images and sets of actors for internal (local) and external (national/international) consumption. These developments are examined within the context of the ‘new regionalism’ debate, in particular the notion of a replacement of ‘old’ through ‘new’ regionalism as a sequence. This duality of region making challenges the frequently somewhat simplistic presumption of regions forming as one complete entity, ‘out there’ to compete on a global market. They also have to fight for their recognition internally, but with different arguments, rationales and policies. This means that the possibility of overlapping single purpose ad hoc formed regions, as postulated under the new regionalism, needs to take into account the likelihood of several meanings of one and the same territory. The examples demonstrate that the two possibilities overlap - multi-territoriality and multi-meanings of (new) regionalism. The paper uses the example of post-unification eastern Germany, where in 1990 a completely new set of traditional regions was established, implementing a 1960s-derived western German model. Since this common starting point, strong economic, cultural and geographic differences have emerged, leading not only to policy adjustments, but also changes to the understanding of regionalisation and regional policy, and the actors involved.