Precipitation,dynamical intermittency,and sporadic randomness

While rainfall intermittency is a dynamical phenomenon, little progress has been made in the literature on the link between rainfall intermittency and atmospheric dynamics. We present the basic dynamical models of intermittency that are phenomenologically most similar to rainfall: Pomeau–Manneville Type-III and On–Off. We then illustrate each type with both a 1-D iterative map and a corresponding stochastic process stressing the appearance of these dynamics in high-dimensional (stochastic) systems as opposed to low-dimensional chaotic systems. We show that the pdf of rainfall intensities, the pdf of “laminar phases” (periods of zero rainfall intensity), and the spectrum of the rainfall series all have power-law behavior that is broadly consistent with intermittency in the classic types. Using a seasonal analysis, we find that summer convective rainfall at daily and sub-daily scales seems consistent with features of Type-III intermittency. The correspondence with Type-III intermittency and a preliminary entropic analysis further suggest that rainfall may be an example of sporadic randomness, blending deterministic and stochastic components.     

磁异常ΔT三维相关成像

本文将重力和重力梯度数据三维相关成像方法推广到磁力勘探领域,推导并建立了磁异常ΔT的三维相关成像方法,同时提出了基于熵滤波分离异常的三维相关成像算法来提高成像分辨率.组合模型磁异常ΔT数据和实际磁测资料试验分析表明,本文方法能成像出地下地质体的空间赋存状态和等效磁性分布,具有良好的横向和纵向分辨率.     

辽宁矿业城市经济系统应对能力分析及其脆弱性评价

矿业城市经济系统脆弱性是关于敏感性和应对能力的一组函数关系式,而其应对能力的影响因素很多,为了实现指标降维和客观赋值,借助主成分分析法和熵值法来简化运算;并构建脆弱性评估模型,以辽宁主要矿业城市为样本进行脆弱性评价。结果表明:(1)矿业城市经济系统脆弱性随其生命周期的推进而逐渐增大,侧面说明经济发展对资源具有高度的"路径依赖"及其产业结构的单一;(2)经济系统面对资源枯竭、国有企业改组改革扰动的敏感性对决定其脆弱性程度作用更为显著;(3)所选样本城市中,阜新市的脆弱度最高,鞍山最低,且在地域分布上呈现出辽东辽西的趋势。最后依据脆弱性特征将案例城市划分为3种类型。     

中国城市化对资源与环境影响的综合评价(英文)

This paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the urbanization level in China in terms of four aspects of urbanization connotation:population,economy,society,and land. A comprehensive measurement is carried out for the Chinese urbanization between 1981 and 2006 based on the Entropy method. The results show that the comprehensive level of urbanization in China has a continuous increase with the major features of economic growth and a rapid evolution of the geographical landscape,followed ...     

The role of hydrologic information in reservoir operation – Learning from historical releases

Closing the gap between theoretical reservoir operation and the real-world implementation remains a challenge in contemporary reservoir operations. Past research has focused on optimization algorithms and establishing optimal policies for reservoir operations. In this study, we attempt to understand operators’ release decisions by investigating historical release data from 79 reservoirs in California and the Great Plains, using a data-mining approach. The 79 reservoirs are classified by hydrological regions, intra-annual seasons, average annual precipitation (climate), ratio of maximum reservoir capacity to average annual inflow (size ratio), hydrologic uncertainty associated with inflows, and reservoirs’ main usage. We use information theory – specifically, mutual information – to measure the quality of inference between a set of classic indicators and observed releases at the monthly and weekly timescales. Several general trends are found to explain which sources of hydrologic information dictate reservoir release decisions under different conditions. Current inflow is the most important indicator during wet seasons, while previous releases are more relevant during dry seasons and in weekly data (as compared with monthly data). Inflow forecasting is the least important indicator in release decision making, but its importance increases linearly with hydrologic uncertainty and decreases logarithmically with reservoir size. No single hydrologic indicator is dominant across all reservoirs in either of the two regions.     

非平衡态大气热力学的研究

要挟了建立非平衡态大气热力学的必要怀和迫切性。并在考虑到大气系统是以湍涡为基本单元,具有气压梯度力,重力和Ｃｏｒｉｏｌｉｓ力的地球大气宏观体系的基础上,直接引入大气动力主程组,建立了非平衡态大气热力学的熵平衡方程。     

Conditional Entropy

In this paper we show that the Conditional Entropy of nearby orbits may be a useful tool to explore the phase space associated to a given Hamiltonian. The arc length parameter along the orbits, instead of the time, is used as a random variable to compute the entropy. In the first part of this work we summarise the main analytical results to support this tool while, in the second part, we present numerical evidence that this technique is able to localise (stable) periodic and quasiperiodic orbits, 'aperiodic' orbits (chaotic motion) and unstable periodic orbits (the 'source' of chaotic motion). Besides, we show that this technique provides a measure of chaos which is similar to that given by the largest Lyapunov Characteristic Number. It is important to remark that this method is very simple to compute and does not require long time integrations, just realistic physical times. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

熵的原理与地震活动研究

熵是多种学科的一个重要交叉点。熵的原理广泛适用于物理、化学、生物、医学、气象乃至社会经济等科学领域,并已取得了令人注目的成果。本文以熵的基本含意出发,简要地阐述了熵概念的扩展,包括热温熵、信息熵以及条件熵等。将地震孕育过程作为一个复杂的开放系统,基于耗散结构理论的基本思想,为定量描述地震活动时、空、强分布的有序度,引入地震活动熵作为序参量,并将其应用于大地震前后地震活动演变特征的研究。初步结果表明,随着临近大地震的发生,在一定范围内地震活动熵值减小,即地震活动分布状态从无序趋向有序。可以预期,把熵的原理引入地震研究领域必将加深人们对地震发生物理过程本质的认识。同时也将为探索地震预测提供新的思路和新的途径。     

山东大磨曲家矿区成矿元素多重分形特征

通过矩方法,以无序数据集中不同品位级次内的频率为测度,研究了胶东大磨曲家金矿矿体及玲珑花岗岩、胶东群等近矿围岩的Au、Ag、As等主要成矿元素分布的广义谱曲线(D_q-q)和多重谱曲线(f(α)-α)特征。在权重-0.2≤q≤1. 6时,结果显示矿体与近矿围岩中成矿元素品位分布的广义谱和多重谱特征存在明显的区别。矿体中三种成矿元素的广义谱曲线近似直线,而多重谱曲线的宽度较小,显示成矿元素品位级次密集,较为均匀,接近简单分形;近矿围岩中广义谱曲线弯曲明显,多重谱曲线的宽度较大,显示近矿围岩中元素品位级次范围较宽,相对不均匀。同时,矿体中多重谱曲线f(α)的极值所对应的α比近矿围岩中的小,代表最或然子集的品位增加,指示成矿元素在矿体中富集。多重分形分析显示矿体中的成矿元素较近矿围岩中变得更为富集而均匀。