面向预警的台风灾害预评估指标体系探讨

台风灾害预评估对防灾减灾具有重要意义,其指标体系的构建是一个理论性强的基础工作,目前尚无成熟的标准．对灾害预评估的概念从灾害预警的视角做出了进一步的界定;从灾害系统论出发,借鉴自然灾害风险评估与损失评估的指标体系及其评估方法,以台风灾害为研究对象,分析了现有预评估指标体系存在的问题,并提出了一个台风灾害预评估的指标体系,对该指标体系的适用性进行了讨论．     

Analysis of Spatial Mismatch of Tourism Development in Guangdong Province

The spatial mismatch situation of tourism development in Guangdong Province is analyzed by gravity model and two-dimensional matrix based on the spatial mismatch hypothesis, and the results are visualized using ArcGIS software. This study finds that varying degrees of spatial mismatch exist between the level of tourism development, abundance of tourism resources and accessibility of tourism locations in the 21 cities in Guangdong Province. The gravity centers for tourism economy, tourism resources and tourism location are (113.55° E, 23.00° N), (113.69° E, 23.21° N) and (113.74° E, 22.86° N), respectively. According to the two-dimensional combinatorial matrices, synchronous development is shown in 10 prefecture-level cities for the tourism revenue-resource abundance combination, whereas it is shown in seven prefecture-level cities for the tourism revenue-tourism location combination. Guangzhou and Shenzhen are synchronous-double high zones for both combinations, while Foshan, Qingyuan, Yangjiang, Zhongshan and Jieyang are deviating-negative mismatch zones for both combinations. Furthermore, the vast majority of prefecture-level cities within the province currently present mismatching trends in tourism development. Based on the analysis results, corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward taking into account the actual situation and opportunities for further tourism development in various prefecture-level cities.     

基于模糊识别的水资源承载能力综合评价

应用模糊识别模型解决水资源承载能力综合评价问题,根据水资源承载能力相关因子自身的数据结构特性,通过模糊识别模型得到样本的级别特征值,从而达到对待评价区域的识别、归类,同时可以得到各相关因子在评价过程中的贡献率,实例部分将模型应用于全国30个省市、自治区的水资源承载能力评价,结果表明该方法的实用性和客观性。     

山东金刚石资源分布规律与结晶学特性

山东是我国金刚石资源的重要产地,分析了成矿分布规律及结晶学特征。原生矿体产出于金伯利岩体中,具成带成群特点;次生矿赋存于粗碎屑沉积岩中及河流阶地的松散砂矿层中。金刚石由单晶平面晶体、溶解形态的曲面晶体、再生形态的带壳晶体等组成,以浅色为主,尤以盛产彩色金刚石为特色。     

Using radar direct wave for concrete condition assessment: Correlation with electrical resistivity

This paper demonstrates that the direct wave of a radar ground-coupled antenna may be used for the nondestructive assessment of the physical condition of concrete, which directly influences the corrosion of the reinforcing bars in the structure. The validity of this method was evaluated by a comparison with the electrical resistivity method, which is frequently used for the evaluation of corrosion probability. Both methods were implemented in the laboratory on 72 concrete samples (25 × 25 × 8 cm³) with various degrees of saturation and chloride contamination levels. On-site investigations were also carried out on the concrete slab (1080 m²) of a car-park.The results of the laboratory tests show that the radar direct signal is strongly affected by variations in concrete moisture and chloride contamination level. The tests performed in real conditions confirm the good correlation between radar direct wave attenuation and electrical resistivity and, thus, the aptitude of the radar direct wave to detect concrete conditions leading to reinforcement corrosion.     

论企业的激励机制

本文从激励的作用及激励机制建立的基本原则谈起,从物质激励要和精神激励相结合,多跑道、多层次激励机制的建立和实施,充分考虑员工的个体差异,实行差别激励的原则,企业家的行为是影响激励制度成败的一个重要因素等多方面的内容进行论述。     

生态足迹分析的资源产量法研究

提出以资源生产量作为生态足迹分析中生态容量计算依据的资源产量法。该方法更全面地考虑了林地、可耕地、水域等具有的多重生态生产性功能，扩大了生态容量的内涵，将可再生能源、可回收利用废物等作为生态容量的供给，使生态容量与生态足迹的计算依据更为协调。以湖北省襄樊市2001年的生态容量计算为实例，说明了资源产量法的合理性。     

On the use of Atterberg limits on marine soils

Abstract

On the basis of the Atterberg indexes of various sediments collected in the Mediterranean Sea, we select two major parameters indicative of the mechanical behavior of marine soils: the sedimentary facies (i.e., mechanism of deposition expressed by silt content) and the clay mineral association characterized by smectite content in the fraction finer than 2 μm. Activity and real thixotropic ability appear to be particularly important parameters in marine engineering; better values are obtained by a double test operation in distilled and marine water.     

Geodynamic constraints on orebody localization in the Anqing orefield, China: Computational modeling and facilitating predictive exploration of deep deposits

The Anqing Fe–Cu skarn deposit, with an age of 134 to 142 Ma and resources of 62.4 Mt at 0.906% Cu and 32.2% Fe, is one of the most important deposits in the Yangtze River Metallogenic Belt, East China. To better understand the localization of orebodies and thus facilitate predictive exploration of deep orebodies, computational modeling is used to simulate the coupled geodynamic processes during the syn-tectonic cooling of the ore-related intrusion, based on geological and geophysical investigations in the Anqing orefield.The occurrences of the ore veins and veinlets in diorite and skarn, as well as the sharp zigzag boundary of the orebody, indicate that the Cu ores were deposited after the solidification of the diorite and skarn formation, and were located in some tensional structural spaces that are unevenly distributed along the contact zone between the felsic intrusion and sedimentary carbonates. The locations of orebodies are closely associated with the contact zone shape. The computational results of two models with two typical contact-shapes show that pore fluid flow was focused into the dilation zones from different sources. All the significant dilation zones, in which the existing orebodies were located, are distributed in some specific places of the south contact zone of the intrusion. In addition, these dilation zones are closely related to the contact zone shape of the intrusion and can control the location of orebodies through the coupled mechano-thermo-hydrological processes during cooling of the intrusion in the extension setting. The skarns are not critical for controlling the localization of orebodies. This means that exploration for deep ore should target deep dilation zones close to the contact boundary of the intrusion. Such recognition may provide a useful guide in selecting exploration targets in the Anqing orefield. As a direct result of computational modeling, an orebody has been discovered in the deep dilation zone in this orefield. It demonstrates that computational modeling is a promising tool for understanding the metallogenic processes and for facilitating the deep exploration of hidden orebodies that are related to intrusions.     

温度变化对南京城市电力负荷的影响

应用计量经济学中格兰杰因果关系检验方法,分析了温度变化对中国南京城市用电量和电力负荷的影响,认为南京日平均温度与日最大电力负荷、日用电量之间存在着较显著的相关性.气温变化对日最大电力负荷和日用电量具有不同的季节性和周期性影响,气温对用电量的短期影响最显著,对电力负荷的影响更具明显的季节性特征.通过不同月份电力负荷对气温变化敏感性的分析,进一步揭示了南京市气温变化与电力消费之间的季节变动特征,有利于气象与能源部门共同应对未来气候变化带来的城市能源问题.