长江中下游地区冬季极端降水事件与天气尺度瞬变波活动的可能联系

利用ERA40、NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料和长江中下游地区85站逐日降水资料,从大气内部天气尺度瞬变波的角度对长江中下游地区极端降水事件进行了成因分析。研究发现瞬变波活动与极端降水的发生关系密切;冬季在两支急流并存的欧亚大陆上空存在南北两支瞬变波活跃带。南支瞬变波在冬季极端降水频发、少发年存在较明显的差异。总体而言,极端降水频发年,瞬变波活动活跃,欧亚大陆上空的瞬变波持续时间长、传播连续、强度偏强;极端降水少发年,则反之。从逐日变化来看,南支瞬变波的强度和能量传播过程与极端降水的发生频次均具有一定的对应关系。北支瞬变波的传播及瞬变波对水汽的输送和极端降水的发生也有一定促进作 用。这些结果均表明,冬季极端降水的发生与天气尺度瞬变波的活动联系紧密,天气尺度瞬变波的异常活动及传播可能是极端降水发生的重要条件,研究可为极端降水的成因研究提供新的思路。     

东北冷涡气候研究进展及展望

本文主要从东北冷涡气候研究角度,回顾和总结了东北冷涡在定义、主客观识别方法、气候特征、分类研究、影响因子、气候效应等方面的研究进展,并探讨了东北冷涡研究现状中存在的问题及未来可能的研究方向和发展趋势。识别与量化是东北冷涡气候研究的基础,客观识别结果的对比分析及其技术的完善是未来冷涡识别研究的重点。今后有针对性地开展不同类别东北冷涡的气候特征、异常成因及气候影响等,深入探究东北冷涡与影响因子相互作用的物理机制,科学客观的定量化预测,可为东北区域气候异常成因诊断和预测提供更精细、准确的科学依据。     

Toward Understanding the Extreme Floods over Yangtze River Valley in June?July 2020: Role of Tropical Oceans※

The extreme floods in the Middle/Lower Yangtze River Valley (MLYRV) during June?July 2020 caused more than 170 billion Chinese Yuan direct economic losses. Here, we examine the key features related to this extreme event and explore relative contributions of SST anomalies in different tropical oceans. Our results reveal that the extreme floods over the MLYRV were tightly related to a strong anomalous anticyclone persisting over the western North Pacific, which brought tropical warm moisture northward that converged over the MLYRV. In addition, despite the absence of a strong El Ni?o in 2019/2020 winter, the mean SST anomaly in the tropical Indian Ocean during June?July 2020 reached its highest value over the last 40 years, and 43％ (57％) of it is attributed to the multi-decadal warming trend (interannual variability). Based on the NUIST CFS1.0 model that successfully predicted the wet conditions over the MLYRV in summer 2020 initiated from 1 March 2020 (albeit the magnitude of the predicted precipitation was only about one-seventh of the observed), sensitivity experiment results suggest that the warm SST condition in the Indian Ocean played a dominant role in generating the extreme floods, compared to the contributions of SST anomalies in the Maritime Continent, central and eastern equatorial Pacific, and North Atlantic. Furthermore, both the multi-decadal warming trend and the interannual variability of the Indian Ocean SSTs had positive impacts on the extreme floods. Our results imply that the strong multi-decadal warming trend in the Indian Ocean needs to be taken into consideration for the prediction/projection of summer extreme floods over the MLYRV in the future.     

中更新世气候转型与100ka周期研究

中更新世气候转型是第四纪气候变化中最重要的特征之一，它是指全球气候的主导周期在中更新世时从41ka转变为100ka，且气候波动的幅度也加大。经典的Milankovitch假说不能完全解释中更新世气候转型的原因以及100ka周期在气候记录中的强烈表现，因为太阳辐射与气候记录之间存在着相当的差异，尤其是二者在变化幅度上不匹配。近年来围绕这一转型过程的时代和原因获得了一些新的进展，主要是针对中更新世气候转型的时间、对气候记录中100ka周期的重新检讨以及非太阳辐射因素在这一转型过程中所起的作用。其它可能的转型原因包括大冰盖、温室气体、地球轨道面倾角、冰盖基底、构造隆升等。     

地球的挥发分循环与宜居环境演变SCIEI北大核心CSCD

地球宜居环境的形成和演变与挥发分循环密切相关。宜居性受地球表层系统中挥发分组成和变化的直接影响,但其本质上受控于地球深部系统的挥发分释放和循环过程。本文简要介绍了地球挥发分的起源、大气圈和海洋的形成与演化、深部挥发分释放及对气候环境的影响、俯冲带挥发分循环等几个方面的研究概况。期望本文能使读者更好的理解本专辑稿件的内容,激发起同行对挥发分研究的兴趣,促进我国挥发分相关研究的发展。     

东亚中高纬土壤温度资料评估与分析

本文以一套俄罗斯土壤温度历史观测资料RHSTD为基础,分析了四套土壤温度产品[ERA-Interim再分析资料、两套陆面模式离线运行产品ERA-Interim/Land（简称ERA-Land）和MERRA-Land、以及一套二十世纪再分析资料NOAA-CIRES 20CR]在东亚中高纬的可靠性,并重点关注春夏季,主要结论如下:观测地温在0~2 m波动较大,随季节在0℃上下摆动,而2 m以下地温稳定少变,并且在60°N以北地区出现永久冻结。四套地温产品较好地反映了这些特征。无论春夏,还是年平均,四套地温产品气候态都呈“南暖北冷”的特征,但ERA-Land的空间分布与观测最接近。就季节循环而言,ERA-Land最能反映该地区土壤的冻融过程和土壤温度的季节演变。四套地温产品年际变率（标准差）与观测的差异随季节和土壤层变化大,情况比较复杂。就年际变化趋势而言,四套地温产品与观测的相关性,夏季好于春季,表层好于深层,并且ERA-Land土壤温度拥有四套地温产品最多的共性,最能反映观测地温的年际变化。     

广东干湿气候的特征

提出一种月、季干湿气候指数，并用于广东各地干湿气候的分析，结果表明，广东以４－９月为湿季，１０月到翌年１月为干季，２－３月为干转湿的过渡期，干季短而湿季长，干湿季节的互换呈纬向自北向南推南，３－４月呈北湿南干，９月呈北干南湿，干湿季的转换时间与自然季节的转换基本相符。     

北太平洋海温的气候跃度及其对中国汛期降水的影响

应用滑动Ｔ检验方法对北太平洋海温１０年际的气候跃变进行了研究，指出在７０年代末至８０年代初确实存在着一次明显的气候跃变，而跃变前后北太产洋海温结构，厄尔尼诺事件的发展过程都明显不同，进而讨论了北太平洋海温跃变前后对我国６－８月汛期降水量的影响，指出海温跃变前我国汛期降水量在东北地区偏少，华北偏多，长江流域偏水，华南偏多，而跃变后则相反。     

Petrogenetic implications and geochronology of middle Miocene Tannayama igneous rocks,Goto Islands,Japan Sea southern margin,northwestern Kyushu,Japan

The subduction of “hot” Shikoku Basin and the mantle upwelling related to the Japan Sea opening have induced extensive magmatism during the middle Miocene on both the back-arc and island-arc sides of southwest Japan. The Goto Islands are located on the back-arc side of northwestern Kyushu, and middle Miocene granitic rocks and associated volcanic, hypabyssal, and gabbroic rocks are exposed. The igneous rocks at Tannayama on Nakadori-jima in the Goto Islands consist of gabbronorite, granite, granite porphyry, diorite porphyry, andesite, and rhyolite. We performed detailed geological mapping at a 1:10 000 scale, as well as petrographical and geochemical analyses. We also determined the zircon U–Pb age dating of the igneous rocks from Tannayama together with a granitic rock in Yagatamesaki. The zircon U–Pb ages of the Tannayama igneous rocks show the crystallization ages of 14.7 Ma ± 0.3 Ma (gabbronorite), 15.9 Ma ± 0.5 Ma (granite), 15.4 Ma ± 0.9 Ma (granite porphyry), and 15.1 Ma ± 2.1 Ma (rhyolite). Zircons from the Yagatamesaki granitic rock yield 14.5 Ma ± 0.7 Ma. Considering field relationships, new zircon data indicate that the Tannayama granite formed at ~16–15 Ma, and the gabbronorite, granite porphyry, diorite porphyry, andesite, and subsequently rhyolite formed at 15–14 Ma, which overlaps a plutonic activity of the Yagatamesaki. The geochemical characteristics of the Tannayama igneous rocks are similar to those of the tholeiitic basalts and dacites of Hirado, and the granitic rocks of Tsushima in northwestern Kyushu. This suggests that the Tannayama igneous rocks can be correlated petrogenetically with the igneous rocks in those areas, with all of them generated by the upwelling of hot mantle diapirs during crustal thinning in an extensional environment during the middle Miocene.