加权人口密度连续分布模拟模型

人口分布是人文科学的重要研究对象。如何在数据不足的情况下获得较为符合实际的人口分布数据是业界的一大难题。为了解决这个问题,本文依照人口分布的规律,以人口统计数据、高程、海岸线、城市中心、河流和行政区划为影响因子,通过距离计算、重分类、加权计算等方法,建立了加权人口密度连续分布模拟模型,并进行了改进。基于2011年的福建省县级人口统计数据,本文在ArcGIS平台上模拟了该省的人口密度空间分布,模拟结果表明：各县人口总数误差与平均人口误差在40%以下的百分比分别为89%与84%,突出了福建省在城市中心、沿海、沿江,以及平原地区的人口聚集规律;各个县级行政区域内的数据集中,相对独立;县与县之间的区分边界数据又相互联系,变化连续,符合人口分布的实际情况。该模型相比于其他的人口模型易于理解,结构简单,可应用于各省的人口密度分布模拟,能有效地解决人口数据不足的问题。     

Mathematical modeling of colloid and virus cotransport in porous media: Application to experimental data

A conceptual mathematical model was developed to describe the simultaneous transport (cotransport) of viruses and colloids in three-dimensional, water saturated, homogeneous porous media with uniform flow. The model accounts for the migration of individual virus and colloid particles as well as viruses attached onto colloids. Viruses can be suspended in the aqueous phase, attached onto suspended colloids and the solid matrix, and attached onto colloids previously attached on the solid matrix. Colloids can be suspended in the aqueous phase or attached on the solid matrix. Viruses in all four phases (suspended in the aqueous phase, attached onto suspended colloid particles, attached on the solid matrix, and attached onto colloids previously attached on the solid matrix) may undergo inactivation with different inactivation coefficients. The governing coupled partial differential equations were solved numerically using finite difference methods, which were implemented explicitly or implicitly so that both stability and speed factors were satisfied. Furthermore, the experimental data collected by Syngouna and Chrysikopoulos [1] were satisfactorily fitted by the newly developed cotransport model.     

Investigation of pressure variations over stepped spillways using smooth particle hydrodynamics

In this paper the smoothed particle hydrodynamics, (SPH), technique is used to investigate the pressure distribution on steps located in the non-aerated flow region of a stepped spillway for different discharges typical of skimming flow conditions. The open source code 2D SPHysics has been employed after being validated against the laboratory model studies of flow over broad crested weirs and flow over stepped spillways. The numerical results, in terms of the water surface and velocity profiles at different sections, are in good agreement with the corresponding experimental results. The code is then applied to determine the pressure distribution on the vertical and horizontal step faces. Also, the aspects of the pressure pattern are described and the positions/magnitudes of the maximum and minimum pressure values are presented.     

Power law statistics of cliff failures,scaling and percolation

Large cliff failures have often been characterized by their size in terms of the horizontal eroded area at the cliff top, and the maximum local retreat of the coastline. Field studies suggest that the frequencies of these two quantities decrease as power laws of their respective magnitudes, defining two different decay exponents. Moreover, the horizontal area increases as a power law of the maximum local retreat, identifying a third exponent. This observation indicates that the geometry of cliff failures are similar for different magnitudes. It is shown that, under a ‘scaling hypothesis’, the exponents satisfy a precise mathematical relation that relates the exponent of the distributions of magnitudes of events and their geometry – a relation that could be useful to validate the analysis of field catalogs. In order to understand the observed scenario, a numerical model of rocky coast erosion is developed. Despite its minimal character, it reproduces the observed cliff failure statistics. Strikingly, the model precisely reproduces the geometric similarity of cliff failures observed in the field. These results suggest that the theory of percolation, which underlies the erosion model, can possibly be used as a guide to decipher the physics of rocky coast erosion and could provide precise predictions of the statistics of cliff collapses. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Alluvial floodplain classification by multivariate clustering and discriminant analysis for low‐relief glacially conditioned river catchments

River classifications provide useful frameworks to understand complex fluvial landscapes and to manage freshwater ecosystems. Alluvial floodplains for rivers in low‐relief glacially conditioned catchments of southern Ontario (Canada) are classified and tested using a sequence of multivariate statistical analyses. An original dataset of 109 floodplain sites is investigated using k‐means clustering, principal component analysis, and discriminant analysis statistical approaches. Four primary floodplain types are proposed representing basic morphological, stratigraphical, and sedimentological characteristics. Classifications are successfully discriminated by two principal dimensions: (1) stream power‐resistance; and (2) floodplain sedimentology. The latter is most efficiently represented by the availability of alluvial sand, and specifically a new variable defined as floodplain sand equivalent (FSE). Floodplain types are generally consistent with previous river classifications, however the glacial legacy requires refined classifications which account for inherited cobble bed materials and patterns of sand supply. Representing the residual variability of stream power‐resistance correlations, a third explanatory dimension of sediment transport is suggested, and may explain some within‐class variability in channel morphology. Balancing the opposing concepts of fluvial process domains and landform continuums, the potential for transitional floodplain types is also explored. The proposed first‐order alluvial floodplain classifications provide a basis from which to further investigate geomorphological diversity within the context of complex glacial legacy effects in low‐relief settings. Future research to reveal the spatial arrangement and linkages of distinct morphological groups within a regional landscape mosaic is expected to provide insights into patterns of post‐glacial fluvial adjustment. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Edge‐on disk galaxies in the SDSS DR6: Fractions of bulgeless and other disk galaxies

The aim of this study is to determine the fractions of different spiral galaxy types, especially bulgeless disks, from a complete and homogeneous sample of 15 127 edge‐on disk galaxies extracted from the sixth data release from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey. The sample is divided in broad morphological classes and sub types consisting of galaxies with bulges, intermediate types and galaxies which appear bulgeless. A small fraction of disky irregulars is also detected. The morphological separation is based on automated classification criteria which resemble the bulge sizes and the flatness of the disks. Each of these broad classes contains about 1/3 of the total sample. Using strict criteria for selecting pure bulgeless galaxies leads to a fraction of 15% of simple disk galaxies. We compare this fraction to other galaxy catalogs and find an excellent agreement of the observed frequency of bulgeless galaxies. Although the fraction of simple disk galaxies in this study does not represent a “cosmic” fraction of bulgeless galaxies, it shows that the relative abundance of pure disks is comparable to other studies and offers a profound value of the frequency of simple disks in the local Universe. This fraction of simple disks emphasizes the challenge for formation and evolution models of disk galaxies since these models are hard pressed to explain the observed frequency of these objects (© 2009 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Systematic Time Delay of Hemispheric Solar Activity

Five solar-activity indices – the monthly-mean sunspot numbers from January 1945 to March 2008, the monthly-mean sunspot areas during the period of May 1874 to March 2008, the monthly numbers of sunspot groups from May 1874 to May 2008, the monthly-mean flare indices from January 1966 to December 2006, and the numbers of solar filaments per Carrington rotation in the time interval of solar rotations 876 to 1823 – have been used to show a systematic time delay between northern and southern hemispheric solar activities in a cycle. It is found that solar activity does not occur synchronously in the northern and southern hemispheres, and there is a systematic time lag or lead (phase shift) between northern and southern hemispheric solar activity in a cycle. About an eight-cycle period is inferred to exist in such phase shifts. The activity on the Sun may be governed by two different and coupled processes, not by a single process.     

The Long-term Behavior of the North – South Asymmetry of Sunspot Activity

A new index, the cumulative difference of sunspot activity in the northern and southern hemispheres, respectively, is proposed to describe the long-term behavior of the North – South asymmetry of sunspot activity and to show the balance (or bias) of sunspot activity in the two solar hemispheres on a long-term scale. Sunspot groups and sunspot areas from June 1874 to January 2007 are used to show the advantage of the index. The index clearly shows a long-term characteristic time scale of about 12 cycles in the North – South asymmetry of sunspot activity. Sunspot activity is found to dominate in the southern hemisphere in cycle 23, and in cycle 24 it is predicted to dominate still in the southern hemisphere. A comparison of the new index with other similar indexes is also given.     

Bulge–disc decompositions and structural bimodality of Ursa Major cluster spiral galaxies

We present bulge and disc (B/D) decompositions of existing   K '  surface brightness profiles for 65 Ursa Major (UMa) cluster spiral galaxies. This improves upon the disc-only fits of Tully et al. The 1996 disc fits were used by Tully & Verheijen for their discovery of the bimodality of structural parameters in the UMa cluster galaxies. It is shown that our new one-dimensional B/D decompositions yield disc structural parameters that differ only slightly from the basic fits of Tully et al. and evidence for structural bimodality of UMa galaxies is maintained. Our B/D software for the decomposition of one-dimensional surface brightness profiles of galaxies uses a non-linear minimization scheme to recover the best-fitting Sérsic bulge and the exponential disc while accounting for the possible presence of a compact nucleus and spiral arms and for the effects of seeing and disc truncations. In agreement with Tully & Verheijen, we find that the distribution of near-infrared disc central surface brightnesses is bimodal with an F-test confidence of 80 per cent. There is also strong evidence for a local minimum in the luminosity function at     . A connection between the brightness bimodality and a dynamical bimodality, based on new H  i linewidths, is identified. The B/D parameters are presented in Table 1 .  

  Table 1.  B/D parameters.     

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