首都圈及山西断陷带北部地壳垂直形变与地震危险性分析

根据首都圈地区及山西断陷带精密水准复测资料,分析了近十年来地壳垂直形变状态与特征。结果表明,研究区的东北区域表现为整体下降,下降速率约2～4mm／a;但“北升南降”的运动格局基本没有改变。太行山以西至山西断陷带的东侧地区为整体隆升。隆升速率最大近8mm／a。运动的时空分布从“南快北慢”整体上升的特征,逐步转变为“北升南降”的有升有降的特征。西区上述运动性质发生变化是以2001年为分界线,同时在延怀盆地及其附近区域形成了四象限分布的形变图像。但这一图像从规模和量级上都小于大同地震前的变形。山西断陷带北部的运动表现为断陷型的垂直运动,整体呈下降趋势,运动速率为4～6mm／a。上述特征表明监测区未来2～3年内发生6级以上地震的可能性不大。     

云南4个地震序列Q_c~(-1)值变化特征对比研究

对云南地区4个地震序列,分别为2000年姚安6.5级地震、2001年施甸5级震群、2001年永胜6.0级地震和2003年大姚6.2、6.1级震群,利用垂直向数字地震尾波分别计算地震序列周边台站3个频率段的Qc-1值,分析对比其时间演化趋势。发现对于主-余震型序列,主震后Qc-1值整体上变化幅度不大,趋于稳定。而对于震群(或双震)型序列,在第一个主震后,Qc-1值表现出上升-下降趋势,持续一段时间后强震发生。这些变化在序列周围的台站和三个频率段的变化整体趋势是一致的,但变化幅度不一致,可能与孕震区的位置和孕震应力的演变过程有关。上述研究为强余震的预报提供一个新的方法。     

Assessment of economic development for Three Gorges Reservior Area

ＡＳＳＥＳＳＭＥＮＴＯＦＥＣＯＮＯＭＩＣＤＥＶＥＬＯＰＭＥＮＴＦＯＲＴＨＲＥＥＧＯＲＧＥＳＲＥＳＥＲＶＩＯＲＡＲＥＡ①ＣｈｅｎＧｕｏｊｉｅ（陈国阶）ＣｈｅｎｇｄｕＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＭｏｕｎｔａｉｎＨａｚａｒｄｓ＆Ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔ,ｔｈｅＣｈ...     

江苏下扬子区中—古生界的成藏条件及勘探思路

江苏下扬子区的海相中－古生界构造演化经历了前扬子板块、稳定地台和西太平洋活动陆缘等三大阶段。油气地质条件具有多套烃源岩、两类主要储层、四套区域盖层、多种成藏类型和多期成烃等特征。原始生烃量以下古生界为主,下寒武统和下志留统的生烃量约占总生烃量的６０％￣８０％。该领域的勘探应本着“整体评价、区域展开、重点突破”的原则,做到“六个结合”和“五个转变”,加快勘探节奏,重在发现,坚持以下古生界为主,大中型     

CHINA’S FOUR MAJOR METEOROLOGICAL SCIENTIFIC EXPERIMENTS

China lies in East-Asian monsoon region,which is one of the well-known active monsoon zones around the world.Monsoon anomaly results in frequent natural disasters,such as drought,torrential rain and flood.In 1998,joint intensified observations for 4 major meteorological scientific experiments have been carried out over Chinese major monsoon affected areas.A number of valuable data have been obtained and some observational facts have come out after initial analysis.The present paper is to give an introduction to the 4 major meteorological scientific experiments conducted in 1998 in China.including its origin and scientific goals,implementation and planning,equipment and progress,and initial findings from the important observational facts.It aims to provide a comprehensive report on the progress of the above experiments for those who are interested in.     

新疆天山北坡一次区域性暴雪形成机制及水汽输送特征分析

利用高空、地面常规观测资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料，诊断分析了2017年2月新疆天山北坡一次区域性暴雪过程的特征及成因，结合GDAS再分析资料并采用HYSPLIT模式，模拟追踪水汽源地、主要水汽输送通道及其对水汽输送的贡献。结果表明：此次天山北坡暴雪是在典型后倾结构的高低空系统配置下产生的，中、高纬地区短波槽在东移过程中同位相叠加，为暴雪长时间维持提供了稳定的天气尺度背景；暴雪发生时位势不稳定性加强，中低层持续冷垫抬升是主要的动力机制，较强垂直风切变是降雪强度较大的重要原因，高低空急流耦合激发中尺度垂直上升支和次级环流圈，地形作用对暴雪有增幅作用；暴雪主要水汽源地位于阿拉伯半岛西侧的红海和伊朗高原西南侧的波斯湾至阿拉伯海北部一带，水汽通道主要集中在500～850 hPa，水汽辐合区位于700～850 hPa，中高层有偏西气流、中层有西南气流、低层有西北急流将水汽接力输送至暴雪区；利用HYSPLIT模式模拟发现，暴雪期间，西、东、南边界水汽输入均起重要作用，主要水汽输送通道分别为偏西路径、偏西南路径、局地水汽路径，1500 m高度的追踪，三者贡献率大致相当，3000 m高度，局地水汽和偏西路径水汽贡献率更大。     

贵州织金地区稀土磷块岩矿床中稀土元素赋存状态

以稀土磷块岩矿床为研究对象,采用电感耦合等离子体光谱法和质谱法研究了3个代表性样品的基本化学组成,分析了40多个元素的含量,确定了矿物质量分数和赋存状态,研究了稀土元素在其中的分布特征。结果表明,97%以上的稀土元素呈类质同象状态部分置换磷灰石晶格中的Ca2 存在,只有小于3%的稀土元素呈被粘土质等吸附状态或离子交换(吸附)状态存在。     

Expanding coastal urban and industrial seascape in the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area: Critical need for coordinated planning and policy

Coastal freshwater and tidal wetland habitats are being transformed as a result of increasing demand for commercial, residential and tourism activities. The consequence is a habitat seascape complex, comprising a mosaic of natural and engineered coastal features. This study used the freely available mapping tool (Google Earth) to define the extent of coastal engineering structures in the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area (GBR; Australia), a marine ecosystem of global biodiversity and cultural significance. Continuing threats to the heritage estate concomitant with expanding urban and industrial developments has raised concerns directed at the future conservation and resilience of the reef ecosystems, along with maintaining expected human lifestyles and livelihoods it provides. The data here shows that break walls and pontoons/jetties dominate development, contributing to approximately 10% (equivalent) of the coastline linear length. Most (60%) development occurs along the coastline or within the first few kilometres upstream along estuaries. While conservation and protection of natural coastal habitats is still preferred for the objective of fisheries production and biodiversity, managers must consider seascape implication/benefits more broadly when approving new marine infrastructure rather than a case-by-case approach which further contributes to an ad hoc mosaic seascape of natural and engineered habitats. Not only within the GBR heritage estate, but more broadly, coastal managers need to regard wider seascape connectivity processes during the assessment of any new development. There is an urgent need for policy and planning instrument reform that is inclusive of accumulative impacts of urban and industrial development in this heritage estate. Opportunities to include eco-friendly (green engineering) solutions, in the repair and revitalisation of existing artificial structures, is necessary in any new proposed urban and industrial development and expansion.     

基于图像技术的胶州湾浮游动物优势种体型参数与生物量转换关系研究

利用ZooScan图像扫描技术,建立胶州湾浮游动物优势种中华哲水蚤和强壮箭虫体长、面积和体积与干重之间的回归关系.比较了不同季节、不同参数之间的差异.结果表明,不同月份的回归关系之间无显著差异,在三个体型参数中,面积拟合生物量的程度最好,是利用图像方法估算生物量最佳参数.中华哲水蚤和强壮箭虫体型-生物量转换关系可以分别表示为:lgDW=1.611gA+ 1.69,lgDW=1.541gA+l.32.     

云南大瑞铁路大保段地质灾害特征与诱发因素

大瑞铁路大保段位于云贵高原西部边缘,著名的横断山脉南段,地势错综复杂。主要地质灾害崩塌、滑坡、泥石流,地质灾害的形成的本质因素是地形地貌、地层岩性、地质构造等;外部因素包括大气降水、植被破坏及人类工程活动等方面。