Simulation-optimization approach to assess groundwater availability in Refugio County, TX

Sustainable management of groundwater resources is critical for viable development of semi-arid regions. Refugio County, TX, is predominantly a rural community that is in close proximity to two large urban areas of Corpus Christi and San Antonio. Large-scale water supply projects are being planned to export surplus water available in Refugio County to nearby growing cities. Being a coastal county with several sensitive bays and estuaries, these projects have caused concerns with regard to decreases in freshwater inflows to coastal bodies and raised the possibility of saltwater intrusion. A simulation model characterizing groundwater flow in the shallower unconfined and the deeper semi-confined formations of the Gulf coast aquifer was calibrated and evaluated. The model results were used in conjunction with a mathematical programming scheme to estimate maximum available groundwater in the county. Stakeholder concerns were incorporated as constraints, which included prevention of saltwater intrusion in the aquifer, limiting the amount of allowable drawdown in shallow aquifers, as well as maintaining current flow gradients especially near baseflow-dependent streams and rivers. For the conditions assumed in this study, the model results indicate that roughly 4.93 × 10⁷ m³ of water can be extracted in a typical year. The management model was noted to be very sensitive to the imposed saltwater intrusion constraint.     

基于线弹性位错模型反演1997年西藏玛尼Mw7.5级地震的干涉雷达同震形变场——Ⅱ滑动分布反演

1997年11月8日西藏M_w7.5级玛尼地震是干涉雷达技术应用于地震观测以来的一次重要事件.在第一部分中，我们应用广泛使用的Okada线弹性位错模型，假设断层的各个分段滑动量均匀，反演得到断层各个分段的几何参数和均匀滑动量.本部分的反演进一步去除滑动均匀假设，并利用更能反映断层真实状态的角形元位错模型（线弹性），在第一部分反演得到断层几何的基础上，反演断层面的静态位错分布.反演结果表明，线弹性滑动分布模型能够更好地解释观测数据，进一步提高反演的数据拟合程度.最终得到了断层面上的走滑和倾滑位错分布.首次得到的断层面滑动分布显示断层面滑动在浅部（0～12 km）比较集中，地震破裂长度约170 km，最大左旋走滑位移达4.8 m；反演结果还表明局部段落存在较大倾滑位移，量值达到1.9 m，这在断层模型中是不能忽略的，它可能是断层两侧形变不对称的原因之一；反演得到的标量地震矩为2.18×10²⁰ N·m，相当于矩震级M_w7.5，与Velasco等利用地震波形反演得到的结果一致.     

水资源优化利用中两类数学模型间的分析比较

近期全球气候变化及人类经济活动规模的扩大，对人类赖以生存的自然环境造成很大影响，其中维持生态平衡的主导因子之一──水资源时空分布的变化，引起了人们极大的关注。尤其是干旱地区水资源表现出的稀缺性，已严重影响到人们将来的生存和经济发展问题。针对这种情况，人们在开发和利用水资源的过程中，建立了各种模型，以期对水资源进行精确的定量化研究，达到对水资源优化利用和管理的目的。通过比较“连续寻优的优化模型”和“离散方案的多目标密切值模型”，分析其各自的原理和规化思想，对其各自的预测功能进行了讨论，进而说明了两类模型的应用范围。提出将两类模型加以综合，然后应用于同一研究地区、以期得到更为优良的结果，为研究地区的经济发展提供可靠的决策依据。     

Arnol'd Nonlinear Stability Theorems and their Application to the Atmosphere and Oceans

Within the context of atmospheric and oceanic fluid dynamicsthe problems of nonlinear stability and instability, particularlythe Arnol'd second type nonlinear stability, are surveyed.The stability criteria obtained by means of the energy-Casimirand energy-Lagrange methods are presented for a varietyof models, the estimates for various generalized perturbationenergy and enstrophy are given. Potential applications of thesecriteria are shown in the estimation of bounds on the perturbationenergy and enstrophy, in the diagnostic study of the persistence orbreakdown of jet flows in the middle and high latitudes, and in theverification of the validity of the tangent linear model in bothatmospheric dynamics and oceanography.Some further research results are also highlighted.     

简单海气耦合的线性和非线性Rossby波

采用忽略Ｒｅｙｌｅｉｇｈ摩擦和Ｎｏｗｔｏｎ冷却的定常，线性大气模式和地转动量近似下的非线性海洋模式。这里包含了大气通过线性风应力影响海洋，海洋通过加热过程影响大气的物理机制。用相平面理论讨论了海气耦合作用对简单耦合线Ｒｏｓｓｂｙ波和非线性Ｒｏｓｓｂｙ波的影响。     

数字化线性地图要素的综合

本文从制图线理论出发,侧重讨论了数字化线性地图要素(链)的综合方法,并编写了与之相应的计算机自动综合程序,以用于机助制图。     

宏观地震忽略吸收确定震源深度问题的通解及其精确度

分析G-R-闵公式后得出,它是从点源幅射场导出的,与地震宏观场不相应。因在近场震源不能视作点源。在分析过程中,导出相当于点源、线源或面源以及复杂源的幅射场的深度公式。对实际的地震,它的源类型一无所知,所以不预作假定,将源指标几何扩散率n作为待定参数,导出了一个物理意义明确而又普遍化的震源深度公式。此公式的诸解法中,以计算方法准确、精度高,作图法有直观的优点,但准确性差、精度低,图算法只作获取粗略值和考察数据均匀性用。计算了9个8级以上巨震、1个71/2大震,和两个M_L=3的有感地震的震源深度,经对比结果很好,利用计算得出震源类型,结合宏观场研究了这些地震的震源几何学。并且首次在国际上给出宏观地震震源深度值的标准误差。     

Application of the Linear Prediction filters in equatorial electrojet studies

Wiener filters are derived from the horizontal field data of two adjacent equatorial electrojet stations, Adis Ababa and Trivandrum from several sequences of quiet days. The time invariant property of the filter is established and the filter is applied to conditions marked by afternoon counter electrojet events. The prediction efficiency is shown to be consistently high. Possible uses of this technique in studies related to generating mechanisms of counter electrojet events and the day-to-day variability in electrojet currents are indicated. Inter-relationships and day-to-day variability of different components of the fields at the two stations are highlighted.