南海热带气旋数值预报模式与全球谱模式的嵌套试验

分析了各嵌套变量的作用和效果，发现采用部分变量嵌套就能取得一定效果，各变量的作用也不完全相同。这样，可以选取作用大，质量好，易处理的变量进行嵌套。并相应地提出了一个边界嵌套处理方案，应用于南海带热带气旋数值预报有限区模式（ＴＬ１０）与全球谐模式（Ｔ６３）的嵌套过程，通过数值预报试验，表明采用该嵌套处理方案能够取得良好的效果。     

塔北油区岩石声发射全过程曲线类型及特征

本文讨论了岩石试样在加载全过程中的声发射特征、不同岩石声发射全过程曲线的分类以及类型的确定方法;对新疆塔里木盆地北部油区井下和地表试样进行了统计、分类,确定出该油区泥岩、砂岩声发射全过程曲线存在Ⅰ、Ⅲ两种类型;白云岩、灰岩、玄武岩声发射全过程曲线具有Ⅰ型特征。      

Corona processes and lightning attachment: The effect of wind during thunderstorms

A simple model of a glow corona occurring near the tip of a grounded electrode in a thundercloud electric field that can be enhanced by an approaching downward leader has been studied analytically and numerically with regard to the effect of wind. We obtained an approximate expression for corona current taking into account the (i) removal of space charge from the coronating point due to ion drift and wind and (ii) image of the charge in the ground. As the wind velocity decreases to zero, the expression tends to that obtained previously in the absence of wind. It was shown analytically and numerically that, in a thundercloud electric field, even moderate wind velocities lead to hundreds of percent increase in the corona current. This current decreases with time only slightly in a steady thundercloud electric field, as opposed to the current behavior in the absence of wind. However, even strong wind is not sufficient to affect the properties of a corona intensified in the electric field of an approaching downward leader. The occurrence of wind does not affect the conditions for initiation of an upward connecting leader from grounded objects and consequently the efficiency of lightning rods of ordinary height.     

触发重庆山洪灾害的典型环流和影响系统分析

通过对触发重庆山洪灾害的31次区域性暴雨的特点以及产生重庆区域性暴雨的典型大气环流形势和主要影响系统的统计分析,结果表明:(1)重庆山洪灾害主要是强降水引起的滑坡、局部泥石流和小溪流的洪涝等灾害,其危害极大;(2)诱发重庆山洪灾害的典型区域性强降水主要出现在5~9月,其中7月出现频率最大;(3)绝大部分区域性强降水过程产生前,在500 hPa中、高纬地区上空形成两脊一槽型(占52%)或两槽一脊型的环流形势(占42%);(4)高原槽(高原切变)、高原涡、副热带高压、西南涡、低空急流、地面冷锋等为其主要影响系统。     

近地层O3和CO2浓度变化对冬小麦影响的数值模拟：Ⅱ模拟结果和分析

针对CO2和O3浓度变化对冬小麦影响,改进了农田生态系统碳氮生物化学模型(DNDC),并利用模型模拟了O3和CO2浓度变化对冬小麦生长发育和产量的影响,检验了模型的模拟效果.通过对原DNDC模型适用性的调整,使之适用于固城站,为进一步改进作物模型打下了可靠的基础.通过试验资料验证表明,模型较好地反映了O3和CO2浓度变化对冬小麦生长发育和产量形成的影响.通过敏感性分析得出,模型对温度变化反映灵敏;在CO2浓度倍增情况下,O3浓度变化对冬小麦的复合影响分析看出,一定浓度范围内,CO2可缓解O3对作物影响的负效应,O3对CO2带来的正效应有削弱作用.     

磁层-电离层-热层耦合的模式计算和分析

对磁层-电离层电动耦合和电离层发电机两种效应进行了模式计算,并对所得的一些耦合现象作了综合讨论.结果表明,在中低纬和赤道区的电离层和地磁研究中必须考虑磁层-电离层耦合效应向中低纬区的穿透和屏蔽;潮汐发电机效应对极光区（电导率增高时）的作用也值得重视.这两效应的特征和相对重要性随磁暴的发展阶段而异,在高低纬区也各不相同,但都有明显的晨昏不对称性.此外,弱磁扰对中低纬电离层形态的影响也不容忽视.     

重力场的潮汐变化观测及其研究

基于我国武汉超导重力仪长周期序列潮汐观测数据,研究了重力场潮汐变化特征,精密确定了地球潮汐常数,讨论了重力观测中的海潮负荷和大气效应问题;根据地球自由核章动在周日重力潮汐观测中的共振效应确定了自由核章动的复本征周期和品质因子Q值,研究了极移重力效应;并对进一步利用重力潮汐观测研究地球物理问题进行了讨论。     

沉积盆地动力学的研究现状、问题与展望

沉积盆地动力学研究沉积盆地在地质历史时期的地质结构特征、成因机制及其对成矿、成藏的控制作用, 是地球动力学研究的重要组成部分.30多年来, 沉积盆地动力学经历了沉积盆地的板块构造分类与构造环境解释、盆地动力学的兴起, 盆地综合建模与盆地系统动力学3个发展阶段; 在沉积盆地的深部构造背景、盆-山关系、沉降机制、充填模式及其对能源、矿产的控制方面取得重要进展.目前, 在对不同层次、不同尺度、不同机制的盆地动力学综合分析, 全3-D和4-D盆地动力学模型的构建与检验, 及学术界与工业界的充分结合等方面面临重要挑战.需解决一系列关键科学问题: 沉积盆地的深部结构、过程与盆地形成; 沉积盆地的构造-气候古地理; 多旋回沉积盆地叠合动力学过程与原型盆地演化; 叠合盆地复合成矿(藏)系统流体运聚及其资源、能源效应等.基于大数据综合集成、多学科交叉渗透、观测技术与分析方法的不断进步与完善, 盆地动力学将在其结构构造、形成演化及其控矿(藏)的4-D综合模型方面取得突破, 并为人类社会、经济发展做出贡献.     

试论工业区工业企业成组布局的经济效果和最佳规模的确定

分析了工业区工业企业成组布局与分散布局相比较的经济效果,并采用年费用指标作为评价成组布局经济效果的基本指标。本文还分析了工业成组布局的经济效果与工业区规模之间的关系。本文以年费用最小为目标函数,以成组布局工业区的一些主要企业(基本企业)和与其相应的具有替代关系的分散布局企业(对比企业)为变量,建立了工业成组布局经济效果及最佳规模优化模型。     

Magnetic characterization of a retroarc extensional basin: The Loncopué Trough

The Loncopué Trough is a Pliocene to Quaternary extensional basin developed over the hinterland area of the Southern Central Andes. This basin is bounded by two neotectonic extensional fault systems delimiting a narrow topographic low. Previous studies have mostly focused on structural and geochemical aspects of this feature. However, geophysical surveys, aimed to unravel deep structure beneath a thick-younger than 5 My volcanic coverage, are scarce and based their interpretations on low resolution data sets. In this study, we collected new aeromagnetic data with the objective of characterizing the magnetic properties of the crust in the Loncopué Through and nearby zones. Additionally, we analyze the spatial relation between geological structures, volcanic fields and magnetic data. In order to highlight the boundaries of the magnetic sources and calculate the basement depth, we applied derivative techniques and the source parameter imaging. Also, we estimated an effective susceptibility model using the Magnetization Vector Inversion method, which takes into account the combined effects of remanence and induced magnetization. To determine the thermal structure of the area, we calculated the Curie depth points through the spectral analysis technique. From the analysis of magnetic data we were able to characterize the main structures and lineaments associated with this retroarc extensional trough. Notably, only the Loncopué eastern fault system seems to be a crustal-scale tectonic feature, while E-W-, ENE- and ESE-trending lineaments are interpreted as relatively minor structures segmenting the basement. Finally, our susceptibility model, together with the analysis of the Curie point, revealed potential magmatic/hydrothermal reservoirs in the Copahue volcano, and the Codihue and Cajón de Almanza regions that could be connected at depth forming a regional magmatic body.