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31.
Fumio Horiguchi Kisaburo Nakata Naganori Ito Ken Okawa 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2006,70(4):589
A risk assessment of Tributyltin (TBT) in Tokyo Bay was conducted using the Margin of Exposure (MOE) method at the species level using the Japanese short-neck clam, Ruditapes philippinarum. The assessment endpoint was defined to protect R. philippinarum in Tokyo Bay from TBT (growth effects). A No Observed Effect Concentration (NOEC) for this species with respect to growth reduction induced by TBT was estimated from experimental results published in the scientific literature. Sources of TBT in this study were assumed to be commercial vessels in harbors and navigation routes. Concentrations of TBT in Tokyo Bay were estimated using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model, an ecosystem model and a chemical fate model. MOEs for this species were estimated for the years 1990, 2000, and 2007. Estimated MOEs for R. philippinarum for 1990, 2000, and 2007 were approximately 1–3, 10, and 100, respectively, indicating a declining temporal trend in the probability of adverse growth effects.A simplified software package called RAMTB was developed by incorporating the chemical fate model and the databases of seasonal flow fields and distributions of organic substances (phytoplankton and detritus) in Tokyo Bay, simulated by the hydrodynamic and ecological model, respectively. 相似文献
32.
Are invasive species most successful in habitats of low native species richness across European brackish water seas? 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Marjo Paavola Sergej Olenin Erkki Leppkoski 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2005,64(4):738-750
European brackish water seas (Baltic Sea, Black Sea and Sea of Azov, Caspian Sea) are subject to intense invasion of non-indigenous species (NIS). In these seas, salinity is the most important range limiting factor and native species seem to reach a minimum species richness at intermediate salinities. This trend, revealed by Remane in 1934 and later on confirmed by many other scientists, was compared to the salinity range of already established NIS in the European brackish water seas. It turned out that most NIS are well adapted to the salinities holding lowest native species richness, already in their native area, and that NIS richness maximum in brackish water seas occurs in the salinity intervals of native species richness minimum. A predictable pattern in the salinity range of NIS can be used as a tool in initial risk assessment of future invasions in brackish water seas, especially when mapping highly potential donor and recipient areas. A product of empty niches, suitable environmental conditions, and availability of proper vectors might be the most effective predictor for the invasibility of brackish water areas. 相似文献
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Risk Assessment for Tuzla Naval Base Breakwater 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Can Elmar BALAS 《中国海洋工程》2003,17(3)
1 .IntroductionTurkeywasstruckbytwomajorearthquakeeventsonAugust 1 7thandNovember 1 2th ,1 999,namedIzmit (Mw=7.4 )andD櫣zce (Mw=7.2 )earthquakes,respectively .ThestationsoperatedbytheGeneralDirectorateofDisasterAffairs,theKandilliObservatoryandEarthquakeResearchInstituteofIstanbulTechnicalUniversitymeasuredatleast 2 7stronggroundmotionsfortheIzmitearthquakewithin 2 0 0kmofthefault.AsignificantsegmentofthefaultrupturedintheareabetweenthewestofGolcukandtheeastofLakeSapanca .Inthesou… 相似文献
35.
基于AHP法和灰色模式识别理论的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
根据海底管道路由潜在风险的特点及风险类型,提出了一种将层次分析法(AHP法)和灰色模式识别理论相结合的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估方法,该方法利用AHP确定风险评价指标体系,运用灰色模式识别理论,建立识别结果标准,并结合实际工程进行计算,计算结果表明该方法是可行的. 相似文献
36.
辽东湾两侧砂质海岸侵蚀灾害与防治 总被引:9,自引:1,他引:9
自20世纪60年代至90年代,由于多种原因,辽东湾东西两侧的初始沙质海岸侵蚀范围逐年扩大,侵蚀不断加剧,给当人民的生产和生活带来严重危害。由多年监测资料发现,侵蚀严重的熊岳岸线以2~4m/a的速率而大幅度后退,特别严重的地区最大后退达10km;辽西绥中某些岸段平均每年后退1~2m。20世纪90年代后期,由于一些海域管理措施的出台和相应的海岸防护工程的建设,海岸侵蚀逐渐减弱。通过现场调查和多年监测,分析了辽东湾东西两侧砂质海岸侵蚀的特点,认为海岸组成物质松散与海岸动力作用强烈是本区现代海岸侵蚀的基本条件,人为活动是关键因素,并提出了海岸侵蚀灾害的防治对策。 相似文献
37.
喀斯特荒漠化是一种地质—生态灾难 总被引:23,自引:0,他引:23
杨汉奎 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》1995,15(3):137-147
KDN是一种GEOL-ECOL灾难,是发生潮湿的碳酸盐岩区的土壤侵蚀、土地退化与生态系统凋萎,致使人类很难生活在其中。KDN是我国四大GEOL-ECOL灾害中最难整治、最难摆脱贫困的地区。本文按国际公认的原则为准,认定“石山化”≠KDN,从地质结构性气候、物候和生态系统多因子厘定了KDN术语,认定人为扰动与人口超载是其产生的序参量。其过程最迟也是300多年前明清朝代屯垦开始,近半个世纪加速衰竭,森 相似文献
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Robert S. Pomeroy Blake D. Ratner Stephen J. Hall Jate Pimoljinda V. Vivekanandan 《Marine Policy》2006,30(6):786-793
This paper examines lessons from past approaches to natural disasters, as well as early lessons from the post-2004 Asian tsunami rehabilitation, to draw out general principles for rehabilitating livelihoods in poor coastal communities. We contend that avoiding the mistakes of the past requires: (1) a framework for understanding the diversity of coastal people's livelihood strategies and the sources of their vulnerability, (2) a process for designing interventions that build on this understanding in order to strengthen and revitalize coastal communities, including a means of assessing and selecting the most promising livelihood options, and (3) a focus on the longer-term challenge of building future resilience and sustainability in the communities by addressing the root causes of vulnerability. 相似文献
40.