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401.
The characteristics of rain and point charges based on routine measurements extending over four rainy seasons are presented. An average rain current density of (1.0±0.1)×10–10 A m–2 and charge per unit volume of rain water of (0.43±0.02)×10–4 C m–3 for the locality are obtained, which are compared with data obtained elsewhere by other workers. The point-discharge current measurements lead to a revised estimate of (0.86±0.08)×10–9 A m–2 for the average point discharge current below storm clouds.  相似文献   
402.
广州降水概率预报   总被引:5,自引:2,他引:3  
谢定升  梁凤仪  易爱民 《气象》1998,24(1):43-46
讨论了长水概率预报的意义,原理和方法,介绍了广州降水概率预报的业务流程及试验效果,并提出深入开展降水概率预报的若干建议。  相似文献   
403.
陕西省人工神经元网络降水年,季度预报系统   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0  
田武文  王玉玺 《高原气象》1998,17(3):317-322
利用B-P人工神经元网络进行了陕西省年度,季度降水预报试验,提出了利用0-1模型解决多等级预报问题的方法,并建立了年度,季度等级预报模型,经过试验,表明该方法预报效果良好,最后对模式在应用中的一些问题及目前其它预报模型的差异等进行了讨论。  相似文献   
404.
杨强铭  纪晓玲  文润琴 《气象》1998,24(6):36-38
在建立MOS预报系统的基础上,充分利用实时资料库中所提供的各种气象信息,开发应用多种预报方法以及有关实况、气候背景资料、对MOS预报结果逐步进行人机交互订正,最后生成对外发布的宁夏各地3 ̄7天中期天气预报。  相似文献   
405.
辛玉善  杨锡勤  宋秀焕 《气象》1998,24(11):50-53
以黑龙江省850农场的资料进行分析,5至6月份小麦出苗、拔节至抽穗阶段,经常出现干旱,是需水关键期,对产量影响极大。所以利用麦田土壤湿度资料,建立经验公式,对土壤墒情进行预测预报,从而获得最佳喷灌时间及喷灌量,为节约用水、计划用水提供了可靠依据。  相似文献   
406.
河西走廊东部甜菜含糖量预测模式   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
运用灰色系统理论中的关联度方法,分析影响武威黄羊镇糖厂含糖量的气象因素,并建立了不含导数项的线性静态模式。经残差修正后,预测精度达98.11%。  相似文献   
407.
利用T106数值预报产品作江西暴雨动态落区预报   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
首先将江西测站的降水插值到1°×1°的经纬度网格点上,然后利用1°×1°的T106数值预报产品,对江西网格点上的暴雨送行诊断分析与相关普查,最后建立了江西暴雨动态落区预报模式和动态落区预报流程。  相似文献   
408.
南昌市降水概率预报方法研究(一)   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
主要介绍了降水概率预报的事件概率回归方法,1997年试用表明这种方法有一定的参考价值。  相似文献   
409.
A study of the interaction between groundwater and surface water was undertaken within a small agricultural watershed in southern Ontario, Canada. Groundwater contributions to streamflow were measured along a section of stream during baseflow conditions and during rainfall events. Four techniques were used to estimate the contribution of groundwater to the stream along a 450 m reach (three during baseflow and one during stormflow conditions). Under baseflow conditions, streamflow measurements using the velocity–area technique indicated that the net groundwater flux to the stream during the summer months was 10 ml s−1 m−1. Hydrometric measurements (i.e. hydraulic gradient and hydraulic conductivity) taken using mini-piezometers installed in the sediments beneath the stream resulted in net groundwater flux estimates that were four to five times lower. Seepage meters failed to provide any measurements of water flux into or out of the stream. Therefore, based on these results, the velocity–area technique gives the best estimate of groundwater discharge. Hydrograph separations were conducted using isotopic ratios and electrical conductivity on two large rainfall events with different antecedent moisture conditions in the catchment. Both events showed that pre-event water (generally considered groundwater) dominated streamflow and tile drain flow with 64%–80% of the total discharge contributed by pre-event water. High water table conditions within the catchment resulted in greater stream discharge and a greater contribution of event water in the streamflow than that observed under low water table conditions for similar intensity storm events. The results also showed that differences in riparian zone width, vegetation and surface saturation conditions between the upper and lower catchment can influence the relative magnitude of streamflow response from the two catchment areas.  相似文献   
410.
The identification of channel capacity associated with a particular frequency of peak discharges is necessary for discharge estimation for planning purposes at ungauged sites. Although lichen limits have been suggested to be useful for this purpose, previous studies have not elaborated their hydrological significance. Lichen limits are clearly defined on the sides of rock channels in New England. Australia and they are analyzed in relation to discharge at 6 gauging stations with up to 52 years of continuous record. It is demonstrated that the lowest lichen limit is maintained by peak discharges which occur on average at least once or twice each year. Recurrence intervals based on Annual Series and on Annual Exceedance Series are calculated and for the annual series are fairly consistent for the lowest lichen limit and range from 1·14 to 1·37 years. Lichenometry can be applied to the analysis of river channels in relation to the frequency of peak discharges. By reference to growth curves based upon lichens on Armidale tombstones it is shown that lichenometry may be employed to indicate dates for channel modification due to the removal of blocks and to dam construction and also to date the rock surface between lichen limits. Detailed analysis of the record from gauging stations indicates that where several lichen limits occur in a channel cross section each limit is related to periods when peak discharges exceeded the limits on at least 5 occasions. The lichen-free surfaces were then recolonized by Parmelia spp. and the size of the lichen thalli indicates the time elapsing since these frequent high discharges.  相似文献   
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