区域水资源与社会经济协调程度评价研究

基于陈守煜多级多目标模糊模式识别模型，提出了区域水资源与社会经济协调程度评价模型。该模型利用级别特征值解决了多层多级多目标系统区域水资源与社会经济协调程度的评价，给出了多个目标隶属函数的计算公式。经分析比较，方法可行，结果合理。     

Urban land transformation for pro-poor economies

The transformation of land into a setting for clustering local economies can become an important cornerstone of poverty policy. This transformation has several functional aspects, which in turn have important institutional and political aspects. Underlying both the functional and institutional factors is the role of local government and local democracy. Such a conceptualization puts to center stage several paradoxes: A terrain that seems “slum-like” turns out to be highly productive and employment generating. Complex tenure forms and mixed land use seen as “unplanned” turn out to be pre-requisites for economic development. There are institutional paradoxes that contrast efforts at “transparency” and managerial “best practices”. Here, the messiness of local bureaucracies in municipal government turns out to be critical for poor groups to influence interventions in their favor. Influencing the public process may be more effective in stealth-like ways rather taking a more visible approach. Most fundamentally these issues remind us that the potential of cities to reinforce or reduce poverty moved far beyond projects and programs and the normative frameworks used by planners and administrators. Instead, it is the transformative process of turning land into economic settings that might be at the center stage. This is a stage where poor groups are the central actors who stealth-like draw on complex alliances across ethnic and class lines to shapes cities in their interests.     

Problems associated with tourism development in Southern Africa: The case of Transfrontier Conservation Areas

Tourism in Southern Africa is synonymous with the wildlife safari. In the post-colonial era the establishment of so-called ‘peaceparks’ that straddle the borders of states has come to be seen as a key not only to increasing tourism in the Southern African region, but also to the modernizing of conservation policies and the development of rural economies. This paper focuses on the global and continental presence of transfrontier conservation areas, the link between conservation and tourism development, and the current factors that constrain and influence the realization of an ‘African Dream’ — ‘establishment of the greatest animal kingdom’. The unstable political situation in Zimbabwe and how this negatively affects wildlife conservation and tourism in the Gonarezhou part of the Greater Limpopo Transfrontier Park, serves as a case study. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Data driven bivariate landslide susceptibility assessment using geographical information systems: a method and application to Asarsuyu catchment, Turkey

In the last decades, landslide hazard assessment has attracted many researchers' attention. A number of parameters are suggested to be responsible to quantitatively explain the mechanism of landslides; many of these parameters are very important and factual. However, some data types and models are site-specific and could not be applied to different locations. Furthermore, the data stored in continuous parameter maps are divided into a number of classes arbitrarily, depending on the vision of the expert. Basically, this division controls the result of bivariate analysis. Besides, the responsible portion of the parameter map controlling the mechanism is also weighted arbitrarily. Based on these two facts, the class boundaries put a prejudice on the produced susceptibility/hazard maps, which result in dependence on the knowledge of the user rather than being dependent on the data and the fact itself. The aim of this study is to refine the previously defined methods in a more data-dependent trend. To achieve this goal, two new concepts: seed cells and percentile maps are introduced. Seed cells are the zones that are considered to represent the best undisturbed morphological decision rules (conditions before landslide occurs) and would be achieved by adding a buffer zone to the crown and flank areas of the landslide. To quantitatively classify the input parameter maps, the data distributions of seed cells in the parameter maps are divided into a number of classes on the basis of their distribution's percentile break-points upon which the parameter maps are directly dependent on the seed cell distributions, hence to the data itself.     

重庆石碗溪小流域坡度和高程对土地利用及经济发展的影响

坡度和高程是土地资源固有的两个重要环境因子,与土地利用关系密切,尤其是在山区,坡度和高程基本上决定了土地利用的方向和方式,从而影响农业和经济的发展。石碗溪小流域面积20.73km2,为丘陵低山区。按坡度和高程对土地利用的影响程度,把坡度和高程各分为3级,即:0°～15°、15°~25°、>25°和500m以下、500~800 m、800m以上。从1:10 000地形圈上提取土地坡度和高程分级图,与土地利用现状图又叠加,获取各坡度、高程级及其土地利用类型和数据。结果表明,土地面积随坡度、海拔级的增加而加大。耕地分布在各个高程级0～15°的缓坡上,800m以上地区面积最大,果园和森林大多分布在800m以上>25°的陡坡地上。通过分析比较小流域各个行政村2002年农业总收入及种植业、林业、牧业收入与坡度和高程的关系,可以看出坡度和高程对经济发展的影响。最后,根据坡度和高程状况,结合小流域社会经济条件,提出几点建议,以其为山区小流域土地可持续利用及经济持续发展提供科学依据。     

云南发展"会展经济"的战略构想

会展经济，在云南社会经济的发展过程中有着十分重要的意义，云南应该尽快、尽早制定相应的发展对策。首先应深刻地认识到发展会展经济对云南具有十分重要的战略意义，与此同时成立相应的领导机构，同时制定合理的发展目标，并按照会展发展的原则和云南发展会展经济的步骤逐步实施。     

世界政治新形势下的中国经济安全观

当前，世界政治形势处于动荡催生调整，调整蕴含机遇，在单极与多极矛盾的碰撞与互动中，正在形成某种更有效的机制，培育更为成熟、理性竞争的意识，促使各主要大国为世界的持久和平与繁荣共同担负起应有的责任。因此，国家经济安全是世界各国都普遍关注的战略问题。本文首先总结了就当今世界政治发展的四个特点，并在分析国际形势新变化对中国经济安全影响的基础上，提出了维护我国经济安全的六点思考。     

探索地理信息智能化处理技术

GIS自产生至今30多年来，世界各国都竞相开展GIS技术研究和应用开发，使其得到了迅速的发展，已形成较为完整的理论体系和大批实用系统，并已在社会各专业领域得到广泛应用并产生了巨大效益，目前，开始朝着产业化、集成化、智能化和社会化的方向发展。随着3S技术的集成应用，人们对GIS的运行效率及其深入的应用提出了更高的要求，地理信息智能化处理已成为地图学和GIS建设必须解决的问题，也是GIS发展的必然方向。在地理信息处理中采用人工智能技术，发展智能GIS或者专家GIS，是解决复杂地学问题的重要途径，也是目前GIS最吸引人的一个应用方向。目前在地理信息处理的许多领域都在使用人工智能技术，比如地图模式识别、地理数据的自动分类、地学专家系统、智能GIS、空间数据挖掘等。本文通过对当前地理信息智能化处理技术发展现状的阐述，旨在探索人工智能在地理信息处理中的应用前景。     

Global cotton and local environmental management: the political ecology of rich and poor small-hold farmers in southern Mali

This study examines the hypothesis that poor households engage in less sustainable soil management practices than rich households in a similar socioeconomic environment. This broad objective is explored in Mali's southern cotton belt through three specific research questions. First, is there empirical evidence to support the claim that poor households engage in less sustainable soil management practices than rich households? Second, what local and extra-local factors influence household agricultural management approaches in southern Mali? Third, what broader scale political and economic processes are linked to the factors that influence local-level agricultural management approaches? The author reports that soil quality measures on the farms of rich and poor households are not significantly different, refuting the conventional wisdom that the wealthy are better managers of the environment. A variety of environmentally deleterious practices are associated with export-oriented cotton production, an activity more vigorously pursued by wealthy than poor farmers. Finally, the focus on poverty in international environment and development discourse has allowed the government of Mali to avoid a serious debate on the sustainability of cotton production. The study's findings are based on household interviews describing agricultural management practices, an analysis of farm field soil measures, and discussions with donors and national policymakers.     

Counting Beans: Agrobiodiversity,Indigeneity, and Agrarian Reform

In‐field conservation of locally domesticated crop varieties ameliorates agrobiodiversity losses, but the interaction among nationally regulated socioeconomic factors at the local scale tends to discourage this. Analyses of household surveys conducted in Ecuador demonstrate that state and nongovernmental institutions interact to discourage cultivation of locally domesticated varieties of beans (Phaseolus spp.). Land privatization, agricultural extension, and credit programs favor market production of introduced modern bean varieties, and locally domesticated varieties are noted for favorable nutrition, culinary, and agroecological qualities. Resolving disconnections between the market and social values for landrace beans may provide agrobiodiversity conservation opportunities.