地球物理非线性反演模拟退火法的改进

在地球物理非线性反演方法中，模拟退火法是一种较先进的启发式蒙特卡洛（ＭｏｎｔｅＣａｒｌｏ）方法．但是，在处理实际资料时，该方法存在着计算效率不够高的缺点，有时还会失效．为此，从模拟退少法的关键问题──最低温度的选择入手，根据模拟退火法与统计力学的吉布斯－马尔柯夫（Ｇｉｂｂｓ－Ｍａｒｋｏｖ）模型之间的关系导出临界温度的近似表达式；用此式分析目标函数超曲面形状对模拟退火法计算的影响；提出利用模糊先验信息确定最低温度、改造目标函数等改进措施．     

Research on earthquake prediction from geomagnetic pulsation

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ANALYSIS OF SPHERICAL FUNCTION SPECTRAL STRUCTURE OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE 500 HPA MONTHLY MEAN HEIGHT*

Study is undertaken of spherical function spectral structures of long-term mean and anomaly patterns of the Northern Hemisphere 500 hPa monthly mean geopotential height together with the seasonal and interannual variations investigated.Results show that they are marked by low dimensions and low orders,and the mean and anomaly fields can be described in terms of 20 and 50 spherical function components,respectively.     

结构模糊随机可靠度的实用计算方法

本文以模糊随机变量为基本变量，定义了结构的模糊随机功能函数，分析了结构有效状态与失效状态之间的模糊性，建立了结构的模糊随机极限状态方程。利用序关系给出单失效模式结构的模糊安全准则，讨论了ａ－约束水平条件下单失效模式结构的失效概率、可靠度及可靠指标，进而得出结构的模糊随机失效概率、模糊随机可靠度及模糊可靠指标等。本文给出的具体计算方法和目前设计规范中彩的方法是相对应的。     

岩(矿)石中真实矿物组成的计算及矿物化学成分的初步逼近

本文基于线性规划的数学模型,利用岩(矿)石化学分析资料,佐以矿物相的鉴定结果,能准确计算出岩(矿)石中真实矿物组成。在没有矿物化学成分分析数据的情况下,通过迭代、逼进,能同时给出岩矿石的真实矿物组成及矿物化学成分的逼近值,若进一步结合矿物晶体化学原理进行修正,可得出更为准确的结果。线性规划的数学模型还能应用于矿物端员组成的计算,天然及人工系统的物理化学平衡、岩石学混合计算等各个方面。     

金厂峪金矿床地质特征及成因探讨

本文研究了金厂峪金矿太古代斜长角闪岩中构造岩的特征和分布特点;根据片岩带内存在纯片岩地段、片岩带内有岩墙和两种含金脉体地段所呈现的无对称分带性、岩墙和脉体的接触关系,论述了断裂构造性质、控矿作用、热液充填期次、成矿时代;指出产于斜长角闪岩中的金矿床,并非都形成于太古代,在冀东燕山准地槽内应注意燕山期成矿作用。     

Further Studies Of Atmospheric Turbulence In Layers Near The Surface: Scaling The Tke Budget Above The Roughness Sublayer

The second of two experimental studies of the TKE budget conducted on sites of different roughness is described, and results are compared. The first took place within a shallow layer above a small field of mostly bare, cultivated soil; the second was carried out above a roughness sublayer of significant depth on an extensive plain of tall dry grass. Budget terms observed in the second study were scaled with a modified u which compensated for effects of an unusually large stress gradient and ensured that the _m functions would be collinear. By showing that the modification becomes negligible in smaller gradients, it is demonstrated that in normal conditions, budgets observed above significant roughness sublayers should be normalized by scaling in terms of the unreduced Reynolds stress at the sublayer's upper surface. This procedure is shown to be consistent with the expectation that TKE budgets in layers near the surface all scale in fundamentally the same way.Other findings include: (1) the fact that most _m functions previously reported are not quite collinear is attributed to a type of overspeeding known to affect three-cup anemometers; (2) revised _m functions, collinear and largely free of the effects of overspeeding, are determined from a well-established characteristic of the linear _m relation for the stable case; (3) data that define collinear _m functions can also be represented with single hyperbolic curves; (4) dissipation is found to be 10 to 15% too small to balance total TKE production in unstable and neutral conditions and to decrease with increasing z/L in thestable regime; and (5) new relations for based on the observed behaviour of the dissipation deficit provide an improved closure for the set of equations that express the budget terms as functions of _m and z/L.     

Chironomid-based paleosalinity records in southern British Columbia, Canada: a comparison of transfer functions

Chironomid remains from Big Lake, British Columbia were analysed and paleosalinities were estimated using a pre-existing transfer function and several developed using new regression methods. A two component partial-least-squares model (PLS-2) had the highest coefficient of determination (R² _(Jackknifed) = 0.75) and lowest root-mean-squared error-of-prediction (RMSEP). As compared to the pre-existing model, it was also less sensitive to the influence of rare taxa. Nevertheless, the marginally larger R² _(Jackknifed) and lower RMSEP do not clearly identify a single best model. The models were applied to Big, Mahoney and Kilpoola lakes, revealing the sensitivity of paleosalinity inferences to model selection. A synopsis of chironomid-based paleosalinities in British Columbia and their correspondence with other paleoclimatic data are presented and discussed.     

Chironomids as indicators of climate change: a 100‐lake training set from a subarctic region of northern Sweden (Lapland)

Multivariate numerical analyses (DCA, CCA) were used to study the distribution of chironomids from surface sediments of 100 lakes spanning broad ecoclimatic conditions in northern Swedish Lapland. The study sites range from boreal forest to alpine tundra and are located in a region of relatively low human impact. Of the 19 environmental variables measured, ordination by CCA identified mean July air temperature as one of the most significant variables explaining the distribution and the abundance of chironomids. Lossonignition (LOI), maximum lake depth and mean January air temperature also accounted for significant variation in chironomid assemblages. A quantitative transfer function was created to estimate mean July air temperature from sedimentary chironomid assemblages using weightedaveraging partial least squares regression (WAPLS). The coefficient of determination was relatively high (r² = 0.65) with root mean squared error of prediction (RMSEP, based on jack-knifing) of 1.13 °C and maximum bias of 2.1 °C, indicating that chironomids can provide useful quantitative estimates of past changes in mean July air temperature. The paper focuses mainly on the relationship between chironomid composition and July air temperature, but the relationship to LOI and depth are also discussed.     

结构平稳随机地震反应时域分析:方法

给出了三种常用的随机地震地面运动过程模型,即理想白噪声模型、金井清模型、改进金井清模型的相关函数表达式.引入状态向量,在状态空间中建立地震地面运动激励下的结构振动方程,并求解出结构的复模态特性和复模态反应.利用复模态叠加法推导出线性时不变多自由度体系在这三种随机地震动激励下的平稳协方差反应的解析式,可在时域内直接计算结构随机反应的统计特征.该方法物理概念清晰,结论简便明确,可作为实际工程结构平稳随机地震反应的实用分析方法.