Numerical Simulation of Andhra Severe Cyclone (2003): Model Sensitivity to the Boundary Layer and Convection Parameterization

The Andhra severe cyclonic storm (2003) is simulated to study its evolution, structure, intensity and movement using the Penn State/NCAR non-hydrostatic mesoscale atmospheric model MM5. The model is used with three interactive nested domains at 81, 27 and 9 km resolutions covering the Bay of Bengal and adjoining Indian Peninsula. The performance of the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) and convective parameterization on the simulated features of the cyclone is studied by conducting sensitivity experiments. Results indicate that while the boundary layer processes play a significant role in determining both the intensity and movement, the convective processes especially control the movement of the model storm. The Mellor-Yamada scheme is found to yield the most intensive cyclone. While the combination of Mellor-Yamada (MY) PBL and Kain-Fritsch 2 (KF2) convection schemes gives the most intensive storm, the MRF PBL with KF2 convection scheme produces the best simulation in terms of intensity and track. Results of the simulation with the combination of MRF scheme for PBL and KF2 for convection show the evolution and major features of a mature tropical storm. The model has very nearly simulated the intensity of the storm though slightly overpredicted. Simulated core vertical temperature structure, winds at different heights, vertical winds in and around the core, vorticity and divergence fields at the lower and upper levels—all support the characteristics of a mature storm. The model storm has moved towards the west of the observed track during the development phase although the location of the storm in the initial and final phases agreed with the observations. The simulated rainfall distribution associated with the storm agreed reasonably with observations.     

海温变化对台风路径的影响

在台风模式中采用周平均海温和多年的月平均海温，对一些台风个例进行了比较，分析了数值模式中影响台风路径的海温因子变化对台风移动路径的影响。     

近圆轨道遥感卫星星下点轨迹的计算

根据遥感卫星轨道的特点，提出了计算近圆轨道卫星星下点轨迹的算法，并对其进行精度评估。结果表明这种算法是快捷和有效的，能够满足卫星规划阶段对轨道精度的要求。     

阿尔金山北段晚新生代山体抬升的裂变径迹证据

对阿尔金山北段阿克塞 当金山口剖面的裂变径迹研究结果表明 ,该区晚新生代 8Ma左右曾发生较快速抬升。抬升年龄的展布与阿尔金左行走滑断裂带晚期活动在该区所呈现的正花状构造相吻合。     

一种公平技术评分方法在台风业务预报评估中的应用

将离散变量分级预报的公平技术评分方法引入台风路径业务的预报评估中，对１９８９－１９９１年的台风业务预报作评估试验，结果表明，该方法量客观，不但可用于台风分类预报评估，也可对台风移向移速预报进行客观评估。     

非常定自适应网格模式在台风路径数值预报中的应用

本文将作者在前文中介绍的非常定自适应网格模式用于台风路径的数值预报。由于自适应网格在台风中心附近安排了较密的网格，有效地提高了网格的分辨率，使得台风环流的结构在预报48小时以后仍能保持，其预报的路径与实况相比令人鼓舞。     

台湾岛地形对台风移动路径的作用

本文用一个β平面准地转正压模式实施了九组试验，研究台湾岛地形对台风移动路径的作用。初始场系根据SPECTRUM和TCM-90期间加强观测资料确定。结果表明:台湾岛地形的引进会使台风路径向右偏移；地形使台风环流的最大风速区向台风中心方向推移，造成台风环流空间尺度减小，这个结构的变化是路径右偏的一个可能原因。     

Thermo-tectonic history of Ryoke Basement in Hohi volcanic zone, northeast Kyushu, Japan: Constraints from fission track thermochronology

Abstract Apatite and zircon fission track ages from Ryoke Belt basement in northeast Kyushu show late Cretaceous, middle to late Eocene, middle Miocene and Quaternary groupings. The basement cooled through 240 ± 25°C, the closure temperature for fission tracks in zircon, mainly during the interval 74-90 Ma as a result of uplift and denudation, the pattern being uniform across northeast Kyushu. In combination with published K-Ar ages and the Turonian-Santonian age of sedimentation in the Onogawa Basin, active suturing along the Median Tectonic Line from 100-80 Ma, at least, is inferred. Ryoke Belt rocks along the northern margin of Hohi volcanic zone (HVZ) cooled rapidly through ∼100°C to less than 50°C during the middle Eocene to Oligocene, associated with 2.5-3.5 km of denudation. The timing of this cooling follows peak heating in the Eocene-Oligocene part (Murotohanto subbelt) of the Shimanto Belt in Muroto Peninsula (Shikoku) inferred previously, and coincides with the 43 Ma change in convergence direction of the Pacific-Eurasian plate and the demise of the Kula-Pacific spreading centre. Ryoke Belt rocks along the southern margin of HVZ have weighted mean apatite fission track ages of 15.3 ± 3.1 Ma. These reset ages are attributed to an increase in geothermal gradient in the middle Miocene combined with rapid denudation and uplift of at least 1.4 km. These ages indicate that heating of the overriding plate associated with the middle Miocene start of subduction of hot Shikoku Basin lithosphere extended into the Ryoke Belt in northeast Kyushu. Pleistocene apatite fission track ages from Ryoke Belt granites at depth in the centre of HVZ are due to modern annealing in a geothermal environment.     

空间墨卡托投影研究

主要研究适合星下点轨迹是赤道的卫星数据投影选择的空间墨卡托投影,推导了空间墨卡托投影公式,研究了其变形情况,并证明了该投影是等角空间投影,最后给出了算例。     

大地形上空偶极子东移对热带气旋路径的影响

With a quasi-geostrophic barotropic model on the β-plane with a topography term, 16 experiments were performed with an integration period of 6 days. The interaction between tropical cyclone tracks and 500 kin-scale vortices originating from the western part ora large-scale topography is investigated. It is suggested that this kind of interaction may have a significant impact on the moving speed and direction of tropical cyclones. Under certain conditions, this interaction may be a factor in causing an abnormal tropical cyclone track. Furthermore, the effect of large-scale topography plays an important role in the formation of unusual tropical cyclone tracks.