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71.
用1957~1999年广东省19个代表站4~6月降水资料和500hPa高度场资料,着重分析和讨论了广东省前汛期异常旱、涝年的同期和前期500hPa合成平均场的主要差异,以及前期关键月、关键区的特点,为广东省前汛期异常旱、涝的预测提供判别依据。 相似文献
72.
XU Zhen WANG Tao XU Shanhui WANG Baoshan FENG Xuping SHI Jing YANG Minghan 《中国地震研究》2019,33(2):288-304
In seismic data processing, picking of the P-wave first arrivals takes up plenty of time and labor, and its accuracy plays a key role in imaging seismic structures. Based on the convolution neural network (CNN), we propose a new method to pick up the P-wave first arrivals automatically. Emitted from MINI28 vibroseis in the Jingdezhen seismic experiment, the vertical component of seismic waveforms recorded by EPS 32-bit portable seismometers are used for manually picking up the first arrivals (a total of 7242). Based on these arrivals, we establish the training and testing sets, including 25,290 event samples and 710,616 noise samples (length of each sample:2s). After 3,000 steps of training, we obtain a convergent CNN model, which can automatically classify seismic events and noise samples with high accuracy (> 99%). With the trained CNN model, we scan continuous seismic records and take the maximum output (probability of a seismic event) as the P-wave first arrival time. Compared with STA/LTA (short time average/long time average), our method shows higher precision and stronger anti-noise ability, especially with the low SNR seismic data. This CNN method is of great significance for promoting the intellectualization of seismic data processing, improving the resolution of seismic imaging, and promoting the joint inversion of active and passive sources. 相似文献
73.
Based on the Simplified Bishop Method, the minimum safety factor of ice slope both with and without tension cracks is calculated in combination with triaxial compression tests. It is found that there exists a critical depth for each crack. Then, factors influencing ice slope stability such as slope ratio, slope height, ice cohesion, internal friction angle, unit weight and temperature were analyzed. Meanwhile, a regression equation between the aforementioned factors and safety factor is obtained, with which sensitivity analysis is carried out. The performance function is built in combination with random distribution of physical and mechanical parameters to analyze the reliability index. The Advanced First Order Second Moment Method is employed on the solution to the performance function. The one-way coupling system of ice slope stability is therefore formed based on safety factor and reliability index. Finally, an illustrated example of ice slope is provided, which shows that failure probability is relatively high, up to 6.18%, although safety factor is 2.77. Thus, it is objective and reasonable to apply the coupled system method to the slope stability rating. 相似文献
74.
地震波初至走时的识别在地震勘探、人工地震层析成像以及全球地震层析成像方法研究中起重要作用.初至走时拾取的精度在很大的程度上影响地震层析成像及演的精度.本研究以提高地震波初至走时拾取的精度及定量化程度为目标,利用计算地震道时间序列分数维的方法,实现了地震波初至走时的自动拾取.本文以分形理论为基础,进行了地震道时间序列Hausdorff分数维的计算.计算结果表明地震道时间序列的分数维在初至到达前后具有不同的数值,其变化点能够定量指示出初至走时的位置.本文还给出了利用该方法对实测数据进行初至走时拾取的实例. 相似文献
75.
Shortly after the discovery of an oil and gas field, an initial estimate is usually made of the ultimate recovery of the field. With the passage of time, this initial estimate is almost always revised upward. The phenomenon of the growth of the expected ultimate recovery of a field, which is known as field growth, is important to resource assessment analysts for several reasons. First, field growth is the source of a large part of future additions to the inventory of proved reserves of crude oil and natural gas in most petroliferous areas of the world. Second, field growth introduces a large negative bias in the forecast of the future rates of discovery of oil and gas fields made by discovery process models. In this study, the growth in estimated ultimate recovery of oil and gas in fields made up of sandstone reservoirs formed in a complex depositional environment (Frio strand plain exploration play) is examined. The results presented here show how the growth of oil and gas fields is tied directly to the architectural element of the shoreline processes and tectonics that caused the deposition of the individual sand bodies hosting the producible hydrocarbon. 相似文献
76.
The temperature and salinity data obtained by the Iwate Fisheries Technology Center for the 25-year period from 1971 to 1995
were analyzed to clarify the seasonal variations in the sea off Sanriku, Japan. The variations of three typical waters found
in this region, the Tsugaru Current water, the Oyashio water, and the Kuroshio water are discussed in terms, of a T-S scatter
diagram referring to the water mass classification proposed by Hanawa and Mitsudera (1986). The mean temperature and salinity
fields averaged for each month show clear seasonal variation. Distributions of the Tsugaru Current water and the Oyashio water
can barely be distinguished in the fields deeper than 200 m since the Tsugaru Current has a shallow structure; however, the
fields at 100 m depth indicate remarkable seasonal variation in the area of the Tsugaru Current. At 100 m depth, the temperature
and salinity fronts between the Tsugaru Current water and the Oyashio water gradually disappear in January through April,
appear again in May, then become clearest in September.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
77.
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79.
《Geoforum》2016
First Nations in British Columbia (BC), Canada, have historically been—and largely continue to be—excluded from colonial governments’ decision-making and management frameworks for fresh water. However, in light of recent legal and legislative changes, and also changes in water governance and policy, there is growing emphasis in scholarship and among legal, policy and advocacy communities on shifting water governance away from a centralized single authority towards an approach that is watershed-based, collaborative, and involves First Nations as central to decision-making processes. Drawing on community-based research, interviews with First Nations natural resource staff and community members, and document review, the paper analyzes the tensions in collaborative water governance, by identifying First Nations’ concerns within the current water governance system and exploring how a move towards collaborative watershed governance may serve to either address, or further entrench, these concerns. This paper concludes with recommendations for collaborative water governance frameworks which are specifically focused on British Columbia, but which have relevance to broader debates over Indigenous water governance. 相似文献
80.
Acoustic radiation from a point driven, infinite, periodically ring-stiffened, laminated composite cylindrical shell submerged in flowing fluid is investigated theoretically. Both the effects of in-plane and out-of-plane vibrations of the ring-stiffeners and the effects of fluid convection on far field acoustic radiation behaviors are concerned. The equations of motion of the laminated composite cylindrical shell is presented on the basis of the first order shear deformation theory. Fourier transform and Poisson summation formula are used to transform the equations into a set of infinite algebraic equations expressed in the wavenumber domain. After truncation, the response of the laminated composite cylindrical shell is solved, and the stationary phase approximate is employed to find the expression for the far field sound pressure. Convergence analysis of the numerical solutions is conducted. The theoretical model and numerical method proposed in this paper are validated by comparison with those presented in available literature. Finally, numerical results are presented to demonstrate the effects of various parameters such as the size and spacing of the ring-stiffener, the thickness and the radius of the cylindrical shell, the lamination angle and the lamination scheme of the composite materials as well as the Mach number on the far field sound pressure. 相似文献