城市地震影响特征研究

首先根据历史地震目录，计算了我国34个省会城市所受到的历史地震影响. 这些城市的地震影响烈度分布特征表明，约53%的省会城市没有遭受过Ⅵ度以上的历史地震影响，遭受过Ⅶ~Ⅸ度影响的城市有44%；大部分城市Ⅵ度地震影响的发生频次均高于Ⅵ度以上地震影响；不同城市最大发生频次的地震影响烈度也不同. 为此，在确定城市地震防御烈度时，需综合考虑最大影响烈度和最频影响烈度. 本文还考虑到历史地震记录的不完备性，以福建省69个县级以上城市为研究对象，采用模拟地震目录的方法来研究城市地震影响的特征. 结果表明，不同超越概率水平下城市地震影响烈度在不同城市之间表现出较大变化，以50年超越概率2%作为城市特征地震影响烈度，可以作为城市地震防御烈度确定的依据，并据此对城市未来地震影响进行合理的描述.      

砂土液化判别方法可靠性评价

在进行液化评价简化法与规范液化判别方法对比基础上，利用液化概率的对数回归方程，讨论了规范液化判别方法的可靠性。研究结果表明，我国规范液化判别方法其液化概率变动较大，对于烈度 Ⅶ 度，规范法的液化概率在0.17～0.42间，小于简化法概率0.36～0.43，偏保守。对于烈度 Ⅷ 度和 Ⅸ 度近地表场地，规范法的液化概率高达0.65～0.70，远远高于简化法的液化概率，安全裕度不够。对于含粘粒土质液化评价，规范方法的液化概率总体上都较简化法高，特别是烈度Ⅷ度高粘粒含量其液化概率为0.9。     

淮河息县站流量概率预报模型研究

应用美国天气局采用的由Roman Krzysztofowicz开发的贝叶斯统计理论建立概率水文预报理论框架，即以分布函数形式定量地描述水文预报不确定度，研究了淮河息县站流量概率预报模型。理论和经验表明，概率预报至少与确定性预报一样有价值，特别当预报不确定度较大时，概率预报比现行确定性预报具有更高的经济价值。     

On the long-term seismic hazard analysis in the Zhangjiakou–Penglai seismotectonic zone, China

The Zhangjiakou–Penglai seismotectonic zone (ZPSZ) lies in the northern part of North China and extends along the Zhangjiakou–Beijing–Tianjin–Bohai Bay–Penglai–Yellow Sea. It is about 900 km long and some 250 km wide in a northwest direction. The great Sanhe-Pinggu (M_S=8.0) earthquake occurred on September 1679 and the Tangshan (M_S=7.8) earthquake on July 1976 caused serious economic and life losses. According to some differences in crust structure and regional tectonic stress field, the ZPSZ is divided into western and eastern segment by the 117°E line for study on long-term seismic hazard analysis. An analysis of Gutenberg–Richter's empirical relation of earthquake-frequency and time process of historic and recent earthquakes along the eastern and western segments shows that the earthquake activity obeys a Poisson process, and these calculations indicate that the earthquake occurrence probability of M_S=6.0–6.9 is 0.77–0.83 in the eastern segment and the earthquake occurrence probability of M_S=7.0–7.9 is 0.78–0.80 in the western segment of the ZPSZ during a period from 2005 to 2015.     

Integrating Environmental Education Into Business Schools' Educational Plans in Finland

Environmental education in business school context has a significant effect on the way companies view environmental problems. Business schools train the future decision makers who can, with their own attitudes and practical actions, influence the contribution of business to the process of ecologically sustainable development. However, several studies show that no systematic thinking has been undertaken within business education as to what the educational prerequisites of the process of ecologically sustainable development are. In this article, I will firstly analyze by means of environmental education how business polytechnics in Finland have taken into consideration ecologically sustainable development. Secondly, I will raise the starting points for the development of the implementation of environmental education as part of the business schools▪ educational plans. Integrating environmental education into the vocational courses is identified as being one of the most effective ways of increasing the effectiveness of environmental education. Thirdly, the emphasis is on identification of barriers of integrating environmental education into the educational plans of business polytechnics. Theoretically, the article is attached to the objectives and learning concepts of environmental education and to educational planning theory in general. The empirical data are based on interviews I conducted 1999–2000 in all Finnish polytechnics offering business education. My article increases theoretical and practical understanding of how environmental education should be implemented in business education and how the current situation could be developed. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

南极冰貌卫星影像条带噪声的剔除

本文在简要叙述条带噪声形成原因的基础上 ,针对南极地区的ASTER 1A的可见光影像中出现的条带噪声的现象 ,通过设计了基于切比雪夫窗、凯瑟窗的FIR滤波器和约束最小二乘FIR滤波器对其条带噪声进行剔除 ,这两种滤波器能够尽可能地剔除条带 ,同时使影像的灰度分布发生最小畸变。并通过与其他方法 (例如 :低通滤波 ,直方图匹配等 )比较 ,说明这两种滤波的方法优于其他的方法     

亚、欧两大洲自然地理环境结构的整体性和差异性教学初探

地理环境的结构，是指地理环境各组成要素之间和各组成部分之间相互关系性质的组合，它包括既有联系、又有区别的两个方面，即地理环境结构的整体性和差异性。笔者在亚、欧两洲自然地理数年的教学实践中，从自然环境结构的整体性和差异性特征入手，得出分析、综合、概括归纳和对比研究等方法是学习世界区域地理的主要方法。     

基于GIS的油气储层综合评价方法研究

通过对现有的商用地理信息系统的分析，剖析了传统的储层综合评价方法及存在的问题。充分利用GIS工具，建立油气储层评价空间数据库，整合各种与储层相关的多学科油田图形信息及其相关属性信息，利用GIS与储层评价模型集成解决油气储层评价问题，扩展了GIS的空间分析功能，实现了油气储层评价的科学性和完备性，并以西部某油田为例进行了实例分析。     

论数字城市工程及其技术体系

分析了数字城市的内涵 ,基于数字工程思想 ,总结了数字城市的工程结构与技术体系 ,进而阐述了数字城市的意义与建设策略。     

基于物方影像匹配和概率松弛的断面自动提取

提出了基于物方影像匹配的断面提取,为了提高匹配的可靠性,引入了概率松弛法,最终获得了高精度的断面.