基于改进层次分析法的干旱扬水灌区水土环境变迁响应评估

受大量的外调水资源和人工灌溉的影响,干旱扬水灌区的水土环境变迁过程具有独特性,其对区域环境要素的响应是长期、潜在而缓慢的,该过程可通过科学的评估与分析描述其发展的趋势。评价过程是否合理,评价结果是否准确是灌区可持续发展的关键。通过应用改进的层次分析法,对干旱扬水灌区水土环境变迁响应进行了评价。结果表明:干旱扬水灌区水土环境变迁响应因子都属于"微敏感"因子;地表水对水土环境的变迁响应相对较为强烈,其次为地下水、区域气候,而土地利用最为迟缓; 18个响应因子中最为敏感的是灌区提水量及灌溉用水量,次之为地下水水位及回归水水质。该评价模型的评价结果与当前灌区水土环境变化现状相吻合,验证了改进层次分析法在干旱扬水灌区水土环境变迁响应评价中的有效性和可操作性,可为灌区的建设和管理提供科学合理的参考依据。     

太钢防震观测站大地电场观测系统运行评价

从地电场观测原理出发,在概要分析地电场观测系统的基础上,着重介绍太钢防震观测站ZD9A地电场观测系统的运行状况,并对地电场观测数据进行相应的分析。表明,太钢防震观测站地电场观测系统运行稳定可靠,可为地震前兆研究提供相应信息。     

Benthic macrophytes as a tool for delineating, monitoring and assessing ecological status: the case of Slovenian coastal waters

Benthic macrophytes from 51 sites in the upper infralittoral zone along the Slovenian rocky coast were sampled (randomly stratified) in order to (1) confirm water body (WB) boundaries, (2) select sampling points for a surveillance monitoring programme, and (3) assess preliminary Ecological Status Classes (ESC) within the European Water Framework Directive (WFD). Coverage data of macrophytes were analyzed by using cluster analysis, Simper analysis and the Ecological Evaluation Index (EEI). The vegetation was rather homogenously classified into two Cystoseiretum crinitae subassociations: Halopithetosum incurvae, and Cystoseiretosum compressae, and into Cystoseiretum barbatae association. Seven monitoring sites at a kilometer scale were selected in two significant sized WBs following the mixing zone principle and the EEI successional model. The preliminary assessment of the ESC with the EEI was in agreement with existing human pressures in the area. In view of the present results, benthic macrophytes and EEI could be valuable tools for the implementation of the WFD within the Mediterranean eco-region.     

Integration of transfer function model and back propagation neural network for forecasting storm sewer flow in Taipei metropolis

Typhoons and storms have often brought heavy rainfalls and induced floods that have frequently caused severe damage and loss of life in Taiwan. Our ability to predict sewer discharge and forecast floods in advance during storm seasons plays an important role in flood warning and flood hazard mitigation. In this paper, we develop an integrated model (TFMBPN) for forecasting sewer discharge that combines two traditional models: a transfer function model and a back propagation neural network. We evaluated the integrated model and the two traditional models by applying them to a sewer system of Taipei metropolis during three past typhoon events (NARI, SINLAKU, and NAKR). The performances of the models were evaluated by using predictions of a total of 6 h of sewer flow stages, and six different evaluation indices of the predictions. Finally, an overall performance index was determined to assess the overall performance of each model. Based on these evaluation indices, our analysis shows that TFMBNP yields accurate results that surpass the two traditional models. Thus, TFMBNP appears to be a promising tool for flood forecasting for the Taipei metropolis sewer system. For publication in Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Analysis.     

温度变化对夏季降温耗能的影响

该文采用降温度日数作为评估夏季降温耗能的指标 ,分析了我国夏季降温度日分布和长期变化特征。温度与降温耗能相关分析表明 ,两者相关密切 ,相关程度随气温升高而增加 ;降温耗能的 1℃效应量 ,北方大于南方。文章最后 ,利用气温距平与降温度日变率建立了夏季降温耗能评估模型。     

水灾遥感实时监测与快速评估的实践与思考

总结了参加１９９１￣１９９５年间３次水灾遥感监测与评估科学实验所取得的结果，并结合国情分析，提出进一步发挥航天遥感作用，航天与航空相结合，建立一个花费较少，切实可行，能满足水灾实时监测与快速评估需要的设想。     

射电天文台址电子设备电磁辐射评估

射电望远镜具有极高的系统灵敏度,且系统内、系统间及台址内电子设备众多,电磁环境复杂,科学合理地评估台址内电子设备辐射发射对射电天文观测的影响,对系统电磁兼容性设计、无线电管理、屏蔽改造等有重要的指导意义。浅析了射电望远镜系统灵敏度及射电天文领域仪器设备辐射发射相关评估标准;基于射电望远镜系统灵敏度及观测需求,计算了南山25 m射电望远镜馈源口面干扰电平限值,并给出了天线旁瓣增益的计算方法;提出一种基于干扰电平限值、旁瓣增益、干扰测量、路径衰减的电子设备电磁辐射评估方法,并针对南山25 m射电望远镜天线驱动电磁辐射进行了评估,给出了屏蔽需求。     

Features and evaluation of sea/saltwater intrusion in southern Laizhou Bay

Understanding the degree of sea/saltwater intrusion in coastal regions is of great significance to treating the intrusion and improving the environment. Based on the character analysis of the sea/saltwater intrusion, five factors were selected in the fuzzy-synthetical evaluation approach to form the index system, so as to evaluate the degree of sea/saltwater intrusion in southern Laizhou Bay. The results show that the sea/saltwater intrusion is stronger in the middle and northern areas and weaker on the sides and in southern area; currently, the intrusion is relatively serious, and the intrusion area has covered about 68.2% of the areas under study, among which the heavily intruded area is over 50%. Based on the factors analysis of the occurrence and development of sea/saltwater intrusion, the thesis proposes treatment measures.     

喇嘛苏铜矿床斑岩体地质地球化学特征及含矿性评价

矿区内广泛发育以斜长花岗斑岩和花岗闪长斑岩为主的中酸性斑岩体。斑岩的结构特征反映出岩浆浅成侵位成因。研究表明该区斑岩具有相对富硅和富碱高钾的岩石化学特征,属钙碱性系列;具有Ｃｕ、Ａｇ、Ｂｉ等成矿元素高丰度的微量元素地球化学特征和低ΣＲＥＥ与高δＥｕ值的稀土地球化学特征。矿区内铜矿化富集在斑岩体内外接触带,斑岩体深源浅成特点和富碱高钾岩石化学特征于铜矿化富集有利。Ｃｕ、Ａｇ等成矿元素高丰度及其与矿化类型一致性说明成矿与岩浆活动有密切成因关系。     

简介加利福尼亚理工学院建筑结构健康状态的实时监测和性能评估系统

介绍了加利福尼亚理工学院建筑结构健康状态的实时监测和性能评估系统近年来的发展。该系统安装在帕斯迪纳市的加利福尼亚理工学院校园里的米利肯图书馆内。它通过互联网向全世界提供真实的实时数据。