中国大陆科学钻探主孔100～2000m岩石弹性波速度：对地震深反射的约束

在常温常压条件对中国大陆科学钻CCSD主孔岩心的700样品进行了弹性波速度测量，并建立了主孔2000m的波速(Vp和Vs)连续剖面，为检验地球物理模型的合理解释提供了岩石物理学方面的宝贵资料。主孔中新鲜榴辉岩纵波速度(Vp)最大(7.86km／s)，正副片麻岩波速最小，又分别为5.53km／s和5．71km／s，榴辉岩的波速随着退变质作用的增强而明显减小。主孔2000m总平均Vp速度为6．2km／s，它与地球物理探测方法获得的大别-苏鲁造山带上地壳具有6.2-6．3km／s高速层结论是一致的。大部分岩石具有明显地震波各向异性。水饱和度使岩石纵波(Vp)速度和剪切波速度(Vs)分别增加19％和6％，而使Vp的各向异性降低3％～4％。不同岩性界面的反射系数(Rc)是产生地震反射的主要原因。金红石榴辉岩与片麻岩之间具有很高的反射系数(0.24-0．31)。韧性剪切带中糜棱岩化片麻岩和面理化榴辉岩使岩石各向异性和反射强度明显增加。岩石微裂隙与主孔原位波速变化有密切关系。饱水岩石速度(Vp和Vs)可以代表CCSD主孔原位状态的地震波速度。上述成果为本区地震反射体成因提供了重要的岩石物理性质约束。     

Assessing the EU ETS with a bottom-up,multi-sector model

The European Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is the central pillar of the EU response against climate change. This trading mechanism is considered, from the theoretical point of view, as the most cost-effective method to reduce GHG. However, previous studies show that the agents who participate in these markets may behave in a way that may lead to inefficient CO₂ prices, creating doubts about the static and dynamic efficiency of the system. This article analyses these possible anomalies by first trying to model the ETS in a more realistic way, addressing some of the limitations of previous models, and second, by comparing the results with real market transactions. For this, a bottom-up, multi-sector model has been built, which represents the EU ETS in an integrated, cross-sectoral way, paying particular attention to the interactions among the most emissions intensive industries. The results show the benefits of this modelling approach and how it better reflects real market conditions. Some preliminary conclusions regarding the behaviour of the agents in the ETS market are also presented.

POLICY RELEVANCE

Low allowance prices in the EU ETS have put into question the dynamic efficiency of the EU ETS system, prompting various ideas for structural reform. However, determining the right reform also requires estimating correctly how agents will respond to it. This article proposes a tool to realistically simulate the EU ETS under the assumption of rational agents, and compare it to real market outcomes, in order to understand better the behaviour of agents in this carbon market, and therefore how to design better policies.     

原位低温拉曼光谱技术在人工合成CaCl2-H2O和MgCl2-H2O体系流体包裹体分析中的应用Ⅱ:低温下流体包裹体相变行为的研究

本文利用低温原位拉曼技术,对CaCl2-H2O体系和MgCl2-H20体系人工合成流体包裹体进行了研究.结果表明:对于盐浓度不同的溶液而言,可采用不同的冷冻方式有效采集低温拉曼光谱;通过系统采集不同温度下的拉曼光谱,可以直接准确地测定包裹体中流体的成分和低温相变过程.人工合成包裹体原位低温拉曼光谱的研究,为将该技术应用于天然包裹体分研究奠定了理论基础,可以预见,该技术必将在流体包裹体研究领域发挥其它方法不可替代的重要作用.     

时间域全波场各向异性弹性参数反演

从各向异性弹性波的有限元正演方程出发 ,导出了反问题中时间域雅可比矩阵求解的计算公式 .它具有与时间域有限元正演方程相同的表达形式 ,故可通过有限元正演计算来获得雅可比矩阵 .研究了有限元正演算法的效率和精度、吸收边界条件等方面的问题 ,以提高反演系统的效率和精度 .在此基础上 ,实现了叠前全波场各向异性弹性参数反演 .计算表明 ,在初始模型偏离真实模型较大的情况下 ,层状模型和横向不均匀模型的反演结果均能准确地收敛到真实模型上 .     

Tide-induced groundwater head fluctuation in coastal multi-layered aquifer systems with a submarine outlet-capping

This paper considered the tide-induced head fluctuations in two coastal multi-layered aquifer systems. Model I comprises two semi-permeable layers and a confined aquifer between them. Model II is a four-layered aquifer system including an unconfined aquifer, an upper semi-permeable layer, a confined aquifer and a lower semi-permeable layer. In each model, the submarine outlet of the confined aquifer is covered with a skin layer (“outlet-capping”). Analytical solutions of the two models are derived. In both models, leakages of the semi-permeable layers decrease the tidal head fluctuations. The outlet-capping reduces the aquifer’s head fluctuation by a constant factor and shifts the phase by a positive constant. The solution to Model II explains the inconsistency between the relatively small lag time and the strong amplitude damping effect of the tidal head fluctuations reported by Trefry and Johnston [Ground Water 1998;36:427–33] near the Port Adelaide River, Australia.     

考虑围岩软化特性和应力释放的圆形隧道黏弹塑性解

将围岩的塑性应变软化特性引入到考虑应力释放的圆形隧道黏弹塑性解中,并且在围岩的软化和残余强度阶段考虑围岩的塑性体积膨胀特性,提出了考虑塑性软化以及塑性体积膨胀和围岩应力释放的圆形隧道弹塑性解。当软化系数k = ∞、膨胀系数h = s时,该解转化为黏弹-脆塑性解;当k = 0、h = s时,则转化为黏弹-理想塑性解,进一步令h = s = 1,则转化为不考虑塑性体积膨胀的黏弹-理想塑性解。通过具体实例计算,分析了掌子面与研究断面间距x、围岩的软化系数k、膨胀系数h和s、支护结构等对围岩塑性区、破碎区半径和变形的影响。当开挖面与研究断面间距x在(0~4)D（D为隧道直径）范围内,随着时间增加塑性圈和破碎区迅速增大;超过4D,塑性区和破碎区半径增量逐渐变小,趋于稳定值;围岩中包含塑性区和破碎区时,二者半径的比值只取决于围岩的性质,与支护结构无关,但支护结构可以限制塑性区及破碎区的范围;考虑应变软化和塑性体积膨胀时,围岩径向位移和塑性区及破碎区半径均大于不考虑应变软化和塑性体积膨胀时的结果;软化系数k增大,围岩位移、塑性区和破碎区半径增加、塑性区半径和破碎区半径之间的比值变小。得到的结果对于隧道工程设计和施工具有一定的指导性和参考价值。     

裂隙介质的等效弹性模量

详细推导了弹性场的Eshelby椭球包体理论,在此基础上推导了裂隙等效弹性模量的一阶近似式（Hudson公式）。目的有二,一是填补国内献中有关该方面研究的空白;二是阐明有关公式的来龙去脉及物理意义,便于正确的应用。     

Three-dimensional quantitative analysis on granular particle shape using convolutional neural network

To identify all desired shape parameters of granular particles with less computational cost, this study proposes a three-dimensional convolutional neural network (3D-CNN) based model. Datasets are made of 100 ballast and 100 Fujian sand particles, and the shape parameters (i.e., aspect ratio, roundness, sphericity, and convexity) obtained by conventional methods are used to label all particles. For the model training, by feeding the slice images of particles into the model, the contour of particles is automatically extracted, thereby the shape parameters can be learned by the model. Thereafter, the model is applied to predict shape parameters of new particles as model testing. All results indicate the model trained based on slice images cut from three orthogonal planes presents the highest prediction accuracy with an error of less than 10%. Meanwhile, the accuracy for concave and angular particles can be guaranteed. The rotation-equivariant of the model is confirmed, in which the predicted values of shape parameters are roughly independent of orientations of the particle when cutting slice images. Superior to conventional methods, all desirable shape parameters can be obtained by one unified 3D-CNN model and its prediction is independent of particle complexity and the number of triangular facets, thus saving computation cost.     

东昆仑活动断裂带大地震之间的弹性应力触发研究

1937年以来沿青藏高原北部东昆仑断裂带发生了5个Ms≥7的地震：1937年Ms7．5花石峡地震，1963年Ms7．1都兰地震，1973年Ms7．3玛尼地震，1997年Mw7．5玛尼地震和2001年Mw7．8昆仑山口西地震。研究了大地震之间的应力转移和断层相互作用，计算了弹性半空间介质中地震断层措动在后续地震破裂面上产生的库仑破裂应力变化。结果表明，前面4个地震均造成后续地震的库仑破裂应力增加，有利于后续地震的发生。昆仑山口西地震之后应力变化场的计算表明东昆仑断裂中段的东大滩一西大难段的库仑破裂应力显增加，变化值达0．006～0．02MPa，预示看这一地区地震危险性的增加。