IPCC AR6解读：全球和区域海平面变化的监测和预估

IPCC第六次评估报告第一工作组报告第九章综合评估了与海平面相关的最新监测和数值模拟结果,指出目前（2006—2018年）的海平面上升速率处于加速状态（3.7 mm/a),并会在未来持续上升,且呈现不可逆的趋势。其中低排放情景（SSP1-1.9）和高排放情景（SSP5-8.5）下,到2050年,预估全球平均海平面（GMSL）分别上升0.15~0.23 m和0.20~0.30 m;到2100年,预估GMSL分别上升0.28~0.55 m和0.63~1.02 m。南极冰盖不稳定性是影响未来海平面上升预估的最大不确定性来源之一。区域海平面变化是影响沿海极端静水位的重要因素。     

粗大误差在船坞围堰安全施工监测中的运用与分析

船坞监测数据对船坞围堰的正常施工起着非常重要的作用,但是由于各种不正确的因素导致监测数据与实际情况不符,而这些异常测值不能通过直观的方法进行剔除,从而对船坞围堰的安全施工监控产生较大的影响,必须进行判断和处理。分别介绍了3σ（拉伊达）、Grubbs（格罗布斯）、Dixon（狄克逊）3种常用排除粗大误差的准则,并应用于具体的船坞围堰安全施工监测。结果表明,这些准则能快速、方便、有效地排除异常测值,为船坞围堰安全施工提供帮助。     

碳纤维布加固钢筋混凝土梁的现场实荷加载试验

通过对某工程中的钢筋混凝土梁采取粘贴碳纤维布的方式进行加固,并现场抽取试验梁进行了现场堆载实荷加载试验,对试验梁的挠度、裂缝开展情况和承载能力进行了全面分析,对该加固工程的效果进行了评价,供同行参考。     

华南板块南缘早中生代的逆冲推覆构造及其相关的动力学背景

作为理解华南构造演化的关键地区,在华南板块南缘的云开地体和越北的Song Chay地体发育了早中生代的向北东逆冲推覆的韧性变形.在云开地体,经历角闪岩相和绿片岩相变质的矿物指示了产状平缓的面理上发育明显的北东-南西向矿物拉伸线理.沿着这些矿物拉伸线理,具有上部指向北东的剪切变形.同位素年代学的定年结果指示了变形事件发生...     

内蒙古西部额济纳旗地区下二叠统埋汗哈达组砂岩的成岩作用

为研究工作区埋汗哈达组储层砂岩的成岩作用特征,以额济纳旗地区东南部杭乌拉和埋汗哈达2条实测剖面为例,根据薄片、阴极发光、X衍射、包裹体测温、扫描电镜等资料,并结合有机地球化学测试资料进行了综合分析。结果表明,该区埋汗哈达组储层砂岩主要成岩作用有压实作用、胶结作用和溶蚀作用,成岩阶段处于中成岩A期;早期的压实作用和胶结作用是使原生孔隙遭受破坏的主要成岩作用,后期的溶蚀作用是形成次生孔隙的重要因素,溶蚀作用在一定程度上改善了储层物性,对油气成藏具有重要意义。     

利津洼陷沙四上亚段深部砂岩的成岩环境演化

为研究利津洼陷沙四上亚段深部砂岩成岩环境,对岩心样品进行偏光、荧光、阴极发光显微镜和扫描电镜观察,辅以粘土矿物含量、元素含量测试.识别出酸性和碱性2种成岩环境,酸性环境以硅质沉淀、碳酸盐矿物溶解、长石溶解或蚀变为高岭石等现象组合为标志,碱性环境以碳酸盐矿物沉淀、长石次生加大、石英溶解等现象组合为标志.总体演化为:同生期,原始沉积流体造成碱性环境;早成岩期,未熟有机质演化形成短期的酸性环境,继承流体形成主体的碱性环境;中成岩A1期(埋深约2700～3200m),有机质成熟形成酸性环境;中成岩A2期(埋深约3200～4200m),深部断裂活动形成碱性环境;中成岩B期(埋深约4200～4400m),第二期充注油气的热演化形成酸性环境.     

南极冰盖接地线研究综述

接地线是内陆固定冰盖和漂浮冰架的分界线,其位置的准确界定直接影响到南极冰盖物质平衡的计算。随着技术的发展,接地线的提取手段已经逐步从小范围的实地无线电回波测厚和GPS探测,发展到大范围的遥感观测。遥感观测主要包括4种技术手段,即流体静力学平衡、坡度分析、重复轨道分析以及差分干涉测量。以遥感观测为基础,国际上已发布5种全南极接地线产品,包括MOA、ASAID、ICESat、MEaSUREs以及Synthesized接地线产品。随着卫星数据源的丰富,改进接地线提取方法并高精度提取接地线,扩大接地线研究的时间尺度并对全南极进行长时序的接地线动态变化监测,结合冰架底部消融、冰底地形和海洋温度等参数,深入分析其变化原因和机制以及接地线变化与气候变化相互关系的建模等,将会成为南极接地线研究的新热点。     

适用于更广渗透率范围含泥质砂岩的广义粘弹性BISQ模型

To simultaneously take into account the Biot-flow mechanism, the squirt-flow mechanism, and the frame-viscoelasticity mechanism, a generalized viscoelastic BISQ （Biot/squirt） model is developed for wave propagation in clay-bearing sandstones based on Dvorkin＇s elastic BISQ model. The present model is extended to a wide range of permeabilities （k 〉 0.05 mD） by introducing a dimensionless correction factor for viscoelastic parameters, defined as a function of the permeability and the clay content. We describe the frame＇s stress-strain relationship of the clay-bearing sandstones by the differential constitutive equations of generalized viscoelasticity and then derive the viscoelastic-wave dynamic equations. With the assumption of a plane-wave solution, we finally yield the phase velocities and the attenuation coefficients by solving the dynamic wave equations in the frequency and wave number domain. The comparison of numerical results and experimental data shows that the generalized viscoelastic BISQ model is applicable for modeling the wave propagation in most of the sandstones mainly bearing kaolinite clay.     

Evidence from Ar/Ar Ages of Individual Hornblende Grains for Varying Laurentide Sources of Iceberg Discharges 22,000 to 10,500 yr B.P.

The abundance and lithic content of ice rafted detritus in glacial North Atlantic sediment cores vary abruptly on millennial time scales that have been correlated to Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles in the Greenland ice cores. There is growing evidence that various ice sheet outlets contributed increased iceberg fluxes at multiple discrete intervals, and the relative timing of iceberg discharges from different sources is important for understanding interactions between oceans and ice sheets. We present a provenance study based on ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar dates of individual hornblende grains from 20 samples taken at 600 to 700 yr spacing between 10,500 and 22,000 yr B.P., from Orphan Knoll core EW9303-GGC31. Heinrich layers are characterized by a dominant Paleoproterozoic hornblende provenance consistent with published studies. A change in provenance between Heinrich events H2 and H1 indicates contributions of iceberg calving from the Newfoundland and southern Labrador margins. Between H1 and the Younger Dryas interval, Paleoproterozoic ice rafted grains remained dominant. The dominance of Baffin Island (or Greenland?) sources to the ice rafted detritus is ascribed to the retreat of the southern Laurentide ice sheet at about the time of H1—a retreat that isolated Newfoundland and southern Labrador ice from the shelf-slope boundary.