基于权变理论的滑坡灾害监测预报思路探讨

文章简要评述了地质灾害基础理论与应用技术发展现状、滑坡灾害多种监测预报判据的利弊。利用综合信息处理决策方法,提出了基于权变理论的滑坡灾害监测预报新思路。分析了滑坡成灾的权变特征、环境因素和决策因素,建立了滑坡灾害预报决策概念模型。进一步探讨了在预报决策中应遵循的动态性及满意性原则,为提高地质灾害监测预报理论的科学性提供了新的理论依据与技术途径。     

Population growth and the development of a central place system

This paper describes the spatial and functional evolution of a central place system as market conditions change with population growth. Utilizing a partial equilibrium optimization model, we examine the spatial response of two economic sectors to increases in market populations resulting from natural increase and migration. Response in both sectors is conditioned by threshold demand, with factor prices also affecting one of the sectors. As the central place system evolves it exhibits spatial and functional characteristics that are initially consistent with a Löschian landscape, then a Christallerian landscape at higher populations, while at even larger populations Krugman’s landscape emerges.     

填土表面倾斜时的主动土压力计算

支护结构工程中,当坡顶填土表面倾斜时,无法采用常规的土压力理论进行计算。探讨了《建筑边坡工程技术规范》存在的问题,提出了推荐方法。通过算例验证了推荐方法,具有计算简单、计算结果合理的优点,可供工程设计中参考使用。     

Coseismic responses and the mechanism behind MW 5.1 earthquake of March 14, 2005 in the Koyna–Warna region, India

An earthquake of M_w 5.1 occurred on March 14, 2005, in the seismically active Koyna–Warna region in western India, the site known for the largest reservoir triggered seismicity (RTS) in the world. For more than four decades, earthquakes with M  4.0 have occurred in this region at regular intervals. Impoundment of reservoirs and changes in lake levels can trigger earthquakes by two processes of stress modifications, namely direct loading effect of the reservoir and diffusion through various faults and fractures. In this paper we analysed the reservoir water level data at Koyna and Warna reservoirs prior to the occurrence of the March 14, 2005 earthquake, to explain the dominant mechanism behind its occurrence and its correlation with the observed coseismic changes. We conclude that the diffusion process, not the reservoir load effect, is the dominating mechanism triggering earthquakes in the region. The coseismic changes in deep well water levels sensitive to earth tides are found to be to the order of 1–12 cm.     

Composition and pre-metamorphic geodynamic setting of the ultrahigh-pressure metabasic rocks from Dabie Shan,E-China

As part of the Yangtze plate, segments of the Dabie Shan terrane of Central China underwent ultra-high pressure metamorphism during Triassic subduction. We studied the geochemistry of the abundant eclogites to evaluate the nature of the protoliths and their geodynamic setting. Although some previous geochemical work exists, the analyses and interpretation herein are based on a new subdivision of the ultra-high pressure sequence into basement and cover units (Changpu and Ganghe Unit), revealing new and important results. In addition, eclogites of the so-called HP Unit south of the UHP units were studied. Whereas the large ion lithophile elements indicate postmagmatic, metasomatic changes of some samples, the high-field strength elements and the rare earth elements display original magmatic trends. The geochemical characteristics of the eclogites of the ultra-high pressure areas display a strong dependence on their “structural” and geographic position. The eclogites of the basement and the Changpu Unit indicate melt intrusion and extrusion in a continental rift system, i.e. during extensional tectonics. In contrast, the Ganghe Unit is characterized by a pronounced chemical homogeneity. The composition of the eclogites indicates generation from a mantle source highly influenced by slab-derived fluids. Those of the HP Unit show similar characteristics. Magmatism of the Ganghe and HP Unit probably occurred in a continental arc setting. A similar age for both units, geographically and/or tectonically separated, is possible. The geodynamic interpretation based on the geochemistry of the four units points to a Neoproterozoic scenario in which the protoliths of the HP and the cover units could have been of similar age and deposited in one evolving geological system. A rift-related larger-scale basin might have formed, e.g. a continental back-arc basin behind a magmatic arc after or simultaneous to sedimentation and magmatism in the magmatic arc. Alternatively, magmatism occurred in independent geodynamic settings, distinct in time and space. The units were juxtaposed during exhumation, after subduction to varying depths.     

均匀设计与灰色理论在边坡稳定性分析中的应用

采用均匀设计安排试验,运用灰色理论中的灰色关联分析考察边坡稳定性影响因素的主次.结果表明,边坡稳定性影响因素的敏感性由大到小依次为:粘聚力、内摩擦角、重度、预应力、锚索间排距、锚索长度、锚固段长度、锚固角.可见,岩体的抗剪强度指标是影响边坡稳定性的最重要参数,其次是岩体的容重,而预应力锚索的设计参数对边坡的稳定性也有一定影响.这一分析结果为边坡开挖设计和加固方案的优化提供了重要依据.     

双作用水泵泡沫增压装置应用及前景分析

双作用水泵泡沫增压装置是利用双缸双作用水泵的高压能力将低压空气和泡沫液二次增压至水泵的额定压力,并混合产生泡沫.采用BWZ-1200双作用水泵泡沫增压装置在北京地区深度为1 000 m以下的地热井钻探中,成功地克服了地热井钻进中井内漏失和洗井的难题;在极度缺水的宁夏南部地区水井钻探中,采用BWZ-1100双作用水泵泡沫增压装置解决了水井孔内严重漏失和施工用水的难题.该装置可代替价格昂贵的高压空压机实现气举反循环钻探,应用于深地热井、深水井和油气井钻探.     

煤炭采空区处理的新方法与实例分析

位于乌鲁木齐市南湖路以西的煤炭采空区面积达67 100.5m^2,区内构造从南到北主要由八道湾向斜和七道湾背斜组成,地层产状变化不大。该矿区开采较深,且采空区塌陷区有明显的地下水活动迹象。在对深孔大体积采空区注浆时,比较各种常见注浆治理方法,均存在不同的制约因素,故决定采用灌浆爆破压密法对采空区进行压实加固。经现场爆破试验,该区重复爆破次数在3～5次左右。灌浆爆破压密处理后,对不同土层进行取样对比分析,得到其相应密度（增加）及空隙比（减少）的变化分别为：杂填土14.1%,-7.9%;素填土5.9%,-3.3%;塌落煤层7.8%,-7.7%。根据压缩数据及现场测量,处理后的土体沉降2～4m,部分空体地段的沉降量达10～20m,治理效果明显。     

Non-Linear Theory and Power-Law Models for Information Integration and Mineral Resources Quantitative Assessments

Singular physical or chemical processes may result in anomalous amounts of energy release or mass accumulation that, generally, are confined to narrow intervals in space or time. Singularity is a property of different types of non-linear natural processes including cloud formation, rainfall, hurricanes, flooding, landslides, earthquakes, wildfires, and mineralization. The end products of these non-linear processes can be modeled as fractals or multifractals. Hydrothermal processes in the Earth’s crust can result in ore deposits characterized by high concentrations of metals with fractal or multifractal properties. Here we show that the non-linear properties of the end products of singular mineralization processes can be applied for prediction of undiscovered mineral deposits and for quantitative mineral resource assessment, whether for mineral exploration or for regional, national and global planning for mineral resource utilization. In addition to the general theory and framework for the non-linear mineral resources assessment, this paper focuses on several power-law models proposed for characterizing non-linear properties of mineralization and for geoinformation extraction and integration. The theories, methods, and computer system discussed in this paper were validated using a case study dealing with hydrothermal Au mineral potential in southern Nova Scotia, Canada.     

广州航空邮件处理中心土洞及桩端软土层处理工艺研究

广州航空邮件处理中心位于岩溶发育地区,场区内存在大量土洞、溶洞等不良地质现象。该建筑物拟采用静压桩基础。为保证建筑物及场道安全,须对场区土洞进行处理。结合场地具体情况和施工工期要求,首先对大体积土洞进行泵注细石砼骨料充填处理,以消除地面大面积塌陷的危险,消灭压桩机械施工安全隐患,然后开始进行静压桩基础施工,同时在场地允许区域对中小体积土洞、桩端软土层等分别进行泵注砂浆骨料和袖阀注浆处理．以确保洞体密实和保证桩基承载力。通过对处理工艺、处理范围的比较筛选和对质量控制要点、施工技术要点的分析提炼．达到了施工简便、造价合理、安全高效的目的,并采用骨料取芯检测、土体标贯试验和压缩试验、洞体物探等多种检测手段,完全达到了设计要求,取得了良好的工程效果和经济效益。