Stress orientation and tectonic regime in the northwestern Valencia Trough from borehole data

The orientation of the maximum horizontal stress S_H is obtained from the analysis of borehole breakouts, covering a depth range from 300 to 3415 m (below sea level) in twelve offshore exploration wells in the northwestern Valencia Trough. The orientation of S_H is roughly coincident with the strike of major extensional structures. From N to S it changes counterclockwise from a NE–SW orientation to a N–S orientation. Estimates of the tectonic regimes indicate that the area is characterised predominantly by normal-faulting with a strike-slip component. Both the stress orientations and the tectonic regimes are consistent with neotectonic studies in the nearby Catalan Coastal Ranges. An established method of estimating the tectonic regime by Moos and Zoback (1990) was modified by the inclusion of a nontrivial cohesion, but this changes the results insignificantly.     

中国近百年夏季雨量场及雨带类型恢复研究

文章将气象要素场转化为秩序统计量场,用ＥＯＦ迭代方案进行气象要素场的恢复研究．利用全国４２个站点１９５１～１９９５年夏季（６～８月）雨量场资料对１９０１～１９５０年夏季雨量场进行了恢复,并在此基础上用Ｂａｙｅｓ判别法对雨带类型进行了恢复．检验表明,所恢复的资料是可靠的．     

CAR模型的阶与时滞的强一致估计

研究随机线性反馈控制系统的结构辨识问题。在已知时滞的下界和模型阶的上界的假定下，通过使修改的Ｂａｙｅｓｉａｎ信息准则最小化，推导出由多输入多输出ＣＡＮ模型描述的系统的未知阶与时滞的估计算法，证明了算法是强一致收敛的，且能在有限步内达到其模型结构参数的真值。讨论了当模型的参数矩阵不满秩时减弱条件Ｈ’ｓ的强一致估计算法。     

航母运动姿态实时预报

航母运动姿态极短期预报对飞机安全起降是十分重要的，基于对飞机起降安全的考虑，本文提出了一种新的预报方法——艏前波法。显著地增加了有效预报时间。在以往航母运动姿态极短期预报方法中，大都是根据航母运动姿态的历史数据来建模，预报都未用到有关海浪的信息。艏前波法是基于建模理论而提出来的，既用到航母的历史的观测数据，又用到波的有关信息。本方法使用简单，不仅可以保证飞机在航母甲板上安全起降，而且可以提高飞机活动的极限环境条件。     

南极乔治王岛象海豹数量的初步估计

本文通过对南极乔治王岛象海豹数量的观察,初步估计了该处的种群数量;期望能为南极象海豹资源的开发和利用提供依据。     

两类增长曲线模型误差方差估计——二次型容许估计

研究两类增长曲线模型误差方差的二次型估计的容许性，在损失函数为（ｄ－σ２）／σ４时，对这两类模型分别给出一个二次型估计在二次型估计类中可容许的充要条件     

协方差阵二次型估计可容许的充要条件

该文研究协方差阵Σ的二次型容许估计问题。设 y1,y2 ,… ,yn　 iid,n≥ 2 ,y1与 p维正态分布 N(β,Σ)有相同的前四阶矩。其中 β=(β1,β2 ,… ,βp)′∈Rp与 Σ=(σij) p× p>0均未知。记 y=Δ(y1,y2 ,… ,yn)′。在损失函数 L (d ,Σ) =tr(d -Σ) 2 下给出Σ的二次型估计在 D={ y′Ay:A≥ 0 ,A∈Rn× n}容许的充要条件     

多通道置信传播算法的核线影像密集匹配

针对航空核线影像的稠密匹配问题,该文提出了一种基于控制点与RGB三色置信传播模型的多通道置信传播算法。该算法利用点特征匹配算子提取影像的部分同名点作为区域控制点,随后将RGB 3个颜色分量都作为置信传播模型的独立基础变量,同时增加邻域像素点对的颜色差异的贡献。两组核线影像匹配实验结果表明,所提算法在使用较少参数的情况下,降低了同名点存在颜色差异造成的干扰,利用置信传播原理提高了同名点的匹配正确率,能有效进行航空核线影像的逐像素密集匹配。     

STUDY ON THE MULTIVARIATE STATISTICAL ESTIMATION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY USING FY-3 MWRI BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE DATA

A technique for estimating tropical cyclone (TC) intensity over the Western North Pacific utilizing FY-3 Microwave Imager (MWRI) data is developed. As a first step, we investigated the relationship between the FY-3 MWRI brightness temperature (TB) parameters, which are computed in concentric circles or annuli of different radius in different MWRI frequencies, and the TC maximum wind speed (Vmax) from the TC best track data. We found that the parameters of lower frequency channels’ minimum TB, mean TB and ratio of pixels over the threshold TB with a radius of 1.0 or 1.5 degrees from the center give higher correlation. Then by applying principal components analysis (PCA) and multiple regression method, we established an estimation model and evaluated it using independent verification data, with the RMSE being 13 kt. The estimated Vmax is always stronger in the early stages of development, but slightly weaker toward the mature stage, and a reversal of positive and negative bias takes place with a boundary of around 70 kt. For the TC that has a larger error, we found that they are often with less organized and asymmetric cloud pattern, so the classification of TC cloud pattern will help improve the acuracy of the estimated TC intensity, and with the increase of statistical samples the accuracy of the estimated TC intensity will also be improved.     

基于星载接收机的导航卫星自主信号监测理论研究

随着用户对卫星导航系统导航电文质量要求的提高,传统的故障监测和报警方法的响应速度已不能满足用户的需求。在分析星载接收机监测主要故障的基础上,介绍了星栽接收机的监测原理并设计了一套监测方案,该方案能够极大地提高监测卫星广播电文质量的响应速度,基本上能满足卫星导航系统导航电文质量实时监测的要求,仿真计算取得了较好结果。