矛盾符号比与区域构造的关系及其应用

通过十几年来对小震综合节面解矛盾符号比与强震关系的研究,发现矛盾符号比与区域构造有关.根据区域构造不同适当划分小区,则有的小区中矛盾符号比与强震关系明显,呈现“高-低-发震-高”的变化趋势.这样的小区形成强震孕育的“敏感点”其他小区则无明显变化.一方面可以从“敏感点”中捕捉未来大震的信息;另一方面,根据小区中矛盾符号的变化特点还可以判断地震序列的性质和预测强余震.     

Failure modes of the lineaments on Jupiter's moon, Europa: Implications for the evolution of its icy crust

Lineaments referred to as ridges, troughs, bands, and faults on the icy surface of Jupiter's moon, Europa, have long been interpreted as extensional structures due to brittle fracturing of ice and intrusion of mobile materials from the interior of the satellite. Based on detailed mapping and possibly analogous structures present on Earth, we propose that the kinematics and failure mechanisms of these structures are variable and more complex than previously thought. A dense network of structures of multiple generations, forming the background on the surface of the planet, is here interpreted as localized zones of volumetric strain, likely compaction and/or dilation bands. The next class of linear failure structures is shear bands with significant offset of pre-existing markers. A few additional phases of less pervasive but more prominent volumetric deformation bands overprint the shear zones and background network. The mode of younger features can be characterized as sharp, dilational, brittle fracturing and subsequent shearing, thereby producing comminution and fragmentation in various sizes, leading to a series of younger faults with detectable lateral, as well as vertical, offset. This rich variability in the nature of the distribution, localization, kinematics, and formation mechanisms, if true, suggests that the conditions prevailing within the crust of Europa must have changed dramatically over time. The implication of this conclusion is that structures interpreted to be compaction/dilation bands and shear bands on Europa are composed of deformed materials similar to the surrounding ice, whereas only the younger faults, developed by brittle fracturing and fragmentation, may be conduits for mobile substrate to reach the surface and thus offer the highest potential for recovering evidence for life in the satellite.     

澜沧老厂外围银铅锌铜多金属异常资源潜力评价

基于澜沧地区1：10万分散流普查结果，利用澜沧老厂地球化学异常成矿模型，确定该区地球化学异常中Pb、Zn、Ag、Cu的成矿率。根据其它地球化学异常中蕴古Pb、Zn、Ag、Cu等元素的所有金属量，对异常所含Pb、Zn、Ag、Cu资源量作出初略评价。     

Multivariate analysis and geochemical investigations of groundwater in a semi-arid region,case of superficial aquifer in Ghriss Basin,Northwest Algeria

This study aims to investigate the hydrochemical characteristics of shallow aquifer in a semi-arid region situated in northwest Algeria, and to understand the major factors governing groundwater quality. The study area is suffering from recurring droughts, groundwater resource over-exploitation and groundwater quality degradation. The approach used is a combination of traditional hydrochemical analysis methods of multivariate statistical techniques, principal component analysis (PCA), and ratios of major ions, based on the data derived from 33 groundwater samples collected in February 2014. Results show that groundwater in the study area are highly mineralized and collectively has a high concentration of chloride (as Cl^?). The dominant water types are Na-Cl (27%), Mg-HCO₃ (24%) and Mg-Cl (24%). According to the (PCA) approach, salinization is the main process that controls the hydrochemical variability. The PCA analysis reveal the impact of anthropogenic factor especially the agricultural activities on the groundwater quality. The PCA highlighted two types of recharge: Superficial recharge from effective rainfall and excess irrigation water distinguished by the presence of nitrate and lateral recharge or vertical leakage from carbonate formations marked by the omnipresence of HCO₃^?. Additionally, three categories of samples were identified: (1) samples characterized by good water quality and receiving notable recharge from carbonate formations; (2) samples impacted by the natural salinization process; and (3) samples contaminated by anthropogenic activities. The major natural processes influencing water chemistry are the weathering of carbonate and silicate rocks, dissolution of evaporite as halite, evaporation and cation exchange. The study results can provide the basis for local decision makers to ensure the sustainable management of groundwater and the safety of drinking water.     

Ricker子波核支持向量回归的Mercer条件拓展问题研究

Ricker子波核支持向量回归方法是消减地震勘探记录强随机噪声的新滤波技术.用判定支持向量允许核函数的Mercer条件探讨Ricker子波核函数的有效性,经过数值计算相应的核矩阵的最小特征值,发现在一个较大范围内存在极小的负值带,数量级为10^-13~10^-16,且在正值带中亦存在10^-13~10^-15数量级的量.考虑到正负极小量值的计算误差机理相近,认为判定核函数有效性的Mercer条件在工程应用时有可能适当放宽,即核矩阵不严格半正定,接近半正定亦可.为了将Ricker子波核支持向量回归滤波方法向实际应用发展,本文对不同的理论模型的Ricker子波核滤波和小波变换滤波、自适应维纳滤波这三种技术的效果进行了比较,包括时域波形、频域振幅谱、滤波前后的信噪比以及均方误差等方面.结果表明,Ricker子波核滤波方法优于另两种方法.为实际应用Ricker子波核滤波方法奠定基础.     

和硕5．0级地震前乌鲁木齐基准地震台钻孔应变异常分析

运用潮汐因子、加卸载响应比及相对应力场等分析方法,对1995年3月19日发生的新疆和硕MS5.0地震前乌鲁木齐基准地震台钻孔应变观测数据进行了分析处理。结果表明,在地震前30天应变日均值出现了典型的指数曲线异常;在地震前1个月相对应力发生快速变化,主应力方向也发生了快速偏转;全日波潮汐因子地震前1个月到地震前半个月期间,出现了大幅度的单峰或双峰异常变化;加卸载响应比值在地震前2个多月就开始出现成束的异常。可以认为和硕地震前乌鲁木齐基准地震台钻孔应变记录到了明显前兆短临异常。     

权重加卸载响应比及其震例检验

对加卸载响应比理论在地震预测中的应用进行分析,提出了对“正地震”和“负地震”震级根据加载库仑应力的半日潮振幅进行加权的研究思路,并应用于1999年台湾集集地震、2002年阿拉斯加Denali地震和2003年日本Hokkaido地震的震前加卸载响应比的计算。结果表明,相比较传统加卸载响应比,权重加卸载响应比更能突出震前的异常信息。     

基于云计算的九分量噪声互相关函数计算及其在China Array密集台阵数据的应用

提出一种基于云计算的九分量噪声互相关函数的计算方法,可以利用弹性的云计算服务,实现海量噪声互相关函数计算的分解和加速。本文将此技术应用于"中国地震科学台阵探测——南北地震带北段"674个宽频带台站2014~2015年的三分量连续记录,获取了所有台站间的九分量噪声互相关函数。总体计算共完成了约22万条台站对路径上近14.9亿条单天互相关函数的计算,整体平均耗时约为10.2h,完成等量计算,传统计算模式需要耗时近6个月,基于云计算的NCF计算技术实现了近400倍的加速,并可以弹性地扩充。分析了所得九分量噪声互相关函数中瑞利面波的ZH振幅比,并与天然地震中瑞利面波的振幅比进行了比较,验证了计算结果的可靠性。基于云计算的噪声互相关函数计算方法,为利用现代计算技术处理海量数据提供了重要参考。     

基于方位地震数据的地应力反演方法

在页岩油气藏的开发和勘探阶段,需要对储层进行水力压裂改造,形成有利于油气聚集和运移的裂缝.地应力是进行水力压裂改造的重要参数,能够决定裂缝的大小、方向以及分布形态,影响着压裂的增产效果,且最大和最小水平应力差异比（ODHSR,Orthorhombic Differential Horizontal Stress Ratio）是评价储层是否可压裂成网的重要因子.本文探讨了基于地震数据估算地应力的方法,以指导页岩气的水力压裂开发.首先,利用叠前方位地震数据反演得到地层的弹性参数和各向异性参数;其次,基于正交各向异性水平应力差异比近似公式,利用反演得到的弹性参数和各向异性参数估算地层的ODHSR;最后,选取某工区的裂缝型页岩储层的叠前方位地震数据对该方法进行实际应用.实际工区地震数据应用表明,基于叠前方位地震数据反演得到的ODHSR能够有效的识别储层中易于压裂成网的区域.     

泾阳MS4. 8地震的磁效应研究

以陕西关中地区地磁垂直分量(Z) 作为计算暴时扰日变化D_S (Z) 的加卸载响应参量,从D_S (Z) 的响应比值P (Z) 的变化表明, 在泾阳地震前, 靠近震中的泾阳、乾陵二台出现P (Z) ≥3. 5的异常变化,而周至、华阴台却没有这种异常变化。这表明加、卸载响应比方法可用来预测陕西关中地区的中强地震。同时,也表明在此方法的使用过程中,必须考虑台站所处的地理位置及地质构造条件。