单站资料均一性对本地气候资料趋势结果的影响

10～30 d延伸期预报在气象业务发展和国民经济服务中具有重要的作用.本文回顾了关于延伸期预报的相关理论和技术研究进展,概要介绍了国内外开展延伸期预报业务现状;结合目前气象科技发展水平,进一步分析和阐述了现阶段我国开展延伸期预报业务亟待解决的关键技术问题,旨在共同探讨和推动延伸期预报业务的发展.     

Geochemistry of regional background aerosols in the Western Mediterranean

The chemical composition of regional background aerosols, and the time variability and sources in the Western Mediterranean are interpreted in this study. To this end 2002–2007 PM speciation data from an European Supersite for Atmospheric Aerosol Research (Montseny, MSY, located 40 km NNE of Barcelona in NE Spain) were evaluated, with these data being considered representative of regional background aerosols in the Western Mediterranean Basin. The mean PM₁₀, PM_2.5 and PM₁ levels at MSY during 2002–2007 were 16, 14 and 11 µg/m³, respectively. After compiling data on regional background PM speciation from Europe to compare our data, it is evidenced that the Western Mediterranean aerosol is characterised by higher concentrations of crustal material but lower levels of OM + EC and ammonium nitrate than at central European sites. Relatively high PM_2.5 concentrations due to the transport of anthropogenic aerosols (mostly carbonaceous and sulphate) from populated coastal areas were recorded, especially during winter anticyclonic episodes and summer midday PM highs (the latter associated with the transport of the breeze and the expansion of the mixing layer). Source apportionment analyses indicated that the major contributors to PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ were secondary sulphate, secondary nitrate and crustal material, whereas the higher load of the anthropogenic component in PM_2.5 reflects the influence of regional (traffic and industrial) emissions. Levels of mineral, sulphate, sea spray and carbonaceous aerosols were higher in summer, whereas nitrate levels and Cl/Na were higher in winter. A considerably high OC/EC ratio (14 in summer, 10 in winter) was detected, which could be due to a combination of high biogenic emissions of secondary organic aerosol, SOA precursors, ozone levels and insolation, and intensive recirculation of aged air masses. Compared with more locally derived crustal geological dusts, African dust intrusions introduce relatively quartz-poor but clay mineral-rich silicate PM, with more kaolinitic clays from central North Africa in summer, and more smectitic clays from NW Africa in spring.     

南京SO2、NO2和PM10变化特征及其与气象条件的关系

利用南京市2002—2006年大气监测资料,分析了南京市大气中SO2、NO2、PM10年变化趋势及月季规律,评价了南京市空气质量状况。结果表明:5a来,SO2质量浓度呈显著上升趋势,NO2质量浓度缓慢上升,PM10质量浓度明显下降;南京市首要污染物是PM10,SO2、NO2污染较轻;3种污染物质量浓度均以夏季最低。进一步研究不同气象条件下污染物质量浓度发现,污染物质量浓度与风速反相关,且东南风时浓度最高;降水对污染物有清除作用;雾、霾天气下污染加剧;气象能见度与PM10、NO2的质量浓度反相关;污染物有明显的"周末效应",周末质量浓度值较低。     

南半球10 hPa极地涡旋的多尺度变化特征分析

利用NCEP/NCAR 10 hPa月平均高度场资料, 计算了1948\_2007年南半球10 hPa极地涡旋的强度指数P、 面积指数S和中心位置指数(λc, φc)。用它们分析了南半球10 hPa极地涡旋的季节变化、 年际异常及其可能成因, 分析了10 hPa极地涡旋强度与南极涛动的关系。结果表明： (1) 南半球10 hPa极区12月~1月受反气旋控制, 3~10月受气旋控制, 2月、 11月为环流转换季节。(2) 1(7)月反气旋(气旋)指数P\, S均在1970年代后期发生了显著的跃变; 跃变前反气旋(气旋)由极弱(极强)振荡地增强(减弱)至接近气候均值, 跃变后反气旋由极强振荡趋于气候均值, 气旋在偏弱的状态下振荡。(3) 1月反气旋中心位置存在显著的年代际变化, 而7月气旋中心位置的年际变化明显。(4) 臭氧异常可引起南半球10 hPa 1月极地反气旋年际异常(正相关), 但与7月极地气旋异常无关。(5) 1月、 7月极地涡旋强度指数P与南极涛动指数(AAOI)呈显著的负相关, 可由P来表征AAOI。     

大气污染对中国重点城市地面总辐射影响的时空特征

利用2000年6月\_2003年12月全国33个重点城市的PM10日监测数据与地面总辐射日观测数据, 结合总云量、 降水量等气象观测数据, 定量分析了人类活动排放的污染物质与地面总辐射的关系, 并分析了人类活动影响下的地面总辐射减少的时空分布特征。结果表明： 各观测站点的总辐射随着PM10浓度的增大而减小; 其空间特征表现为西北、 华北和华中地区的重点城市所受的影响较大, 而华南、 西南地区的重点城市所受影响较小; 其时间特征表现为春、 秋季影响较大, 而夏、 冬季影响相对较小\.总的来说, 在2001\_2003年人类活动产生的气溶胶使我国晴天地面总辐射减少20.1±1.9 W·m-2。     

Beryllium geochemistry in soils: evaluation of Be/Be ratios in authigenic minerals as a basis for age models

Soils contain a diverse and complex set of chemicals and minerals. Being an ‘open system’, both in the chemical and nuclear sense, soils have defied quantitative nuclear dating. However, based on the published studies of the cosmogenic atmospheric ¹⁰Be in soils, its relatively long half-life (1.5 Ma), and the fact that ¹⁰Be gets quickly incorporated in most soil minerals, this radionuclide appears to be potentially the most useful for soil dating. We therefore studied the natural variations in the specific activities of ¹⁰Be with respect to the isotope ⁹Be in mineral phases in eight profiles of diverse soils from temperate to tropical climatic regimes and evaluated the implications of the data for determining the time of formation of soil minerals, following an earlier suggestion [Lal et al., 1991. Development of cosmogenic nuclear methods for the study of soil erosion and formation rates. Current Sci. 61, 636–639.]. We find that the ¹⁰Be/⁹Be ratios in both bulk soils and in the authigenic mineral phases are confined within a narrower range than in ¹⁰Be concentrations. Also, the highest ¹⁰Be/⁹Be ratios in authigenic minerals are observed at the soil-rock interface as predicted by the model. We present model ¹⁰Be/⁹Be ages of the B-horizon and the corresponding soil formation rates for several soil profiles. The present study demonstrates that the ¹⁰Be/⁹Be ratios in the authigenic phases, e.g. clay and Fe-hydroxides, can indeed be used for obtaining useful model ages for soils younger than 10–15 Ma. However, the present work has to be pushed considerably further, to take into account more realistic age models in which, for instance, downward transport ¹⁰Be and clays, and in-situ dissolution of clay minerals at depths, altering the ¹⁰Be/⁹Be ratios of the acidic solutions, are included. We show that in the case of younger soils (< 1 Ma) studied here, their ¹⁰Be inventories and ¹⁰Be/⁹Be ratios have been significantly disturbed possibly by mixing with transported soils.     

天山南缘北轮台断裂库尔楚段晚第四纪的最新活动和滑动速率

使用全站仪实测了天山南麓北轮台逆断裂库尔楚段阿克艾肯－喀腊萨喀腊阿塔木冲洪积扇断层崖地形地貌，采用^10Be测年方法测定了该冲洪积扇的形成年龄，得到该断裂段垂直位移滑动速率为0.48mm/a、0.85-1.0mm/a和1.52mm/a，并对该断裂段的水平缩短速率和天山第四纪水平缩短量进行了讨论。     

Cu、Co、Ni、Ti和Mg在成岩型铁锰结核中的地球化学特征

选择了东太平洋赤道附近的系列成岩型铁锰结核(壳)样品,根据其中的矿物相的种类,利用化学上的相分析手段——选择性提取实验,借助晶体化学和矿物学手段对过渡金属元素Cu、Co、Ni、Ti和碱土金属元素Mg在成岩型铁锰结核中的地球化学特征进行了研究。结果显示,元素Cu、Co、Ni、Ti和Mg等元素在成岩型铁锰结核中的富集受这些元素在海水中的存在状态和结核中组成矿物这两方面因素的制约。成岩型结核中10-水锰矿结构的稳定性并不完全是由于其充分吸收了Cu、Co、Ni等过渡金属元素,碱土金属Mg对于10-水锰矿结构的稳定性起到了重要作用。     

北京降尘宇宙成因核素^14C和^10Be分布特征木——祝贺刘东生先生九十华诞

对2006年4月北京降尘进行了^10Be，^14C和δ^13C等项分析，初步结果显示：降尘^10Be浓度与黄土比较接近，降尘中黑炭的δ^13C数值与黄土有机质接近；降尘中黑炭的^14C年龄大致可划分为两个特征区间，反映了降尘物质有两大源区。本工作在刘东生先生指导下完成，谨以此文祝贺刘先生九十华诞。     

南黄海、东海陆架及冲绳海槽北部 沉积物的10 Be和9 Be记录*

文章讨论了南黄海泥质区、东海陆架及冲绳海槽北部表层沉积物和柱状岩芯中¹⁰ Be及⁹ Be含量的水平和垂直分布,并与重金属Pb的分布进行了比较。表层沉积物中的¹⁰ Be,⁹ Be和Pb三者表现出完全不同的分布特征。¹⁰ Be的分布主要受黑潮及其支流黄海暖流所支配; ⁹ Be的分布受黄河陆源物质输入的影响,主要集中在南黄海泥质区; Pb则主要分布在长江口和琉球群岛附近,反映了人类活动的影响。冲绳海槽北部末次冰期和全新世时¹⁰ Be的沉积通量变化在整体上反映了¹⁰ Be大气生产率的变化,即地球磁场屏蔽效应的影响。03孔全新世时¹⁰ Be的沉积通量 (1.12×10⁹atoms/cm²ka)基本上等于¹⁰ Be的现代大气平均生产率,而在末次冰期时平均为4.06×10⁹atoms/cm²ka, 高于¹⁰ Be 的现代大气平均生产率3倍以上。在冲绳海槽由于黑潮的缘故,¹⁰ Be对气候的变化响应要比极地冰芯的¹⁰ Be变化响应灵敏的多,对气候变化信号起了放大的作用。冰期时冲绳海槽北部¹⁰ Be的沉积通量远远高于太平洋大洋海区,充分反映了黑潮的传送带作用和边缘海的聚焦沉积作用,并表明末次冰期时在千年尺度上黑潮仍流经冲绳海槽,且强度并未减弱。 ¹⁰ Be的通量在新仙女木时降到整个岩芯所跨时期的最低点,甚至低于¹⁰ Be的现代大气平均生产率,因此推测在新仙女木事件时,黑潮的变动特别大,有可能改向或断流。