Theoretical Study on Stochastic Modeling of Combined Gravity-Magnetic-Electric-Seismic Inversion and Its Application

As gravity field,magnetic field,electric field and seismic wave field are all physical fields,their object function,reverse function and compound function are certainly infinite contiuously differentiable func-tions which can be expanded into Taylor (Fourier) series within domain of definition and be further reduced in-to solving stochastic distribution function of series and statistic inference of optimal approximation,This is the basis of combined gravity-magnetic-electric-seismic inversion built on the basis of separation of field and source gravity-magnetic difference-value(D-value)trend surface,taking distribution-independent fault sys-tem as its unit,depths of seismic and electric interfaces of interests as its corresponding bivariate compound re-verse function of gravity-magnetic anomalies and using high order polynomial(high order trigonometric func-tion)approximating to its series distribution,The difference from current dominant inversion techniques is that,first,it does not respectively create gravity-seismic,magnetic-seismic deterministic inversion model from theoretical model,but combines gravity-magnetic-electric-seismic stochastic inversion model from stochastic model;second,after the concept of equivalent geological body being introduced,using feature of independent variable of gravity-magnetic field functions,taking density and susceptibility related to gravity-magnetic func-tion as default parameters of model,the deterministic model is established owing to better solution to the con-tradictioc of difficulty in identifying strata and less test analytical data for density and susceptibility in newly explored area;third,under assumption of independent parent distribution,a real modeling by strata,the prob-lem of difficult plane closure arising in profile modeling is avoided,This technology has richer and more detailed fault and strata information than sparse pattern seismic data in newly explored area,successfully inverses and plots structural map of Indosinian discontinuty in Hefei basin with combined gravity-magnetic-electric-seismic inversion,With development of high precision gravity-magnetic and overall geophysical technology,it is certain for introducing new methods of stochastic modeling and computational intelligence and promoting the develop-ment of combined gravity-magnetic-electric-seismic inversion to open a new substantial and promoting the develop-ment of combined gravity-magnetic-electric-seismic inversion to open a new substantial path.     

用非线性多因子动态组合方法作降水概率预报

将逐时段定点降水预报这个以往一般作为非连续量处理的预报问题转化为对一个连续的降水可能函数的预报问题。降水可能函数为一由实况值确定的函数。因为现在模式变化较快，且许多因子和降水可能函数为非线性关系，文章采用一种新的非线性多因子动态组合方法，通过对降水可能函数的预报，作客观分站降水概率预报。     

地震预测的构造物理模型研究

在系统收集和分析中国大陆的活动构造、地震活动和地球物理场资料的基础上，初步圈定出769个构造物理潜在震源，并对其中477个位于主要强震区、带内的潜在震源进行了空间几何定量描述和基本震源参数的系统分析，在GIS平台上开发了分析系统，逐一计算了每一潜在震源的十年发震概率，圈定了1999～2008年的强震危险区，根据发震概率的大小对危险区的危险性进行分类。近几年发生的强震与预测结果的对比检验结果表明，用构造物理模型确定的十年地震危险区具有较好的预测效果。     

ω循环型边界条件

通过利用预条件共轭梯度法对对称正定Toeplitz 矩阵系统进行分析，重点介绍了一种新的嵌入式预条件矩阵构造方法，证明了以前的预条件矩阵构造方法大都是这种方法的特例.提出了ω循环型边界条件，并将其与普通循环型及螺旋型边界条件作了分析、比较后得到了一种新的边界条件即混合型边界条件.     

重力场中的完整坐标与非完整坐标

阐明重力场中完整坐标系、非完整坐标系及其之间的转换关系以及完整坐标系的存在对大地测量的意义．指出水准测量中的理论闭合差是由于它所参照的局部笛卡尔坐标系是一个非完整坐标系导致的，并给出了计算理论闭合差的严密公式．     

对“对‘径流的趋势分析和概率预测’一文的商榷”的答复

承蒙崔振才、田文苓两同志对“径流趋势分析和概率预测”一文提出了讨论意见。     

水资源资产均衡代际转移研究

本文分析了水资源开发利用模式与代际转移的关系，研究了水资源资产均衡代际转移模型，探讨了贴现率在代际转移中的作用。     

极化分析研究及其在波场分离中的应用

不同的波在空间的质点运动轨迹和极化方向是不同的，利用三分量或二分量记录，在特定的以ｔ０为中心，长为Ｎ△ｔ的滑动时窗中计算出描述波的质点运动轨迹和极化方向的特征参数。利用这些参数可以设计出合适的极化滤波函数，保留那些满足特定要求的质点运动，而衰减那些不满足设计要求的质点运动，利用某些算子可以把弹性波分解成Ｐ波和ＳＶ波，而且衰减面波；利用另外一些算子可以把Ｐ波和ＳＶ波衰减而使面波增强。这些算子甚至可以在嗓音和信号具有相同频率的情况下，成功地提高信嗓比。     

X2检验假设分布有效性的岩体工程应用

在工程地质问题中许多现象是不确定、且具有随机分布的特性，而这种随机分布特性往往可以采用某种形式的密度函数来描述。采用Ｘ２检验假设分布有效性是一个重要的方法，采用该法可以获得观测数据最佳拟合的概率模型，通过自编程序可以同时检验多种概率密度函数并选取最佳模型。本文将介绍这一方法，并通过一个实例加以说明。