基于随机集合的非传统型有效波极值模型

The analysis and design of offshore structures necessitates the consideration of wave loads. Realistic modeling of wave loads is particularly important to ensure reliable performance of these structures. Among the available methods for the modeling of the extreme significant wave height on a statistical basis, the peak over threshold method has attracted most attention. This method employs Poisson process to character- ize time-varying properties in the parameters of an extreme value distribution. In this paper, the peak over threshold method is reviewed and extended to account for subjectivity in the modeling. The freedom in selecting the threshold and the time span to separate extremes from the original time series data is incorpo- rated as imprecision in the model. This leads to an extension from random variables to random sets in the probabilistic model for the extreme significant wave height. The extended model is also applied to different periods of the sampled data to evaluate the significance of the climatic conditions on the uncertainties of the parameters.     

褐藻纲海带目Laminaria属和Saccharina属基于三个分子标记的系统发育分析

In the past two decades, many studies have focused on the classification within genus Laminaria, ultimately trying to divide it into two subgroups or genera: Laminaria and Saccharina. A significant debate still surrounds the question of its division, as the conflicting phylogenetic hypotheses that have resulted from the classification studies are based on different taxon sampling, molecular markers, or analysis methods. It is aimed at elucidate the molecular phylogeny within Laminaria and Saccharina. The nine species of Laminariales are sampled from northern Asia and Europe, and 23 new sequences in the nuclear, plastid, and mitochondrial genomes are determined to identify their taxonomic status. The phylogenetic analyses of 71 species are performed, including representatives from six of the seven families of the order Laminariales, based on three separate data sets. An evidence is provided to strongly support a clear split that maintains the two recognized genera, Laminaria and Saccharina, with Laminaria appearing to be the ancestor group. Further, analyses indicate that all taxa in Saccharina and Laminaria did not form a monophyletic lineage, instead Laminariaceae and Lessoniaceae grouped together interlacedly, and Costariaceae appeared as the sister taxon of the Lessoniaceae–Laminariaceae clade. In the phylogenetic analysis, mitochondrial c oxidase I(COI) sequences appeared to be the most credible molecular marker which was more befitting than nuclear encoded internal transcribed spacer(ITS) and plastid encoded rbcL for establishment of Laminariales systematics. It is the most comprehensive phylogeny of the order Laminariales, and contributes to an enhanced understanding and estimation of the phylogenetic relationships for the economically important seaweeds, Laminaria and Saccharina.     

组合导航中一种新息自适应卡尔曼滤波算法

全球定位系统/航位推算组合导航定位中,由于目标运动的不确定性,GPS接收机与DR器件接收的数据存在噪声,使预置目标运动模型通常很难得到较高跟踪精度,针对应用常规卡尔曼滤波进行组合导航解算由于噪声统计特性未知而引起滤波不稳定的问题,本文提出了一种基于新息序列的量测计算进行自适应估计的卡尔曼滤波算法。该算法通过对新息方差强度进行极大似然估计,将新息计算引入卡尔曼滤波器的增益计算,达到控制发散的目的。最后对改进的算法与一般卡尔曼滤波算法做了对比仿真试验分析,结果表明了改进算法的有效性。     

利用HHT-EEMD方法分析云南区域GNSS应变时序孕震信息

地震的孕育和发生本质上都是地壳内部应力、应变能逐渐积累并突然或缓慢释放的结果,研究应变的变化过程对于地震危险性的判定具有重要意义。本文基于云南区域2013—2019年GNSS格网应变时间序列,利用专门适用于非线性非平稳信号处理的热门时频分析方法—整体经验模态分解（ensemble empirical mode decomposition,EEMD）的希尔伯特-黄变换（Hilbert-Huang transform,HHT）分析方法,探索云南区域中强地震前GNSS应变时序的时-频-能量分布特征,尝试挖掘应变时频信号中所携带的孕震信息。利用23号、42号格网对应的地震进行震例分析,结果显示：EEMD具有分频剖面的类似特征,它能够依据数据的时间特征尺度进行信号分解,较好地剖析信号在不同频率尺度上的变化特征;Hilbert变换能够通过瞬时频率、瞬时振幅等方式突出信号的局部瞬时特性,在固有模态分量（intrinsic mode functions,IMF）异常曲线识别无效的情况下仍能凸显异常;通过EEMD、残差趋势项分析、IMF异常识别和Hilbert变换综合动态分析应变时间序列的分析方法,能够在部分地震前夕发现一些潜在异常信息,为未来云南区域强震危险地点的判定提供一定的参考。     

阶段模型修正的星载GNSS-R土壤湿度反演方法EI北大核心CSCD

本文提出了一种基于CYGNSS数据的星载GNSS-R土壤湿度反演方法。首先,基于CYGNSS数据提取地表反射率参数,联合SMAP数据中提取的植被光学厚度、地表粗糙度和温度等辅助信息,初步构建了土壤湿度反演理论模型,并利用神经网络模型确定了土壤湿度反演的精细数学模型;然后,将该模型处理获得的土壤湿度以35%为分界点,利用本文提出的阶段函数模型提高反演精度,并使用2018年10月—2019年5月的CYGNSS数据,获得了全球范围内星载GNSS-R土壤湿度;最后,通过与SMAP提供的土壤湿度数据进行对比,评估了本文提出的星载GNSS-R土壤湿度反演方法的有效性,并对获取的星载GNSS-R土壤湿度进行了时间序列分析。结果表明,本文提出的土壤湿度反演方法的结果与SMAP土壤湿度具有良好的一致性,且随时间变化的趋势也相符合,为高精度土壤湿度反演提供了一种思路。     

全吉地块金泉山—化石沟一带古生代 花岗质岩体地球化学及其构造意义

柴达木盆地北缘之全吉地块花岗质岩体大量发育,具多期次多阶段特征。通过对全吉地块金泉山—化石沟一带古生代花岗质岩体岩石学、岩石化学特征及单颗粒锆石U-Pb同位素定年,发现该区花岗岩有4次侵入,侵入时代分别为早奥陶世(471~476Ma)、中奥陶世(459±5Ma)、早志留世(423±4Ma)和中泥盆世(366±2Ma)。岩石地球化学研究显示,该4期花岗岩均具典型的钙碱性特征,轻稀土富集、重稀土轻度亏损、Eu轻微负异常—正异常,大离子亲石元素K2O、Rb、Ba、Th等相对强烈富集,高场强元素Nb、Ta、Hf、Zr及Yb明显亏损,除第4期岩体即具I型,又具S花岗岩特征外,其它各期次均属I型花岗岩,总体显示岩体具壳源特征,为板块碰撞前消减地区花岗岩,研究推测,金泉山—化石沟一带古生代花岗质岩体第1、2组年龄为全吉地块与柴达木陆块碰撞的时代,第3组年龄反映了深俯冲地下的板块由于拆沉而折返的时代,第4组年龄为碰撞隆起后造山带伸展、滑塌的时代。     

基于地层结构组合的第四纪地质单元划分研究——以皖江经济带沿江丘陵平原区为例

为支撑地质条件复杂地区的水文地质、工程地质和环境地质调查研究,在皖江经济带沿江丘陵平原区通过系统分析第四纪地层的岩性、结构、构造等组合,以地貌以及第四系成因、沉积相和沉积物物源为指标,结合已有区域第四纪研究成果以及年代地层和岩石地层划分标准,进行皖江沿江丘陵平原区“第四纪地质单元”划分,共划分出冲积-湖积平原地质单元、洪积-坡积岗地地质单元和残积-剥蚀丘陵地质单元3个一级地质单元,总结了7种类型第四纪地层结构组合及其特征,为区域水文地质和工程地质调查与研究奠定了基础。     

Zircon U-Pb ages and geochemistry of the monzonitic granite in Rongguo area in Middle Gangdise Belt

In order to determine the geochronology, petrogenesis and tectonic background of the monzonitic granite in Rongguo area, the authors conducted the research on petrology, LA-ICP-MS zircon U-Pb geochronology and geochemistry. The results show that the zircons from the monzonitic granite are of magmatic genesis, and the zircon ²⁰⁶Pb/²³⁸U dating is (69±1) Ma, belonging to the Late Cretaceous. Al₂O₃, Na₂O, K₂O contents and K₂O/Na₂O ratio are 13.83%~14.41%, 3.68%~3.94%, 4.28%~4.35% and 1.08~1.18 respectively. The average aluminum saturation index (A/CNK) is 1.02, belonging to the weak peraluminous series. The rocks are enriched in LILE (Rb,U,K), strongly depleted in HFSE (Nb, Ta, Ti, etc.). Combined with the study of regional tectonics, the authors insisted that magma activity had not stopped from 80 to 69 Ma. The rock mass is the magmatic product of the subduction of the Neo-Tethys Ocean, forming in the orogenic environment during the whole orogenic movement period.     

北祁连下古城花岗岩体LA ICP MS锆石U Pb年代学及岩石化学特征

下古城花岗岩体分布于北祁连造山带南缘,岩性主要为石英闪长岩—花岗闪长岩,SiO2质量分数在58.78%~69.53%之间,Al2O3含量为14.30%~15.30%之间,A/CNK为0.86~1.08,属准铝质—弱过铝质,钙碱性—高钾钙碱性系列的I型花岗岩。整体上,具有低SiO2,高CaO、FeOT和MgO的岩石地球化学特征。稀土总量(ΣREE)为87.22×10-6~150.54×10-6,ΣLREE/ΣHREE为6.24~11.11,表明轻重稀土弱分异。富集大离子亲石元素Rb、Th、U、Pb、La等,亏损高场强元素Nb、Ta、P、Ti等,说明下古城花岗岩主要由壳源物质部分熔融形成。锆石原位Lu-Hf同位素分析结果表明,石英闪长岩的εHf(t)=-5.7~-0.7,二阶段模式年龄(tDM2)为1.51~1.83Ga,暗示源岩可能主要为中元古代增生的地壳物质。LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb年代学结果表明,下古城石英闪长岩的侵位年龄为505.4±4.1Ma(MSWD=0.78,n=21),与北祁连造山带南缘的柯柯里花岗岩(512Ma~501Ma)、野马咀花岗岩(~508Ma)形成的地球动力学背景相似,均属于北祁连洋向南俯冲活动大陆边缘的岛弧环境。     

东昆仑祁漫塔格晚志留世—早泥盆世花岗岩： 年代学、地球化学及形成环境

东昆仑祁漫塔格构造—岩浆岩带发育大量与加里东期造山有关的花岗岩,对其进行研究不仅能为祁漫塔格早古生代构造演化提供新信息,而且对探讨整个东昆仑造山带的动力学演化过程具有重要的意义。本文报道祁漫塔格东部那棱郭勒河东黑云母二长花岗岩及祁漫塔格乌兰乌珠尔钾长花岗岩的锆石U Pb年龄和地球化学数据,并对研究区晚志留世—早泥盆世花岗岩成因及其构造意义进行探讨。本区的黑云母二长花岗岩、钾长花岗岩的LA ICP MS锆石U Pb年龄分别为4206 ±26Ma、4212 ±19Ma。祁漫塔格晚志留世—早泥盆世花岗岩类整体属高钾钙碱性准铝—过铝质花岗岩,稀土配分曲线为轻稀土元素相对富集、重稀土元素相对平坦、中等负铕异常, 微量元素表现为大离子亲石元素Rb、Th相对富集,高场强元素Nb、Sr、P、Ti亏损的特征;该时期为后碰撞构造环境,岩石成因类型以高钾钙碱性 I 型花岗岩为主,但同时出露同时期S型花岗岩,推测在同碰撞挤压造山作用向后碰撞区域拉伸构造体制（约420Ma）的转换时期,产生了具有A型花岗岩特征的花岗岩、高钾钙碱性 I 型花岗岩及过铝质花岗岩。