2009年3月中旬新疆融雪型洪水气象成因分析

利用1950-2006年的新疆融雪型洪水灾情资料对新疆地区融雪型洪水发生特点进行了分析.结果表明:新疆地区融雪型洪水多发生在天山北坡,特别是伊犁河谷和塔城地区是融雪型洪水的多发区域.3月中旬到4月上旬为融雪型洪水的多发时期.在此基础上,从气候背景、天气诊断分析等方面对2009年3月中旬融雪型洪水的气象成因进行了分析和研究,得出:2009年2月降水明显偏多为3月中旬融雪洪水的发生提供了基础条件,而3月中旬冷空气过后气温持续迅速回升是此次融雪洪水发生的主要气象因素.持续迅速升温过程中,平均气温由负转正、最高气温高于5℃以及暖平流中心出现时间对融雪型洪水预报具有指示意义.     

变化环境下武江超定量洪水门限值响应规律及影响

世界众多江河洪水超定量(POT)系列门限值已发生变化,门限值选取不当会影响频率分析合理性。结合历史洪水资料,采用洪水POT理论分析变化环境下武江门限值响应规律及影响。结果表明:武江流域下垫面植被和径流系数在1991年明显改变,变化环境下不仅洪水门限值显著增大,且超过特定量级洪水的发生次数也在增加,POT模型能捕捉洪水在量级和发生次数方面的变化信息。分别选用变化环境前后门限值来推算设计洪峰,当重现期大于200年时,坪石站差异度达19.21%,犁市站达8.12%以上。选用变化环境后高门限值可有效提高线型对大洪水的拟合程度和设计洪水计算精度。     

沙丘前沿区产汇流特点研究及其在设计洪水计算中的应用

对沙丘前沿区的产汇流机制进行了探讨,分析地表产流面积随着降雨量不同而发生动态变化的规律,研究该区域的设计洪水计算新方法.其结果为沙丘出流河流的相似流域设计洪水计算提供借鉴.     

皇甫川流域次洪水沙特征值变化特点

黄河流域径流量呈现锐减趋势,径流锐减突出表现在中游河口镇至龙门区间。以河龙区间皇甫川流域为典型支流,选择19542012年洪峰流量大于100m3/s的洪水共271场,分析了次洪水沙特征值的变化。得出如下结论:近些年洪水发生次数和年最大洪峰流量高值出现次数均有减少趋势;次洪洪量和次洪沙量基本呈现逐年代减少的趋势,沙量减少幅度远大于洪量的减幅;涨洪历时比较短,峰型普遍偏尖瘦;洪峰流量大的洪水的基流量占洪量的百分比明显低于洪峰流量小的洪水对应的比值。     

High resolution records of flood deposition in the mud area off the Changjiang River mouth during the past century

This paper presents a paleoflood study to determine the flood frequency of the Changjiang River, based on core cj0702, taken from the Changjiang River subaqueous delta. We identified flood deposits by means of high-resolution grain-size variation, sensitive population, geochemical indexes and magnetic susceptibility. The core covers a time span of 120 years by 210 Pb dating and was sampled at 1–2 cm intervals. Grain size, geochemical elements, and physical parameters were analyzed. The results indicate that the sediment of the core is mainly composed of silt and clay, as well as groups of interbedded silt, clay silt, and clay. Vertically, the grain size pattern was controlled by seasonal variations in water discharge and by the sediment input in winter from the abandoned Huanghe River delta. River flooding caused extreme values in all our measured parameters. We identified more than 20 flood events that occurred since 1887 using the physical parameter analysis method. The environmentally sensitive component of sediment grain size(14.32–96.39 μm) contribution30%, Zr/Rb ratio1.5, and magnetic susceptibility16 were selected as the criteria for flood identification generally. We also found that floods that had taken place in the upstream, midstream, or downstream parts of the river were clearly identified by these indexes while the large-scale floods that covered the whole drainage area did not leave clear indications in the sediment record. This study for identification of flood events is of great significance for understanding hyperpycnal current sedimentation as well as for forecasting of floods.     

Simplified Wave Models Applicability to Shallow Mud Flows Modeled as Power-Law Fluids

Simplified wave models- such as kinematic,diffusion and quasi-steady- are widely employed as a convenient replacement of the full dynamic one in the analysis of unsteady open-channel flows,and especially for flood routing.While their use may guarantee a significant reduction of the computational effort,it is mandatory to define the conditions in which they may be confidently applied.The present paper investigates the applicability conditions of the kinematic,diffusion and quasisteady dynamic shallow wave models for mud flows of power-law fluids.The power-law model describes in an adequate and convenient way fluids that at low shear rates fluids do not posses yield stress,such as clay or kaolin suspensions,which are frequently encountered in Chinese rivers.In the framework of a linear analysis,the propagation characteristics of a periodic perturbation of an initial steady uniform flow predicted by the simplified models are compared with those of the full dynamic one.Based on this comparison,applicability criteria for the different wave approximations for mud flood of power-law fluids are derived.The presented results provide guidelines for selecting the appropriate approximation for a given flow problem,and therefore they may represent a useful tool for engineering predictions.     

长白山天池火山溃湖洪水最大流量的初步估算及影响分析

长白山天池火山是目前最具潜在喷发危险的活火山。依据长白山天池火山的最新监测研究成果,结合地形地貌、水文流域特点及天池火山历史喷发类型,重点分析了长白山天池火山未来喷发时发生溃湖洪水的危险性。利用相关的水动力学公式,建立了溃口规模和洪水湿周、流量和流速的内在关系。详细分析溃湖洪峰在下游二道白河镇、白山水电站、红石水电站等关键位置的最大流量及流速。结果表明,若天池火山湖水溃泄一半即10亿m3时,距火山口50km处的二道白河镇瞬时洪水流速达84 904m3/s,该镇将全部被淹没。下游的白山水库、丰满水库将分别受到流量23 560m3/s和1 505m3/s洪水的冲击,水库安全受到严重威胁。     

罗氏沼虾溞状幼体的形态特征

罗氏沼虾的幼体变态发育需经过多次蜕皮,每次蜕皮均伴随形态及附肢特征的改变。采用显微观测摄像法对Z1-Z12各期幼体样本30尾进行观察测量,结果显示:Z2与Z1在复眼上存在较大的差异;Z3的主要特征为尾节与第六腹节分界;Z4尾扇分为内肢和外肢,均具羽状刚毛;Z5无腹足,尾节狭长,且末端平直;Z6的腹部出现腹足萌芽;Z7腹肢芽延长分为内外肢,Z7与Z8的分期特征主要位于第1触角的内鞭、外鞭的分枝上;Z8的第1、第2对步足具不完全的螯;Z9第1、2对步足具完全的螯;Z10后额角上缘的齿刻增多,Z11第1触角内鞭和外鞭分节数量比Z10多;Z12的形态与成虾相似,额角上、下缘均有齿刻。     

The hydrological effect between Jingjiang River and Dongting Lake during the initial period of Three Gorges Project operation

Based on the measured hydrological data from 1951 to 2008, the chain hydrological effect between Jingjiang River and Dongting Lake is analyzed by comparative method after the Three Gorges Project operation. The result indicates that 1) the scouring amount in Jingjiang River made up 78.9% of the total from Yichang to Chenglingji, and its average scouring intensity was higher than the latter; 2) the water and sand diversion rates at the three outlets of the Jingjiang River were reduced by 2.33% and 2.78% separately; 3) the proportion of multi-year average runoff and sediment through the three outlets in the total into the Dongting Lake decreased by 7.7% and 24.4% respectively; 4) in Dongting Lake, the speed of sediment accumulation was lowered by 26.7%, in flood season, the runoff amount was 20.2% less than the multi-year average value, leading to seasonal scarcity of water year by year. The former prolonged the lake life, while the latter induced droughts in summer and fall in successive years, shortage of drinking and industrial water, shipping insecurity, as well as ecological problems such as decrease of birds and quick increase of Microtus fortis; 5) The multi-year average values of sediment and flood transporting capacity at the lake outlet were respectively increased by 26.6% and 3.7%, the embankments were protected effectively. Then, to adapt to the new change of the river-lake relation, some suggestions were put forward, such as optimizing further operation program of the Three Gorges Reservoir, reexamining the idea of river and lake regulation, and maintaining connection of the river and the lake.     

新生代时期内蒙古的主要哺乳动物群

<正>新生代是哺乳动物最为繁盛的时期,但这并不说明哺乳动物是从新生代才开始有的,实际上哺乳动物发生在中生代时期。目前研究,内蒙古最早的哺乳动物化石出现于白垩纪时期,它们是一类个体小巧、高度特化的、食植物的动物,依据其头骨和齿型等骨骼特征,命名为多瘤齿兽类。由于优胜劣汰自然法则的规律性和生物进化发展的不可逆性,它们在新生代早期就绝灭了。