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基于AGA的SVM需水预测模型研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
需水预测是一个由城市人口、工业水平、社会经济水平共同作用的多因素、多层次的复杂非线性系统.其结果将直接影响受区域水资源承载力约束的产业结构、布局形态等决策.作为一种集中参数预报方法,支持向量机方法具有对未来样本的较好的泛化性能,对于这类资料缺乏、系统结构尚欠清晰的问题可以取得较好的模拟和预测结果.基于此,本文将支持向量机方法引入需水预测领域,建立了需水预测支持向量机模型.同时,本文将加速遗传算法和支持向量机方法耦合起来,构造了支持向量机模型参数的自适应优化算法.模型在珠海市的应用实例表明:与简单遗传算法比较,AGA的模型参数寻优效率更高;与BP神经网络模型相比,SVM模型较好地解决了小样本、经验性等问题,并取得了较高的预测精度. 相似文献
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1 .Introduction Owing to the decline of capture fisheries andsaturation of traditional inshorefarms ,sea cage cul-ture as a newtype of aquaculture is developingrapidlyin China .However ,cage culture is a highriskoperation.The practice is vulnerable to natural hazards ,such as strong tides ,storms and typhoons .So,it is necessaryto assess the behavior of a sea cage exposedto waves and current before the designandinstallation of the structure . Computer simulation,due to its many advantages ,ha… 相似文献
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The aim of this paper is to investigate the shape and tension distribution of fishing nets in current. A numerical model is developed, based on lumped mass method to simplify the net. The motion equation is set up for each lumped mass. The Runge–Kutta–Verner fifth-order and sixth-order method is used to solve these simultaneous equations, and then the displacement and tension of each lumped mass are obtained. In order to verify the validity of the numerical method, model tests have been carried out. The results by the numerical simulation agree well with the experimental data. 相似文献
5.
Eurgain H. John Sonia D. Batten Roger P. Harris Graeme C. Hays 《Journal of Sea Research》2001,46(3-4)
Zooplankton sampling has been carried out by the Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) survey since the 1930s enabling the study of long-term changes in plankton populations, the elucidation of seasonal patterns of abundance, and more recently providing zooplankton biomass estimates for ecosystem models. Data for zooplankton abundance collected by CPR tows in the Western English Channel (between 1988 and 1998) were compared to vertically integrated samples collected from station L4 off Plymouth, UK. Comparisons were made for locally abundant copepods (including Acartia, Calanus, Para/Pseudocalanus, Centropages, Oithona and Temora) collected by CPR and WP-2 nets. All dominant species recorded at L4 were also common to the CPR data. However, the position of the taxa in the two datasets was not equivalent. Seasonal cycles revealed by CPR data were significantly similar to those recorded throughout the water column at L4 for most taxa. However, absolute levels of abundance differed for the two datasets: abundances were underestimated by CPR samples when compared to those of vertically integrated samples by a factor of between 2 and 35, with the exception of Centropages. The differing mesh sizes (200 and 270 μm) of the WP-2 net and CPR mesh could only partially explain these differences in abundance, implying that the behaviour of individual taxa and their depth in the water column also influenced the abundance recorded. 相似文献
6.
Jrg A. Ott 《Marine Ecology》1980,1(1):47-64
Abstract. In situ investigations of growth and production in a stand of Posidonia oceanica (L.) DELILE at a depth of 4 m at Ischia (Gulf of Naples) were carried out over two growing seasons. Posidonia starts to grow in August and an average bundle produces ten leaves in increasing time intervals until May. Growth curves for the leaves are given. Maximum leaf standing crop is in May with 1300 g dry weight per m-2, leaf area index at this time reaches 22 m2 m-2. Leaf net productivity is highest in March with 12 g dry weight per m2 per day. Annual leaf production is estimated as 3110 g dry weight per m2, “underground” production as 115 g dry weight per m2. About half the leaf production is exported from the system. Adaptive strategies of the growth and production pattern are discussed. 相似文献
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尼罗罗非鱼对不同颜色定置网片的反应特性 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
本文初步研究了尼罗罗非鱼对红、黄、绿、蓝、青灰色定置网片反应特性,并探讨了该鱼对青灰色网片的适应特性。结果表明:绿色网片对罗非鱼的阻拦作用最大,青灰色网片次之,红、黄色网片再次,蓝色网片最小。罗非鱼对青灰色网片具明显的适应现象,它们完成整个适应过程所需的实验重复次数约为7次。 相似文献
9.
基于EMD与神经网络的机械故障诊断技术 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
经验模式分解 (EMD)是分析非线性、非平稳信号的有力工具 ,它将信号分解为突出了原信号的不同时间尺度的局部特征信息的内在模函数 (IMF)分量。本文通过将各 IMF分量输入到 BP网络中进行训练学习和故障诊断 ,比直接输入原信号可以提高 BP网络对故障诊断的准确率 ,而且减少了训练时间。 相似文献
10.
厦门东海域定置网渔获鱼类种类组成及其季节变化 总被引:7,自引:1,他引:7
2003年7月~2004年6月对厦门东部海域的定置网渔获鱼类进行采样分析.结果表明厦门东海域至少有鱼类242种,隶属于19个目81科145属,主要是沿岸近底层和底栖的小型鱼类.以鲈形目种类最多,共计127种,占总数的52.5%、经济种类有116种.主要优势种有:青鳞小沙丁鱼、孔鳞小沙丁鱼、斑鲦、马拉邦虫鳗、裸鳍虫鳗、中华须鳗、前鳞鲻、眶棘双边鱼、多鳞鳝、皮氏叫姑鱼、短棘银鲈、列牙垒幸4、黄斑蓝子鱼、褐蓝子鱼、锯塘鳢、锻虎鱼类、褐菖鲇、绿鳍鱼、鳄鲡、卵鳎、中华单角鲍等.渔获种类在秋季及冬初最多,夏季较多,而冬末和春初最少.渔获种类的季节变化比较明显,与海洋表层水温变化有关,种类的月更替率比较高. 相似文献