利用SWAN波浪模式研究北部湾海域台风浪场的波浪方向谱特征

以高精度再分析风场为驱动,利用SWAN模式模拟了台风“达维”Damrey（2005）经过北部湾海域时的波浪场。通过与实测的风和波浪实测对比发现,波浪后报结果与实测结果符合较好。文章给出了台风浪期间波高、周期、波长和波向等要素的分布特征,讨论了以台风眼为中心不同海域的波浪方向谱特征。本文最后分析了台风期间实测波浪能谱的变化特征。     

波浪能电站潜在社会经济效益多层次灰色评价

对海洋波浪能电站的潜在社会经济效益进行评价,旨在为电站选址和可行性分析提供参考。多层次灰色评价方法通过建立评价指标体系,采用专家评分法确定指标的权重和分值,定性与定量相结合得到综合评价值。其结果表明了电站建设对社会经济影响的程度。案例分析验证了综合评价方法具有可行性。     

Second-Oorder Analytic Solutions of Nonlinear Interactions of Edge Waves on A Plane Sloping Bottom

Based on the full water-wave equation, a second-order analytic solution for nonlinear interaction of short edge waves on a constant plane sloping bottom is presented in this paper. For special case of slope angle b=p/2, this solution can be reduced to the same order solution of deep water gravity surface waves traveling along parallel coastline. Interactions between two edge waves including progressive, standing and partially reflected standing waves were also discussed. The unified analytic expressions with transfer functions for kinematic-dynamic elements of edge waves were also discussed. The random model of the unified wave motion processes for linear and nonlinear irregular edge waves is formulated, and the corresponding theoretical autocorrelation and spectral density functions of the first and second orders are derived. The boundary conditions for the determining determination of the parameters of short edge wave are suggested, that may be seen as one special simple edge wave excitation mechanism and an extension to the sea wave refraction theory. Finally some computation results are demonstrated.     

Study of A Geo-Acoustic Model of Gas-Bearing Sediment and Its Application in Sediment with Low Acoustic Velocity

A new geo-acoustic model for gas-bearing sediment is proposed based on the work of Dvorkin and Prasad, and Biot theory. Only five geophysical parameters: sediment mineral composition, free gas saturation, tortuosity (also known as the structure factor), permeability, and porosity, are considered in the model. A benefit of this model is that we need only five parameters instead of ten parameters in the Biot’s formulas for acoustic velocity and attenuation calculation. Here the model is demonstrated with the in-situ experimental data collected from the Hangzhou Bay, China. The results of this study suggest that free gas content in sediment is the most critical condition resulting in a low acoustic velocity (compressional wave). The respective contributions of the other four parameters in the model are also discussed.     

Predictions on Irregular Wave run-up and Overtopping

A series of hydraulic model tests are carried out to investigate random wave run-up and overtopping on smooth, impermeable single slope and composite slope. Based on analysis of the influences of wave steepness, structure slope, incident wave angle, width of the berm and water depth on the berm and the wave run-up, empirical formulas for wave run-up on dike are proposed. Moreover, empirical formula on estimating the wave run-up on composite slope with multiple berms is presented for practical application of complex dike cross-section. The present study shows that the influence factors for wave overtopping are almost the same as those for wave run-up and the trend of the wave overtopping variation with main influence parameters is also similar to that for wave run-up. The trend of the wave overtopping discharge variations can be well described by two main factors, i.e. the wave run-up and the crest freeboard of the structure. A new prediction method for wave overtopping discharge is proposed for random waves. The proposed prediction formulas are applied to case study of over forty cases and the results show that the prediction methods are good enough for practical design purposes.     

海面大气和海洋条件变化引起的太阳辐照度高频变化分析

海洋光学考察时需要同步测量大气中的下行太阳辐照度,其测量采样频率比常规大气辐射观测高300倍,可记录到达海面太阳辐射的高频变化。利用2007年在白令海考察的数据,详细研究了辐照度高频变化的特征与原因,得出影响辐照度记录的主要因素有云层、海雾和海浪。结果表明,这3种因素的影响有明显的差别,使作者有可能在不确切知道现场情况的条件下,由数据本身判断辐照度变化的原因,并获取有关的参数。云层引起的辐照度变化具有低频率、大振幅的特征。海雾引起的辐照度变化最为复杂,变化幅度大,变化周期复杂,从几秒到上百秒,与云层效应相区别。晴空条件下,海浪调制的反射信号通过空气中的水汽散射影响辐照度计测量数值,形成周期短、振幅小的稳定振动信号,与云和雾的效应有明显区别。文中提供了云、雾和浪对辐照度影响的定性特征和定量分析结果,对理解海面辐照度记录,并正确处理数据有指导意义。     

FY-4A数据在2021年1月6—8日寒潮监测中应用

基于静止气象卫星图像解译理论和位涡理论,应用FY-4A水汽图像、干涉式大气垂直探测仪（GIIRS）产品和欧洲中心第五代大气再分析资料（ERA5）对2021年1月6—8日我国中东部地区寒潮天气进行分析。结果表明：高空冷涡和地面冷高压是影响此次寒潮天气的主要影响系统,冷空气5日08:00从贝加尔湖南部向东、向南加强发展,8日20:00 减弱;对比FY-4A/GIIRS与ERA5 850 hPa 24 h变温数据发现：两种数据反映的对流层低层冷空气东移南下特征和正负变温区域分布特征基本一致,FY-4A/GIIRS 850 hPa 24 h负变温中心和0℃等变温线的位置与ERA5数据接近,FY-4A/GIIRS 850 hPa 24 h变温中心值强度略大于ERA5。水汽图像暗区变暗附近的高层位涡的增加激发高层气旋性环流后侧下沉运动增强,干空气下沉造成了地面高压增强;500 hPa冷涡中心附近绝对涡度增加是引起冷空气增强的原因之一;冷空气急剧增强时段,中低层位涡的加大引起地面冷空气堆积,寒潮增强。FY-4A/GIIRS温度产品反映的冷空气移动特征与位涡理论对冷空气增强原因分析结果一致,说明应用FY-4A/GIIRS温度产品能够有效监测分析寒潮冷空气演变特征。     

台风“摩羯”和“利奇马”经渤海强度变化特征分析

利用FY 4水汽云图、NCEP/FNL资料、自动站资料和ERA Interim海温资料,分析入海增强台风“摩羯”（1814）和入海减弱台风“利奇马”（1909）经过渤海强度变化特征。结论如下：台风“摩羯”中心入海增强过程伴随着中高层冷空气侵入,冷空气深入“摩羯”云系中心,台风强度减弱并逐渐消亡。台风“利奇马”入海前冷空气已经侵入台风中心,台风入海后强度减弱,暖心结构变得不对称,低层有清晰的斜压特征。“摩羯”入海前渤海上空为强辐散区,“利奇马”入海前渤海上空为弱辐合场,北上前进方向出现高空辐散有利于台风加强。台风登陆前垂直风切变与台风强度反位相分布,北上后台风垂直风切变与台风强度同位相分布。“摩羯”入海后水汽通道出现断裂,其入海增强更多依赖于热力条件和动力条件。“利奇马”水汽通量和水汽通量散度源于自身环流的贡献。台风“摩羯”入海后潜热加热率激增,“利奇马”低层维持弱潜热加热直至台风消亡。     

2023年全球重大天气气候事件

2023年,全球平均气温比工业化前高出约1.45℃(±0.12℃),是有观测记录以来最热的一年。全球海平面继续上升,且全球平均海平面达到了有卫星记录(1993年至今)以来的最高水平,反映了持续的海洋变暖以及冰川和冰盖的融化。北极海冰面积仍远低于常年值,南极海冰面积创下历史新低。巴基斯坦、中国京津冀地区、意大利、巴西圣保罗州北部沿海地区、新西兰北岛等地遭受暴雨洪涝灾害,非洲西北部、中国云南、中美洲和南美洲北部发生严重干旱,南欧、北美、南美、东亚和南亚等地遭遇创纪录高温热浪,欧洲和北美等地遭遇寒流和暴风雪侵袭,强对流天气频繁袭击世界各处,全球热带气旋活动频繁。     

基于测井频谱分析的松科二井登娄库组地层沉积速率研究

松辽盆地科学钻探工程松科二井获取了白垩纪陆相沉积资料,其中连续、多参数、高分辨率的地球物理测井资料为研究松辽盆地地层的沉积速率变化规律提供了机会。本文利用GR、Th、K、Th/K多种测井数据,采用天文旋回的方法来计算松科二井登娄库组地层的沉积速率,并探讨影响地层沉积的主控因素。多种测井数据的频谱分析结果表明了登娄库组地层记录着米兰科维奇旋回信息,这说明登娄库组沉积过程受天文轨道驱动力影响。Th测井数据对天文旋回信息的敏感性强,综合考虑多种测井数据的测试结果获得了连续、相对准确的地层沉积速率。登娄库组地层沉积速率从下往上整体呈现为由高到低的趋势。登二段至登三段时期地层沉积主要受盆地断陷活动控制,地层整体具有高沉积速率特征,最高达到16.2 cm/ka。随后至登四段时期由于断陷活动逐渐减弱,盆地向区域坳陷的构造格局转化,登四段整体具有沉积速率较低的特征,最低为5.9cm/ka。该研究建立了松科二井登娄库组地层连续的沉积速率剖面,为揭示松辽盆地由断陷活动过渡到坳陷活动的地质规律提供了测井证据。